Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 14

Tulsa head coach Kevin Wilson reacts during an NCAA college football game against Tulane in New Orleans, Saturday, Nov. 11, 2023. (AP Photo/Matthew Hinton)
(AP Photo/Matthew Hinton)
  • Florida Atlantic is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Tulsa
  • Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Florida Atlantic Owls (2-9) visit Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium to take on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-8) on Nov. 30 in Tulsa, OK. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

Florida Atlantic is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida Atlantic-1.5 -11056.5 -105-120
Tulsa +1.5 -11056.5 -115+100

Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Florida Atlantic will win this game with 54.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida Atlantic and Tulsa, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tulsa will cover the spread with 73.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Florida Atlantic has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Tulsa have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Florida Atlantic players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Florida Atlantic Player Prop Bets Today

  • Zuberi Mobley has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Tulsa players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tulsa Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Kamdyn Benjamin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Bill Jackson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Florida Atlantic Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida Atlantic is 3-8 against the spread this college football season (-5.75 Units / -47.72% ROI).

  • Florida Atlantic is 1-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -75.35% ROI
  • Florida Atlantic is 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
  • Florida Atlantic is 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI

Tulsa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulsa is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.5 Units / -12.55% ROI).

  • Tulsa is 2-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -39.5% ROI
  • Tulsa is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • Tulsa is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Florida Atlantic: Keys to the Game vs. Tulsa

Florida Atlantic is 1-8 (.111) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .504

Florida Atlantic is 1-8 (.111) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .480

Florida Atlantic is winless (0-8) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .361

Florida Atlantic is 4-15 (.211) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .534

Tulsa: Keys to the Game vs. Florida Atlantic

Tulsa is 3-16 (.158) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .416

Tulsa is 2-14 (.125) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Tulsa is 2-13 (.133) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .470

Tulsa is 3-14 (.176) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 12th-worst in FBS; Average: .446

Matchup Notes for Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa

Tulsa has 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-33rd-best among FBS skill players. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed 2.1 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulsa’s RBs has 50 receptions in 11 games (4.5 per game) this season — T-17th-best among FBS RBs. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed just 16.5 receptions per game this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Tulsa’s RBs have 32.1 receiving yards per game this season — 35th-best among FBS RBs. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed just 18.5 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — 30th-best among FBS defenses.

Florida Atlantic’s RBs has averaged 9.6 yards after the catch this season — T-30th-best among FBS RBs. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 14.4 RAC this season — worst among FBS defenses.

Florida Atlantic’s RBs has averaged 9.6 yards after the catch this season — T-30th-best among FBS RBs. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 9.8 RAC to RBs this season — 21st-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida Atlantic’s RBs has gained 470 yards on 49 receptions (9.6 YPR) this season — T-29th-best among FBS RBs. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 14.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida Atlantic Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida Atlantic’s RBs has averaged 9.6 yards after the catch this season — T-30th-best among FBS RBs. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 14.4 RAC this season — worst among FBS defenses.

Florida Atlantic WRs have just one touchdown on 53 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– 8th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.7

Florida Atlantic’s RBs has averaged 9.6 yards after the catch this season — T-30th-best among FBS RBs. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 9.8 RAC to RBs this season — 21st-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida Atlantic Skill Players have averaged just 9.1 yards per reception (1,130 yards/124 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1

Florida Atlantic’s RBs has gained 470 yards on 49 receptions (9.6 YPR) this season — T-29th-best among FBS RBs. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 14.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulsa Offensive Stats & Trends

Tulsa WRs have 12 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Tulsa WRs have 8 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Tulsa RBs rushed for 93 yards in the 1st quarter last week– 5th-most among FBS Teams

Tulsa Skill Players have averaged just 9.6 yards per reception (386 yards/40 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 8th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.8

Tulsa has 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-33rd-best among FBS skill players. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed 2.1 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida Atlantic Owls Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida Atlantic has not recorded a sack (37 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.4

Florida Atlantic has not recorded a sack (37 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14.9

Florida Atlantic has sacked opposing QBs just once on 67 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.4

Florida Atlantic allowed 24.8 yards per completion (396 yards/16 completions) last week– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 12.1

Florida Atlantic defense allowed 8 completions for 20 or more yards last week– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Tulsa Golden Hurricane Defensive Stats & Trends

Tulsa has not recorded a sack (34 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.4

Tulsa has no interceptions and 28 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.7

Tulsa has allowed 33 TD passes this season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Tulsa has allowed 318.0 Passing Yards per game (3,498/11) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 218.4

Tulsa has allowed 33 TD passes this season– T-most in FBS


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