BYU vs Wyoming Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

BetMGM Betting Sep 12, 2024, 11:25 AM

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Wyoming defensive tackle Jordan Bertagnole walks the sidelines during an NCAA college football game against Illinois Sunday, Aug. 28, 2022, in Champaign, Ill. (AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)

(AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)

BYU is a -10.5 point favorite vs. Wyoming
BYU vs. Wyoming Total(Over/Under): 39.5 points
TV Channel: CBSSN

The BYU Cougars (2-0) visit Jonah Field at War Memorial Stadium to take on the Wyoming Cowboys (0-2) on Sep. 14 in Laramie, WY. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT.

BYU is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).

The BYU vs. Wyoming Over/Under is 39.5 total points.

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BYU vs. Wyoming Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
BYU	-10.5 -115	39.5 -105	-400
Wyoming	+10.5 -105	39.5 -115	+310

BYU vs Wyoming Prediction:

The winning team model predicts BYU will win this game with 72.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both BYU and Wyoming, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

BYU vs Wyoming Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wyoming will cover the spread with 80.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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BYU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

BYU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.75 Units / 47% ROI)

BYU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.75 Units / 46% ROI)

BYU have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.75 Units / 23% ROI)

BYU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+2.00 Units / 18% ROI)

BYU has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+1.70 Units / 15% ROI)

Wyoming Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Wyoming has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+9.65 Units / 50% ROI)

Wyoming has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+3.65 Units / 17% ROI)

Wyoming have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+3.05 Units / 69% ROI)

Wyoming has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.70 Units / 20% ROI)

Wyoming has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.70 Units / 19% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for BYU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best BYU Player Prop Bets Today

LJ Martin has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Chase Roberts has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Keanu Hill has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Wyoming players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Wyoming Player Prop Best Bets Today

Evan Svoboda has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 100% ROI)

Harrison Waylee has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

BYU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

BYU is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

BYU is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 385% ROI
BYU is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
BYU is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Wyoming Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wyoming is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

Wyoming is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -100% ROI
Wyoming is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Wyoming is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

BYU: Keys to the Game vs. Wyoming

BYU is winless (0-5) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .508

BYU is winless (0-6) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .420

BYU is 4-11 (.267) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– 36th-worst in FBS; Average: .428

BYU is 2-9 (.182) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .436

Wyoming: Keys to the Game vs. BYU

Wyoming is undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .567

Wyoming is 6-2 (.667) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: .522

Wyoming is undefeated (7-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .630

Wyoming is 6-2 (.667) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .394

Matchup Notes for BYU vs. Wyoming

Wyoming’s QBs has thrown for 204 passing yards in 2 games (just 102.0 YPG) this season — 3rd-worst among FBS teams. BYU’s defense has allowed just 126.0 passing yards per game this season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Wyoming has gained 204 yards on 20 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) this season — T-26th-worst among FBS skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed just 8.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

BYU has gained 539 yards on 34 receptions (15.9 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 skill players. Wyoming’s defense has allowed 13.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

BYU’s TEs has gained 86 yards on 6 receptions (14.3 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 TEs. Wyoming’s defense has allowed 13.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

BYU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.0% of 57 attempts this season — T-35th-best among FBS offenses. Wyoming’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 16.3% of attempts this season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.

BYU Offensive Stats & Trends

BYU Skill Players have averaged just 8.0 yards per reception (337 yards/42 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.1

BYU Skill Players have averaged just 8.0 yards per reception (337 yards/42 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.6

BYU Skill Players have averaged just 9.3 yards per reception (557 yards/60 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.6

Wyoming Offensive Stats & Trends

Wyoming’s offense has thrown for 204 passing yards in 2 games (just 102.0 YPG) this season — 3rd-worst among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense has allowed just 126.0 passing yards per game this season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.

Wyoming WRs have no touchdowns on 11 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.8

BYU Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends

BYU has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (16/470) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 6%

BYU has sacked opposing QBs just once on 99 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 15.9

BYU sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (11/408) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 6%

BYU has sacked opposing QBs just once on 99 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.5

BYU has averaged a sack every 29.4 pass attempts (470 Pass Attempts/16 Sacks) since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.7

Wyoming Cowboys Defensive Stats & Trends

Wyoming has sacked opponents 9 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Wyoming has sacked opponents 15 times in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Wyoming has sacked opponents 15 times in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– most in FBS

Wyoming has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 60 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12%.

Wyoming has sacked opponents 9 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most in FBS