- The Kansas is a -5.5 point favorite vs. Houston
- The Houston vs. Kansas Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Houston Cougars (2-4) visit GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas Jayhawks (1-5) on Oct. 19 in Kansas City, MO. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Kansas is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Houston vs. Kansas Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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Houston vs. Kansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Houston | +5.5 -110 | 47.5 -110 | +180 |
| Kansas | -5.5 -110 | 47.5 -110 | -225 |
Houston vs Kansas Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Kansas will win this game with 67.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Houston and Kansas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Houston vs Kansas Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas will cover the spread with 55.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Houston Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Houston has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 75% ROI)
- Houston has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- Houston have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Houston has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 away games (+2.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Houston have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Kansas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Kansas have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- Kansas has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Kansas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Kansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Houston players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Houston Player Prop Bets Today
- Stephon Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Re’Shaun Sanford II has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Donovan Smith has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Stacy Sneed has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Donovan Smith has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 54% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kansas players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Kansas Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Devin Neal has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jalon Daniels has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Luke Grimm has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.05 Units / 105% ROI)
- Jalon Daniels has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Lawrence Arnold has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Houston Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Houston is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.25 Units / -3.85% ROI).
- Houston is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 24.18% ROI
- Houston is 0-6 when betting the Over for -6.6 Units / -100% ROI
- Houston is 6-0 when betting the Under for +6 Units / 90.91% ROI
Kansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kansas is 0-6 against the spread this college football season (-6.65 Units / -100% ROI).
- Kansas is 0-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.75 Units / -100% ROI
- Kansas is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Kansas is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Houston: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas
Houston is 2-7 (.222) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .608
Houston is 4-10 (.286) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: .485
Houston is 3-8 (.273) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .531
Houston is 3-8 (.273) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .499
Kansas: Keys to the Game vs. Houston
Kansas is 9-3 (.750) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .542
Kansas is 4-9 (.308) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .451
Kansas is 5-8 (.385) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .597
Kansas was 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush in the 2023 season– T-15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .634
Matchup Notes for Houston vs. Kansas
Kansas’s TEs has 11 receptions in 6 games (just 1.8 per game) this season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 TEs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 16.2 receptions per game this season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas’s WRs has gained 866 yards on 70 receptions (just 12.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas’s offense has thrown for 1,116 passing yards in 6 games (just 186.0 YPG) this season — 29th-worst among FBS offenses. Houston’s defense has allowed just 161.7 passing yards per game this season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.
Houston’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.3% of 144 attempts this season — T-27th-worst among FBS offenses. Kansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.7% of attempts this season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Houston’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.3% of 144 attempts this season — T-27th-worst among FBS offenses. Kansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.7% of attempts this season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.
Houston’s WRs has 4 receiving touchdowns this season — T-3rd-fewest among Big 12 WRs. Kansas’s defense has allowed 10 receiving touchdowns this season — T-4th-most among Big 12 defenses.
Houston Offensive Stats & Trends
Houston WRs have averaged just 10.1 yards per reception (644 yards/64 catches) this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.7
Houston Skill Players have averaged just 9.6 yards per reception (929 yards/97 catches) this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.5
Houston Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 24.2 receptions (97 Rec/4 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 10.5
Houston TEs have just one touchdown on 34 receptions since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.3
Houston TEs have just one touchdown on 34 receptions since the 2023 season– 5th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.4
Kansas Offensive Stats & Trends
Kansas’s TEs has 11 receptions in 6 games (just 1.8 per game) this season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 TEs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 16.2 receptions per game this season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas’s WRs has gained 866 yards on 70 receptions (just 12.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas’s offense has thrown for 1,116 passing yards in 6 games (just 186.0 YPG) this season — 29th-worst among FBS offenses. Houston’s defense has allowed just 161.7 passing yards per game this season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas’s TEs has 11 receptions in 6 games (just 1.8 per game) this season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 TEs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 16.2 receptions per game this season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas’s WRs has gained 866 yards on 70 receptions (just 12.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Houston Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends
Houston has allowed first downs on 67% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 23%
Houston has allowed first downs on 67% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 22%
Houston has allowed first downs on 67% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21%
Houston has not allowed a pass completion for 20+ yards (20 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 11%
Houston has allowed first downs on 43% of pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22%
Kansas Jayhawks Defensive Stats & Trends
Kansas’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 20% of PATs since the 2023 season– highest in FBS; Average: 7%
Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest in FBS; Average: 7%
Kansas’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 20% of PATs since the 2023 season– highest in the Big 12; Average: 8%
Kansas’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 20% of PATs since the 2023 season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Kansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 41 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-17th-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
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