Indiana vs Notre Dame Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – College Football Playoffs

BetMGM Betting Dec 19, 2024, 11:38 AM

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Notre Dame head coach Marcus Freeman looks at the scoreboard during the first half of the team's NCAA college football game against Stanford in South Bend, Ind., Saturday, Oct. 15, 2022.

(AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)

Notre Dame is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Indiana
Indiana vs. Notre Dame Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
TV Channel: ABC

The Indiana Hoosiers (11-1) visit Notre Dame Stadium to take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (11-1) on Dec. 20 in Notre Dame, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST.

Notre Dame is a betting favorite in the First Round of the College Football Playoffs, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Indiana vs. Notre Dame Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Indiana vs. Notre Dame Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Indiana	+7.5 -110	51.5 -110	+240
Notre Dame	-7.5 -110	51.5 -110	-300

Indiana vs Notre Dame Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Notre Dame will win this game with 70.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Indiana and Notre Dame, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Indiana vs Notre Dame Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Indiana will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Indiana Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Indiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 11% ROI)
Indiana has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 8% ROI)
Indiana have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.85 Units / 60% ROI)
Indiana has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
Indiana have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)

Notre Dame Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Notre Dame has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 11% ROI)
Notre Dame have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 61% ROI)
Notre Dame has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 26% ROI)
Notre Dame have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 32% ROI)
Notre Dame has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.55 Units / 17% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Indiana players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Indiana Player Prop Bets Today

Omar Cooper Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Tayven Jackson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Tayven Jackson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Notre Dame players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Notre Dame Player Prop Best Bets Today

Jaden Greathouse has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Riley Leonard has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Jeremiyah Love has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Beaux Collins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
Riley Leonard has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 48% ROI)

Indiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Indiana is 9-3 against the spread this college football season (+5.7 Units / 43.18% ROI).

Indiana is 9-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 7.62% ROI
Indiana is 9-3 when betting the Over for +5.7 Units / 43.18% ROI
Indiana is 3-9 when betting the Under for -6.9 Units / -52.27% ROI

Notre Dame Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Notre Dame is 10-2 against the spread this college football season (+7.8 Units / 58.43% ROI).

Notre Dame is 11-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -68.75 Units / -29.57% ROI
Notre Dame is 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
Notre Dame is 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI

Indiana: Keys to the Game vs. Notre Dame

Indiana is undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .631

Indiana is 6-1 (.857) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: .434

Indiana is undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .665

Indiana was winless (0-7) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .576

Notre Dame: Keys to the Game vs. Indiana

Notre Dame is undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .631

Notre Dame is undefeated (9-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .638

Notre Dame is undefeated (9-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .699

Notre Dame is 15-3 (.833) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .442

Matchup Notes for Indiana vs. Notre Dame

Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 2,357 passing yards in 12 games (just 196.4 YPG) this season — 34th-worst among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 174.0 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.6% of 324 attempts this season — 29th-worst among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.0% of attempts this season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.

Indiana’s WRs has averaged 14.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — best among Big Ten WRs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 11.2 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.

Indiana’s WRs has gained 2,743 yards on 177 receptions (15.5 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Indiana has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — best among Big Ten skill players. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 10.8 RAC since the 2023 season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Indiana Offensive Stats & Trends

Indiana’s WRs has gained 2,743 yards on 177 receptions (15.5 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 11.9 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 24th-best among FBS defenses.

Indiana’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.4% of 327 attempts this season — 9th-best among FBS offenses. Notre Dame’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.7% of attempts this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends

Notre Dame RBs have averaged 7.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,281 yards / 321 touches) this season– T-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

Notre Dame’s QBs has thrown for 2,320 passing yards in 12 games (just 193.3 YPG) this season — 34th-worst among FBS teams. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 174.0 passing yards per game this season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.

Indiana Hoosiers Defensive Stats & Trends

Indiana has allowed 244.8 yards from scrimmage per game this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 354.3

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 82 of 346 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 82 of 346 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 16%.

Indiana has allowed 5.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,938 yards / 571 touches) this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 6.7

Indiana has allowed just 9.3 yards per completion (2,088 yards/225 completions) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 11.8

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Defensive Stats & Trends

Notre Dame has allowed a Completion Pct of just 49% (166 completions/338 attempts) this season– best in FBS; Average: 61%

Notre Dame has allowed a Completion Pct of just 51% (361 completions/709 attempts) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 61%

Notre Dame opponents has averaged 41.7 Passing Attempts per TD (709 Pass Attempts/17 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 20.4

Notre Dame opponents averaged 46.4 Passing Attempts per TD (371 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 20.1

Notre Dame has allowed opponents to catch just 166 of 328 passes (51% Reception Pct) this season– best in FBS; Average: 61%