- NC State is a -5.5 point favorite vs. East Carolina
- East Carolina vs. North Carolina State Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The East Carolina Pirates (7-5) visit Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium to take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack (6-6) on Dec. 28 in Annapolis, MD. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:45pm EST.
NC State is a betting favorite in the Military Bowl, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).
The East Carolina vs. North Carolina State Over/Under is 58.5 total points.
Bet now on NC State vs East Carolina & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
East Carolina vs. North Carolina State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| East Carolina | +5.5 -115 | 58.5 -110 | +170 |
| North Carolina State | -5.5 -105 | 58.5 -110 | -210 |
East Carolina vs North Carolina State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts North Carolina State will win this game with 65.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both East Carolina and NC State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
East Carolina vs North Carolina State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Carolina State will cover the spread with 65.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on NC State vs East Carolina and all games with BetMGM
East Carolina Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- East Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.40 Units / 61% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- East Carolina have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
North Carolina State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.95 Units / 17% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for East Carolina players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best East Carolina Player Prop Bets Today
- Chase Sowell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Rahjai Harris has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for North Carolina State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best North Carolina State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Kevin Concepcion has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Grayson McCall has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jordan Waters has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Grayson McCall has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 42% ROI)
East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
East Carolina is 7-5 against the spread this college football season (+1.55 Units / 11.79% ROI).
- East Carolina is 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -7.41% ROI
- East Carolina is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.53% ROI
- East Carolina is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.55 Units / -4.18% ROI
North Carolina State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
NC State is 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.7 Units / -27.92% ROI).
- North Carolina State is 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -1.51% ROI
- North Carolina State is 8-4 when betting the Over for +3.55 Units / 26.79% ROI
- North Carolina State is 4-8 when betting the Under for -4.8 Units / -36.5% ROI
East Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina State
East Carolina is 2-14 (.125) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .427
East Carolina is 4-15 (.211) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .452
East Carolina is 5-11 (.312) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– 28th-worst in FBS; Average: .471
East Carolina is 2-9 (.182) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .445
North Carolina State: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina
North Carolina State is winless (0-4) when not forcing a fumble this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .493
North Carolina State is winless (0-4) when not forcing a fumble this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .458
North Carolina State is 11-4 (.688) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .597
North Carolina State is 10-5 (.667) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .532
Matchup Notes for East Carolina vs. North Carolina State
North Carolina State’s WRs has averaged just 11.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst among FBS WRs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.5 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Carolina State’s WRs has averaged just 11.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-worst among ACC WRs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.5 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Carolina State’s WRs has averaged just 11.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-worst among Power 5 WRs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.5 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s QBs has thrown for 3,285 passing yards in 12 games (273.8 YPG) this season — 17th-best among FBS teams. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 241.1 passing yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s offense has thrown for 3,285 passing yards in 12 games (273.8 YPG) this season — 18th-best among FBS offenses. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 241.1 passing yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina have 273.2 receiving yards per game this season — 17th-best among FBS skill players. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 241.1 receiving yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina’s QBs has thrown for 3,285 passing yards in 12 games (273.8 YPG) this season — 17th-best among FBS teams. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 241.1 passing yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s offense has thrown for 3,285 passing yards in 12 games (273.8 YPG) this season — 18th-best among FBS offenses. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 241.1 passing yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina have 273.2 receiving yards per game this season — 17th-best among FBS skill players. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 241.1 receiving yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 29.7 receptions (208 Rec/7 TDs) in the 2023 season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5
East Carolina WRs averaged a touchdown every 37.0 receptions (148 Rec/4 TDs) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9
North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina State’s WRs has averaged just 11.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst among FBS WRs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.5 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Carolina State RBs have averaged 8.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (719 yards / 84 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5
North Carolina State’s WRs has averaged just 11.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-worst among ACC WRs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.5 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Carolina State Skill Players have 18 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-most among Power Conference Teams
North Carolina State TEs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams
East Carolina Pirates Defensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 29 of 143 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
East Carolina has allowed first downs on 41% of rush attempts on 3rd and short this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
East Carolina has allowed 3.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (245 yards / 71 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.2
East Carolina has allowed 3.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (133 yards / 44 touches) on 3rd and short this season– T-8th-best in FBS; Average: 5.1
East Carolina has allowed first downs on 18% of rush attempts since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 23%
North Carolina State Wolfpack Defensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina State has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 23 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.
North Carolina State has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 23 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: 10%.
North Carolina State’s opponents has not attempted a two-point conversion (44 PATs) this season– T-lowest in FBS; Average: 8%
North Carolina State has tackled opponents for a loss on 79 of 381 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) this season– 11th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
North Carolina State has tackled opponents for a loss on 157 of 760 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) since the 2023 season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
Bet now on NC State vs East Carolina and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
