- Georgia is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Mississippi
- Georgia vs. Ole Miss Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
The Georgia Bulldogs (7-1) visit Vaught-Hemingway Stadium at Hollingsworth Field to take on the Ole Miss Rebels (7-2) on Nov. 9 in Oxford, MS. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.
Georgia is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-120).
The Georgia vs. Ole Miss Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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Georgia vs. Ole Miss Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Georgia | -2.5 -120 | 55.5 -115 | -145 |
Ole Miss | +2.5 +100 | 55.5 -105 | +120 |
Georgia vs Ole Miss Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Georgia will win this game with 57.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia and Mississippi, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Georgia vs Ole Miss Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ole Miss will cover the spread with 59.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Georgia Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Georgia has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- Georgia has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Georgia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- Georgia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.65 Units / 8% ROI)
Ole Miss Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ole Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- Ole Miss have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.55 Units / 9% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Georgia players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Georgia Player Prop Bets Today
- Dominic Lovett has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Arian Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Trevor Etienne has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Dillon Bell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Carson Beck has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 71% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Ole Miss players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ole Miss Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Henry Parrish Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Cayden Lee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jaxson Dart has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jaxson Dart has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jordan Watkins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Georgia Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Georgia is 2-6 against the spread this college football season (-4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- Georgia is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 7.52% ROI
- Georgia is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.45 Units / -28% ROI
- Georgia is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.21% ROI
Ole Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi is 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Ole Miss is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -0.29% ROI
- Ole Miss is 2-7 when betting the Over for -5.75 Units / -57.79% ROI
- Ole Miss is 7-2 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 48.73% ROI
Georgia: Keys to the Game vs. Ole Miss
Georgia is undefeated (12-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .619
Georgia is 11-1 (.917) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .433
Georgia is 15-1 (.938) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .538
Georgia is 11-1 (.917) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .482
Ole Miss: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia
Ole Miss is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .619
Ole Miss is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .685
Ole Miss is 16-2 (.889) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-8th-best in FBS; Average: .635
Ole Miss is 15-2 (.882) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: .609
Matchup Notes for Georgia vs. Ole Miss
Ole Miss’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 18.9% of 302 attempts this season — 3rd-best among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.1% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.
Ole Miss has averaged 14.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — best among Power 5 skill players. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.5 RAC since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Ole Miss’s WRs has 333 receptions in 22 games (15.1 per game) since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among SEC WRs. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.7 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.
Georgia has 528 receptions in 22 games (24.0 per game) since the 2023 season — best among SEC skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 20.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Georgia’s WRs has 339 receptions in 22 games (15.4 per game) since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 20.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.
Georgia’s TEs has gained 375 yards on 26 receptions (14.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among SEC TEs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-best among SEC defenses.
Georgia Offensive Stats & Trends
Georgia has 528 receptions in 22 games (24.0 per game) since the 2023 season — best among SEC skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 20.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Georgia TEs have 8 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Georgia’s WRs has 339 receptions in 22 games (15.4 per game) since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 20.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.
Georgia’s TEs has gained 375 yards on 26 receptions (14.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among SEC TEs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-best among SEC defenses.
Georgia has 528 receptions in 22 games (24.0 per game) since the 2023 season — T-15th-best among FBS skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 20.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.
Ole Miss Offensive Stats & Trends
Ole Miss’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 18.9% of 302 attempts this season — 3rd-best among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.1% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.
Ole Miss WRs have 50 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– most among FBS Teams
Ole Miss Skill Players have averaged 15.2 yards per reception (7,092 yards/466 catches) since the 2023 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 12.9
Ole Miss has averaged 14.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — best among Power 5 skill players. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.5 RAC since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Ole Miss’s WRs has 333 receptions in 22 games (15.1 per game) since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among SEC WRs. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.7 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.
Georgia Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends
Georgia has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 25 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Georgia allowed a Completion Pct of just 32% (9 completions/28 attempts) last week– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 61%
Georgia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (41 completions/104 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 54%
Georgia allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (26 completions/68 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 55%
Georgia allowed a Completion Pct of just 32% (9 completions/28 attempts) last week– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
Ole Miss Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends
Ole Miss sacked opposing QBs on 29% of pass attempts (8/28) last week– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 7%
Ole Miss sacked opposing QBs on 29% of pass attempts (8/28) last week– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Ole Miss has averaged 4.4 sacks per game this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 2.1
Ole Miss has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 325 carries (81.2 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 26.8
Ole Miss has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (40/319) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 7%
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