- Texas is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Georgia
- Georgia vs. Texas Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
The Georgia Bulldogs (10-2) visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the Texas Longhorns (11-1) on Dec. 7 in Atlanta, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EST.
Texas is a betting favorite in Week 15, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Georgia vs. Texas Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
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Georgia vs. Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Georgia | +2.5 -105 | 49.5 -110 | +120 |
Texas | -2.5 -115 | 49.5 -110 | -140 |
Georgia vs Texas Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas will win this game with 57.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia and Texas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Georgia vs Texas Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas will cover the spread with 58.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Georgia Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Georgia has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- Georgia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- Georgia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- Georgia has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Texas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.25 Units / 4% ROI)
- Texas has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+6.55 Units / 1% ROI)
- Texas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- Texas have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.15 Units / 14% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Georgia players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Georgia Player Prop Bets Today
- Dominic Lovett has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Arian Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Dillon Bell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Trevor Etienne has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Trevor Etienne has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texas Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Quintrevion Wisner has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Quinn Ewers has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Jaydon Blue has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Isaiah Bond has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jaydon Blue has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 37% ROI)
Georgia Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Georgia is 3-9 against the spread this college football season (-6.9 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- Georgia is 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.05 Units / 7.08% ROI
- Georgia is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.55 Units / -4.18% ROI
- Georgia is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.53% ROI
Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas is 7-5 against the spread this college football season (+1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI).
- Texas is 10-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.15 Units / 0.65% ROI
- Texas is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -28.03% ROI
- Texas is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 19.7% ROI
Georgia: Keys to the Game vs. Texas
Georgia was undefeated (8-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .420
Georgia is undefeated (18-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .638
Georgia is undefeated (17-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .666
Georgia is undefeated (17-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .706
Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia
Texas is 16-1 (.941) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .523
Texas is undefeated (13-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .597
Texas is 9-1 (.900) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .488
Texas is 11-3 (.786) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: .427
Matchup Notes for Georgia vs. Texas
Texas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.4% of 402 attempts this season — T-8th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.0% of attempts this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas’s offense has averaged 2.8 passing TDs per game this season — 3rd-best among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 1.0 passing TDs per game this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas has 2.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — 2nd-best among FBS skill players. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Georgia’s QBs has thrown for 3,564 passing yards in 12 games (297.0 YPG) this season — 9th-best among FBS teams. Texas’s defense has allowed just 143.5 passing yards per game this season — best among FBS defenses.
Georgia’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 451 attempts this season — T-26th-best among FBS offenses. Texas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.6% of attempts this season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.
Georgia have 297.0 receiving yards per game this season — 9th-best among FBS skill players. Texas’s defense has allowed just 143.5 receiving yards per game this season — best among FBS defenses.
Georgia Offensive Stats & Trends
Georgia QBs have 14 completions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– most among FBS Teams
Georgia QBs have 24 completions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Georgia TEs have been targeted 42 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most among SEC Teams
Georgia TEs have 10 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams
Georgia TEs have 1,043 receiving yards on 1st down since the 2023 season– most among SEC Teams
Texas Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas WRs have averaged 22.2 yards per reception (776 yards/35 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.4
Texas QBs have 18 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams
Texas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.4% of 402 attempts this season — T-8th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.0% of attempts this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas TEs have averaged a touchdown every 4.7 receptions (14 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 1.8
Texas Skill Players have 43 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among SEC Teams
Georgia Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends
Georgia has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 62 of 776 attempts (8%) since the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 10%
Georgia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (26 completions/62 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go since the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 57%
Georgia has allowed 185.0 Passing Yards per game (4,811/26) since the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 216.7
Georgia allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (26 completions/68 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 55%
Georgia has tackled opponents for a loss on just 130 of 846 rushing attempts (15% TFL%) since the 2023 season– 4th-worst in the SEC; Average: 17%.
Texas Longhorns Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas opponents has averaged 83.8 Passing Attempts per TD (335 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– best in FBS; Average: 20.7
Texas opponents has averaged 83.8 Passing Attempts per TD (335 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 26.3
Texas has allowed just 8.8 yards per completion (1,722 yards/196 completions) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 11.7
Texas has allowed 92.2 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs this season– best in the SEC; Average: 151.2
Texas opponents has averaged 83.8 Passing Attempts per TD (335 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.2
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