- Mississippi is a -14.5 point favorite vs. Duke
- Duke vs. Ole Miss Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The Duke Blue Devils (9-3) visit EverBank Stadium to take on the Ole Miss Rebels (9-3) on Jan. 2 in Jacksonville, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.
Mississippi is a betting favorite in the Gator Bowl, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).
The Duke vs. Ole Miss Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
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Duke vs. Ole Miss Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Duke | +14.5 -110 | 52.5 -110 | +450 |
| Ole Miss | -14.5 -110 | 52.5 -110 | -650 |
Duke vs Ole Miss Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Ole Miss will win this game with 84.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Duke and Mississippi, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Duke vs Ole Miss Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ole Miss will cover the spread with 66.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Mississippi vs Duke and all games with BetMGM
Duke Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Duke has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+6.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- Duke have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Duke have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.10 Units / 39% ROI)
Ole Miss Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ole Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ole Miss have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Ole Miss have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.00 Units / 7% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Duke players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Duke Player Prop Bets Today
- Jordan Moore has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Ole Miss players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ole Miss Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Cayden Lee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Henry Parrish Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jaxson Dart has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jordan Watkins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jaxson Dart has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Duke Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Duke is 8-3 against the spread this college football season (+4.75 Units / 36.26% ROI).
- Duke is 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.6 Units / 22.4% ROI
- Duke is 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
- Duke is 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
Ole Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi is 7-5 against the spread this college football season (+1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI).
- Ole Miss is 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -0.54% ROI
- Ole Miss is 2-10 when betting the Over for -9.05 Units / -68.3% ROI
- Ole Miss is 10-2 when betting the Under for +7.8 Units / 59.32% ROI
Duke: Keys to the Game vs. Ole Miss
Duke is 12-3 (.800) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .617
Duke is 15-4 (.789) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647
Duke is 11-5 (.688) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .602
Duke is 15-4 (.789) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 23rd-best in FBS; Average: .605
Ole Miss: Keys to the Game vs. Duke
Ole Miss is 16-4 (.800) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: .442
Ole Miss is 9-2 (.818) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .666
Ole Miss is 8-2 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .638
Ole Miss is 18-3 (.857) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .706
Matchup Notes for Duke vs. Ole Miss
Ole Miss has averaged 14.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — best among SEC skill players. Duke’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among P5 defenses.
Ole Miss’s WRs has averaged 16.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Power 5 WRs. Duke’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among P5 defenses.
Ole Miss’s WRs has averaged 16.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — best among SEC WRs. Duke’s defense has allowed just 11.2 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.
Duke’s WRs has 361 receptions in 25 games (14.4 per game) since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among ACC WRs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 19.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.
Duke has 454 receptions in 25 games (just 18.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among ACC skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 19.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Duke has gained 2,940 yards on 255 receptions (just 11.5 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among ACC skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among SEC defenses.
Duke Offensive Stats & Trends
Duke’s WRs has 361 receptions in 25 games (14.4 per game) since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among ACC WRs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 19.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.
Duke has 454 receptions in 25 games (just 18.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among ACC skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 19.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Duke has gained 2,940 yards on 255 receptions (just 11.5 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among ACC skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among SEC defenses.
Duke’s TEs has 22 receptions in 12 games (just 1.8 per game) this season — T-5th-worst among P5 TEs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 4.3 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.
Duke’s TEs has 22 receptions in 12 games (just 1.8 per game) this season — T-5th-worst among P5 TEs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 20.2 receptions per game this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Ole Miss Offensive Stats & Trends
Ole Miss have completed passes for 20+ yards on 139 of their 790 total passing attempts (18%) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 10%
Ole Miss have completed passes for 20+ yards on 70 of their 396 total passing attempts (18%) this season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 10%
Ole Miss WRs have averaged 16.5 yards per reception (6,096 yards/370 catches) since the 2023 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 14.3
Ole Miss QBs have 37 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down this season– most among FBS Teams
Ole Miss has averaged 14.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — best among SEC skill players. Duke’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among P5 defenses.
Duke Blue Devils Defensive Stats & Trends
Duke has forced 19 fumbles this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams
Duke has forced 19 fumbles this season– T-most in FBS
Duke has allowed 9 rushing TDs on 71 carries (7.9 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 4.6
Duke has averaged 3.4 sacks per game this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 2.1
Duke has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (25 completions/60 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: 54%
Ole Miss Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends
Ole Miss has sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (53/400) this season– best in FBS; Average: 7%
Ole Miss has averaged 3.5 sacks per game since the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 2.4
Ole Miss has allowed 7 rushing TDs on 433 carries (61.9 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 23.1
Ole Miss has allowed 7 rushing TDs on 433 carries (61.9 Carries Per TD) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 30.1
Ole Miss has tackled opponents for a loss on 109 of 433 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) this season– best in FBS; Average: 16%.
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