Georgia Tech vs North Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 7

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North Carolina helmet sits on the bench during the first quarter of an NCAA college football game against Minnesota, Saturday, Sept. 16, 2023, in Chapel Hill, N.C. (AP Photo/Reinhold Matay)
(AP Photo/Reinhold Matay)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 08, 2024, 1:56 PM
  • The Georgia Tech is a -5.5 point favorite vs. North Carolina
  • The Georgia Tech vs. North Carolina Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
  • TV Channel: CW

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (4-2) visit Kenan Stadium to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (3-3) on Oct. 12 in Chapel Hill, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Georgia Tech is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Georgia Tech vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 58.5 total points.

Bet now on North Carolina vs Georgia Tech & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Georgia Tech vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Georgia Tech-5.5 -11558.5 -105-225
North Carolina +5.5 -10558.5 -115+185

Georgia Tech vs North Carolina Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Georgia Tech will win this game with 65.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia Tech and North Carolina, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Georgia Tech vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 70.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Georgia Tech has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+5.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • North Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+2.10 Units / 50% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.60 Units / 6% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Georgia Tech players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Georgia Tech Player Prop Bets Today

  • Haynes King has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Jamal Haynes has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Malik Rutherford has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Eric Singleton Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Haynes King has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 54% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for North Carolina players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best North Carolina Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Omarion Hampton has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Nate McCollum has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Omarion Hampton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Georgia Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Tech is 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • Georgia Tech is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 10.5% ROI
  • Georgia Tech is 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI
  • Georgia Tech is 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI

North Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

North Carolina is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.15 Units / -3.37% ROI).

  • North Carolina is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • North Carolina is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI
  • North Carolina is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI

Georgia Tech: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina

Georgia Tech is 2-7 (.222) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .537

Georgia Tech is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .627

Georgia Tech is 2-7 (.222) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .503

Georgia Tech is 3-6 (.333) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .443

North Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Tech

North Carolina is 3-7 (.300) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .460

North Carolina is 6-2 (.750) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-18th-best in FBS; Average: .534

North Carolina is 3-6 (.333) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .506

North Carolina is 10-3 (.769) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .599

Matchup Notes for Georgia Tech vs. North Carolina

North Carolina’s TEs has gained 1,461 yards on 109 receptions (13.4 YPR) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among ACC TEs. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed 13.3 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2023 season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.

North Carolina’s TEs has 109 receptions in 18 games (6.1 per game) since the 2023 season — best among FBS TEs. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed just 2.2 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.

North Carolina’s TEs has 109 receptions in 18 games (6.1 per game) since the 2023 season — best among ACC TEs. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed just 2.2 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Tech’s WRs has 261 receptions in 19 games (13.7 per game) since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among ACC WRs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.7 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Tech’s TEs has 11 receptions in 5 games (just 2.2 per game) this season — worst among ACC TEs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed just 2.2 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Tech’s TEs has 11 receptions in 5 games (just 2.2 per game) this season — worst among ACC TEs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game this season — 2nd-best among ACC defenses.

Georgia Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Tech’s WRs has 261 receptions in 19 games (13.7 per game) since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among ACC WRs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.7 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Tech’s TEs has 11 receptions in 5 games (just 2.2 per game) this season — worst among ACC TEs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed just 2.2 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Tech’s TEs has 11 receptions in 5 games (just 2.2 per game) this season — worst among ACC TEs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game this season — 2nd-best among ACC defenses.

Georgia Tech’s WRs have 223.2 receiving yards per game this season — 23rd-best among FBS WRs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 179.3 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Tech’s WRs have 223.2 receiving yards per game this season — 23rd-best among FBS WRs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 257.2 receiving yards per game this season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina TEs have caught 6 touchdown passes this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

North Carolina TEs have been targeted 65 times this season– most among Power Conference Teams

North Carolina TEs have been targeted 16 times in the 4th quarter this season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

North Carolina TEs have been targeted 19 times on 3rd down this season– most among Power Conference Teams

North Carolina Skill Players have no touchdowns on 43 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.5

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Tech has one interception and 10 TD passes allowed this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.4

Georgia Tech has intercepted one of 176 attempts this season– worst in FBS; Average: 36.4

Georgia Tech has intercepted one of 176 attempts this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 33.5

Georgia Tech has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 13 rushing attempts (31% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Georgia Tech has one interception and 10 TD passes allowed this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7

North Carolina Tar Heels Defensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina has allowed 5.5 touchdowns per interception (11 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.4

North Carolina has intercepted 2 of 183 attempts (91.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 33.5

North Carolina has allowed 55.5 receiving yards per game (333/6) to RBs this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 23.8

North Carolina has allowed 15.3 yards per completion (1,543 yards/101 completions) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 11.7

North Carolina did not record a sack (42 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.