- Texas State is a -20.5 point favorite vs. Georgia State
- Georgia State vs. Texas State Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Georgia State Panthers (2-8) visit UFCU Stadium to take on the Texas State Bobcats (6-4) on Nov. 23 in San Marcos, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.
Texas State is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-110).
The Georgia State vs. Texas State Over/Under is 57.5 total points.
Bet now on Texas State vs Georgia State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Georgia State vs. Texas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Georgia State | +20.5 -110 | 57.5 -105 | +750 |
| Texas State | -20.5 -110 | 57.5 -115 | -1200 |
Georgia State vs Texas State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas State will win this game with 92.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia State and Texas State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Georgia State vs Texas State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas State will cover the spread with 57.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Texas State vs Georgia State and all games with BetMGM
Georgia State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Georgia State have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Georgia State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- Georgia State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- Georgia State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
Texas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Texas State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+3.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- Texas State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.25 Units / 24% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Georgia State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Georgia State Player Prop Bets Today
- Freddie Brock has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Dorian Fleming has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Ted Hurst has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texas State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Joey Hobert has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Ismail Mahdi has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kole Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jaden Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jordan McCloud has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Georgia State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Georgia State is 2-7 against the spread this college football season (-5.65 Units / -51.6% ROI).
- Georgia State is 1-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.7 Units / -64.42% ROI
- Georgia State is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -13.64% ROI
- Georgia State is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 5.45% ROI
Texas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas State is 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.55 Units / -4.98% ROI).
- Texas State is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.15 Units / -9.1% ROI
- Texas State is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 5.45% ROI
- Texas State is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -13.64% ROI
Georgia State: Keys to the Game vs. Texas State
Georgia State is 1-14 (.067) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .455
Georgia State is 1-14 (.067) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .397
Georgia State is 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .384
Georgia State is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: .536
Texas State: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia State
Texas State is 11-1 (.917) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-11th-best in FBS; Average: .673
Texas State is 11-4 (.733) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .592
Texas State is 8-3 (.727) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .523
Texas State is 12-8 (.600) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .445
Matchup Notes for Georgia State vs. Texas State
Texas State’s RBs has averaged 9.5 yards after the catch this season — T-31st-best among FBS RBs. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 9.9 RAC to RBs this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas State’s WRs has averaged just 11.4 yards after the catch this season — T-14th-worst among FBS WRs. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 13.9 RAC to WRs this season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas State’s WRs has 180 receptions in 10 games (18.0 per game) this season — T-10th-best among FBS WRs. Georgia State’s defense has allowed just 9.7 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
Georgia State has 238 receptions in 10 games (23.8 per game) this season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Texas State’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Georgia State has averaged just 10.7 yards after the catch this season — T-17th-worst among FBS skill players. Texas State’s defense has allowed just 9.9 RAC this season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.
Georgia State’s RBs has 0.5 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-3rd-best among FBS RBs. Texas State’s defense has allowed just 0.7 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-4th-best among FBS defenses.
Georgia State Offensive Stats & Trends
Georgia State RBs have caught 4 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Georgia State RBs have been targeted 30 times on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams
Georgia State WRs were targeted 16 times in the 4th quarter last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Georgia State RBs have been targeted 93 times this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Georgia State RBs have 23 receptions on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams
Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas State RBs averaged 9.8 Yards per Carry (167 yards/17 carries) last week– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Texas State RBs averaged 15.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (181 yards / 12 touches) on 1st down last week– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
Texas State’s RBs has averaged 9.5 yards after the catch this season — T-31st-best among FBS RBs. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 9.9 RAC to RBs this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas State Skill Players caught 5 touchdown passes last week– T-most among FBS Teams
Texas State QBs had 6 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down last week– most among FBS Teams
Georgia State Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends
Georgia State sacked opposing QBs on 23% of pass attempts (4/17) last week– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 7%
Georgia State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 27 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.
Georgia State sacked opposing QBs on 23% of pass attempts (4/17) last week– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Georgia State has allowed 8 TDs in close and late situations this season– T-3rd-most in FBS
Georgia State has allowed 15 TDs in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-most in FBS
Texas State Bobcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas State opponents has averaged 43.4 Passing Attempts per TD (304 Pass Attempts/7 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.6
Texas State has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (70/723) since the 2023 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 7%
Texas State has forced 31 fumbles since the 2023 season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Texas State has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 15 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.
Texas State has averaged 3.2 sacks per game this season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: 2.1
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