BYU vs Colorado Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – Alamo Bowl

BetMGM Betting Dec 12, 2024, 12:11 PM

min read

Colorado cornerback Travis Hunter (12) in the first half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Sept. 9, 2023, in Boulder, Colo. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)

(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)

Colorado is a -3 point favorite vs. BYU
BYU vs. Colorado Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
TV Channel: ABC

The BYU Cougars (10-2) visit Alamodome to take on the Colorado Buffaloes (9-3) on Dec. 28 in San Antonio, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.

Colorado is a betting favorite in the Alamo Bowl, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The BYU vs. Colorado Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

Bet now on Colorado vs BYU & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

BYU vs. Colorado Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
BYU	+3 -110	54.5 -110	+125
Colorado	-3 -110	54.5 -110	-150

BYU vs Colorado Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Colorado will win this game with 56.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both BYU and Colorado, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

BYU vs Colorado Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Colorado will cover the spread with 61.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Colorado vs BYU and all games with BetMGM

Get up to $1,500 First Bet Offer

BYU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

BYU has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+11.10 Units / 52% ROI)
BYU has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
BYU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+5.20 Units / 69% ROI)
BYU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 35% ROI)
BYU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 70% ROI)

Colorado Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Colorado has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+8.35 Units / 34% ROI)
Colorado have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)
Colorado have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.10 Units / 89% ROI)
Colorado has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.50 Units / 37% ROI)
Colorado has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.05 Units / 17% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for BYU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best BYU Player Prop Bets Today

Darius Lassiter has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 89% ROI)
LJ Martin has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Hinckley Ropati has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
Jake Retzlaff has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Keelan Marion has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Colorado players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Colorado Player Prop Best Bets Today

Shedeur Sanders has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Shedeur Sanders has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 58% ROI)
Travis Hunter has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Jimmy Horn Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game at home (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Charlie Offerdahl has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)

BYU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

BYU is 7-5 against the spread this college football season (+1.5 Units / 11.19% ROI).

BYU is 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.1 Units / 52.48% ROI
BYU is 9-3 when betting the Over for +5.7 Units / 43.18% ROI
BYU is 3-9 when betting the Under for -6.9 Units / -52.27% ROI

Colorado Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado is 9-3 against the spread this college football season (+5.75 Units / 43.89% ROI).

Colorado is 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.35 Units / 28.5% ROI
Colorado is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -12.12% ROI
Colorado is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 3.79% ROI

BYU: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado

BYU is winless (0-4) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .352

BYU is winless (0-4) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .395

BYU is 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .611

BYU is 10-1 (.909) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: .597

Colorado: Keys to the Game vs. BYU

Colorado is undefeated (7-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .575

Colorado is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .635

Colorado is 3-6 (.333) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .534

Colorado is 6-1 (.857) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .608

Matchup Notes for BYU vs. Colorado

Colorado’s QBs has thrown for 3,926 passing yards in 12 games (327.2 YPG) this season — 4th-best among FBS teams. BYU’s defense has allowed just 180.3 passing yards per game this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado’s TEs has gained 65 yards on 9 receptions (just 7.2 YPR) this season — T-2nd-worst among P5 TEs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-25th-worst among FBS skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed just 11.2 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

BYU has 421 receptions in 24 games (just 17.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big 12 skill players. Colorado’s defense has allowed 20.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

BYU’s WRs has gained 2,268 yards on 148 receptions (15.3 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. Colorado’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

BYU Offensive Stats & Trends

BYU Skill Players have averaged just 9.2 yards per reception (533 yards/58 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.0

BYU Skill Players have averaged just 9.2 yards per reception (533 yards/58 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9

Colorado Offensive Stats & Trends

Colorado has gained 2,735 yards on 244 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) this season — T-27th-worst among FBS skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Colorado’s TEs has gained 65 yards on 9 receptions (just 7.2 YPR) this season — worst among Big 12 TEs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.

BYU Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends

BYU sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (11/408) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 6%

BYU has averaged 1.1 sacks per game since the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 2.0

BYU has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (25 completions/58 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 56%

BYU has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (27/777) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 6%

BYU allowed passes of 20+ yards on 13 of 61 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: 9%

Colorado Buffaloes Defensive Stats & Trends

Colorado has averaged 3.1 sacks per game this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 1.9

Colorado has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (37/368) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 6%

Colorado has allowed 48.6 receiving yards per game (583/12) to RBs this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 24.9

Colorado has tackled opponents for a loss on 18 of 86 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 14%.

Colorado has sacked opponents 37 times this season– most in the Big 12