Georgia Tech vs Vanderbilt Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ Birmingham Bowl

Vanderbilt running back Sedrick Alexander (28) runs for a short yardage gain against Mississippi during the first half of an NCAA college football game in Oxford, Miss., Saturday, Oct. 28, 2023. Mississippi won 33-7. (AP Photo/Rogelio V. Solis)
(AP Photo/Rogelio V. Solis)
  • Georgia Tech is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Vanderbilt
  • Georgia Tech vs. Vanderbilt Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (7-5) visit Protective Stadium to take on the Vanderbilt Commodores (6-6) on Dec. 27 in Birmingham, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

Georgia Tech is a betting favorite in the Birmingham Bowl, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Georgia Tech vs. Vanderbilt Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Georgia Tech vs. Vanderbilt Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Georgia Tech-2.5 -11551.5 -110-135
Vanderbilt +2.5 -10551.5 -110+110

Georgia Tech vs Vanderbilt Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Georgia Tech will win this game with 57.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia Tech and Vanderbilt, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Georgia Tech vs Vanderbilt Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Vanderbilt will cover the spread with 59.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Georgia Tech has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+6.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+5.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+4.45 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+13.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+6.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 40% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Georgia Tech players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Georgia Tech Player Prop Bets Today

  • Haynes King has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Eric Singleton Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Haynes King has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Malik Rutherford has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jamal Haynes has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Vanderbilt players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Vanderbilt Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Diego Pavia has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.65 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Quincy Skinner Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Diego Pavia has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Junior Sherrill has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Eli Stowers has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)

Georgia Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Tech is 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.55 Units / 4.18% ROI).

  • Georgia Tech is 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 14.48% ROI
  • Georgia Tech is 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Georgia Tech is 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI

Vanderbilt Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Vanderbilt is 8-4 against the spread this college football season (+3.6 Units / 27.38% ROI).

  • Vanderbilt is 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.95 Units / 24.71% ROI
  • Vanderbilt is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 3.79% ROI
  • Vanderbilt is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -12.12% ROI

Georgia Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Vanderbilt

Georgia Tech is 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .611

Georgia Tech is 11-1 (.846) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .621

Georgia Tech was winless (0-5) when not forcing a fumble in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .513

Georgia Tech is 1-4 (.200) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .465

Vanderbilt: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Tech

Vanderbilt is 3-15 (.167) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Vanderbilt is 7-12 (.368) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 14th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .483

Vanderbilt is 5-15 (.250) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .445

Vanderbilt is 4-13 (.235) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .503

Matchup Notes for Georgia Tech vs. Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt’s TEs has gained 673 yards on 53 receptions (12.7 YPR) this season — T-4th-best among SEC TEs. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among ACC defenses.

Vanderbilt’s TEs has 53 receptions in 12 games (4.4 per game) this season — T-4th-best among SEC TEs. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed 3.9 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt has gained 2,159 yards on 164 receptions (13.2 YPR) this season — T-28th-best among FBS skill players. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among ACC defenses.

Georgia Tech’s TEs has 26 receptions in 11 games (just 2.4 per game) this season — 3rd-worst among ACC TEs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 20.0 receptions per game this season — T-2nd-worst among SEC defenses.

Georgia Tech’s TEs has 56 receptions in 23 games (just 2.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among ACC TEs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 22.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Tech’s TEs has 56 receptions in 23 games (just 2.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among ACC TEs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 22.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — worst among SEC defenses.

Georgia Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Tech’s TEs has 26 receptions in 11 games (just 2.4 per game) this season — 3rd-worst among ACC TEs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 20.0 receptions per game this season — T-2nd-worst among SEC defenses.

Georgia Tech’s TEs has 56 receptions in 23 games (just 2.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among ACC TEs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 22.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Tech’s TEs has 56 receptions in 23 games (just 2.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among ACC TEs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 22.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — worst among SEC defenses.

Georgia Tech TEs have no touchdowns on 26 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3

Georgia Tech Skill Players have 11 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– most among Power Conference Teams

Vanderbilt Offensive Stats & Trends

Vanderbilt’s TEs has gained 673 yards on 53 receptions (12.7 YPR) this season — T-4th-best among SEC TEs. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among ACC defenses.

Vanderbilt’s TEs has 53 receptions in 12 games (4.4 per game) this season — T-4th-best among SEC TEs. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed 3.9 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt has gained 2,159 yards on 164 receptions (13.2 YPR) this season — T-28th-best among FBS skill players. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among ACC defenses.

Vanderbilt WRs have averaged just 6.9 receptions per game (83/12) this season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 12.0

Vanderbilt WRs have been targeted 21 times in the 1st quarter this season– fewest among SEC Teams

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Tech has not recorded a sack (38 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.3

Georgia Tech has allowed 4.2 touchdowns per interception (21 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) this season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.6

Georgia Tech has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 25 rushing attempts (16% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 18th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Georgia Tech has tackled opponents for a loss on 69 of 352 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) this season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Georgia Tech has allowed 41.8 receiving yards per game (501/12) to RBs this season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: 24.9

Vanderbilt Commodores Defensive Stats & Trends

Vanderbilt has allowed 284 first down receptions since the 2023 season– most in the SEC

Vanderbilt has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 50 attempts (20%) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%

Vanderbilt has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 17 of 108 attempts (16%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 9%

Vanderbilt has sacked opposing QBs on just 6% of pass attempts (43/777) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in the SEC; Average: 8%

Vanderbilt has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 50 attempts (20%) on 3rd and long this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 10%


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

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Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.