Georgia Southern vs South Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 10

South Alabama safety Jaden Voisin (2) takes his stance during an NCAA football game against UCLA on Saturday, Sept. 17, 2022, in Pasadena, Calif. (AP Photo/Kyusung Gong)
(AP Photo/Kyusung Gong)
  • South Alabama is a -6 point favorite vs. Georgia Southern
  • Georgia Southern vs. South Alabama Total (Over/Under): 59.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPNU

The Georgia Southern Eagles (5-3) visit Hancock Whitney Stadium to take on the South Alabama Jaguars (4-4) on Nov. 2 in Mobile, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

South Alabama is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).

The Georgia Southern vs. South Alabama Over/Under is 59.5 total points.

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Georgia Southern vs. South Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Georgia Southern+6 -11059.5 -110+180
South Alabama -6 -11059.5 -110-225

Georgia Southern vs South Alabama Prediction:

The winning team model predicts South Alabama will win this game with 66.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia Southern and South Alabama, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Georgia Southern vs South Alabama Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Alabama will cover the spread with 58.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+5.05 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.90 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 63% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+2.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+2.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.60 Units / 14% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Georgia Southern players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Georgia Southern Player Prop Bets Today

  • JC French has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.10 Units / 110% ROI)
  • Jalen White has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • JC French has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Josh Dallas has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Dalen Cobb has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for South Alabama players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best South Alabama Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Gio Lopez has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jamaal Pritchett has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kentrel Bullock has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Georgia Southern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Southern is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.8 Units / 31.82% ROI).

  • Georgia Southern is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.1 Units / 7.14% ROI
  • Georgia Southern is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Georgia Southern is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

South Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Alabama is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.35 Units / -4% ROI).

  • South Alabama is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -8.88% ROI
  • South Alabama is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • South Alabama is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

Georgia Southern: Keys to the Game vs. South Alabama

Georgia Southern is 6-1 (.857) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .476

Georgia Southern is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .588

Georgia Southern is 6-1 (.857) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: .505

Georgia Southern is 6-1 (.857) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .625

South Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Southern

South Alabama is 1-6 (.143) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: .505

South Alabama is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .445

South Alabama is winless (0-9) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .268

South Alabama is winless (0-9) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .286

Matchup Notes for Georgia Southern vs. South Alabama

South Alabama’s RBs has averaged 5.1 targets per game this season — T-32nd-highest among FBS RBs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 3.9 receptions per game to RBs this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

South Alabama’s RBs has just 0.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-worst among FBS RBs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

South Alabama’s RBs has rushed for 1,330 yards on 211 carries (6.3 YPC) this season — 10th-best among FBS RBs. Georgia Southern’s defense have allowed 6.0 YPC to RBs this season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s RBs have just 15.2 receiving yards per game this season — T-28th-worst among FBS RBs. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 268.4 receiving yards per game this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern has 186 receptions in 8 games (23.2 per game) this season — T-19th-best among FBS skill players. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 21.6 receptions per game this season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s RBs have just 15.2 receiving yards per game this season — T-28th-worst among FBS RBs. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 30.1 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Southern Skill Players have averaged 26.8 receptions per game (562/21) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9

Georgia Southern WRs have averaged 19.6 receptions per game (412/21) since the 2023 season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.7

Georgia Southern TEs have 23 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Georgia Southern WRs have been targeted 30.4 times per game (638/21) since the 2023 season– 3rd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.8

Georgia Southern Skill Players have averaged 23.2 receptions per game (186/8) this season– T-19th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9

South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends

South Alabama QBs have 9 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

South Alabama rushed for 5 TDs in the Red Zone last week– T-most among FBS Offenses

South Alabama RBs rushed for 5 TDs last week– most among FBS Teams

South Alabama RBs rushed for 333 yards last week– most among FBS Teams

South Alabama rushed for 6 TDs last week– most among FBS Offenses

Georgia Southern Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Southern allowed 4 TD passes last week– T-3rd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Georgia Southern has tackled opponents for a loss on 21 of 117 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Georgia Southern has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (12/278) this season– 15th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%

Georgia Southern allowed 4 TD passes last week– T-4th-most in FBS

Georgia Southern has allowed a Completion Pct of 61% (24 completions/39 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: 54%

South Alabama Jaguars Defensive Stats & Trends

South Alabama opponents has averaged 10.0 Passing Attempts per TD (30 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9

South Alabama opponents has averaged 10.0 Passing Attempts per TD (30 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

South Alabama has allowed a Completion Pct of 94% (15 completions/16 attempts) in close and late situations this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 57%

South Alabama has allowed a Completion Pct of 94% (15 completions/16 attempts) in close and late situations this season– worst in FBS; Average: 58%

South Alabama has not recorded a sack (30 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.3


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.