Indiana vs Ohio State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

BetMGM Betting Nov 22, 2024, 1:17 PM

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Ohio State head coach Ryan Day observes Rutgers during warm up before a NCAA college football game, Saturday, Nov. 3, 2023, in Piscataway, N.J. (AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)

(AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)

Ohio State is a -12.5 point favorite vs. Indiana
Indiana vs. Ohio State Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
TV Channel: FOX

The Indiana Hoosiers (10-0) visit Ohio Stadium to take on the Ohio State Buckeyes (9-1) on Nov. 23 in Columbus, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

Ohio State is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).

The Indiana vs. Ohio State Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

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Indiana vs. Ohio State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Indiana	+12.5 -105	52.5 -110	+375
Ohio State	-12.5 -115	52.5 -110	-500

Indiana vs Ohio State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 79.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Indiana and Ohio State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Indiana vs Ohio State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio State will cover the spread with 70.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Indiana Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Indiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 10 games (+10.60 Units / 18% ROI)
Indiana has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 8% ROI)
Indiana have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
Indiana have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 46% ROI)
Indiana has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)

Ohio State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Ohio State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.20 Units / 0% ROI)
Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.90 Units / 37% ROI)
Ohio State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.40 Units / 5% ROI)
Ohio State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.05 Units / 33% ROI)
Ohio State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.65 Units / 10% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Indiana players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Indiana Player Prop Bets Today

Tayven Jackson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Tayven Jackson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Omar Cooper Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Ohio State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ohio State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Will Howard has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.40 Units / 97% ROI)
Jeremiah Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Will Howard has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Will Howard has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Carnell Tate has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Indiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Indiana is 8-2 against the spread this college football season (+5.8 Units / 52.73% ROI).

Indiana is 9-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +9 Units / 8.66% ROI
Indiana is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
Indiana is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI

Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio State is 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).

Ohio State is 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 0.27% ROI
Ohio State is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
Ohio State is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI

Indiana: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio State

Indiana is undefeated (10-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .635

Indiana is undefeated (10-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .583

Indiana is 1-8 (.100) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .434

Indiana is undefeated (5-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

Ohio State: Keys to the Game vs. Indiana

Ohio State is 14-3 (.824) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: .445

Ohio State is 18-2 (.900) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .526

Ohio State is 17-1 (.944) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .708

Ohio State is undefeated (8-0) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .691

Matchup Notes for Indiana vs. Ohio State

Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.0% of 285 attempts this season — 25th-best among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.7% of attempts this season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State’s QBs has thrown for 2,676 passing yards in 10 games (267.6 YPG) this season — 30th-best among FBS teams. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 183.3 passing yards per game this season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.

Indiana’s offense has thrown for 2,765 passing yards in 10 games (276.5 YPG) this season — 23rd-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 160.1 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.

Indiana has gained 2,765 yards on 195 receptions (14.2 YPR) this season — best among Big Ten skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.

Indiana Offensive Stats & Trends

Indiana’s WRs has gained 2,365 yards on 152 receptions (15.6 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.

Indiana has gained 2,765 yards on 195 receptions (14.2 YPR) this season — T-8th-best among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.

Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends

Ohio State has gained 2,676 yards on 201 receptions (13.3 YPR) this season — T-25th-best among FBS skill players. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 9.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.

Ohio State’s WRs has gained 2,167 yards on 150 receptions (14.4 YPR) this season — T-29th-best among FBS WRs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.

Indiana Hoosiers Defensive Stats & Trends

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 71 of 293 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 71 of 293 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 16%.

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 22 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best in the Big Ten; Average: 8%.

Indiana has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 18 of 318 attempts (6%) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 10%

Indiana has allowed 72.2 rushing yards per game (722/10) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 124.3

Ohio State Buckeyes Defensive Stats & Trends

Ohio State opponents has averaged 49.2 Passing Attempts per TD (639 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 20.5

Ohio State opponents has averaged 65.8 Passing Attempts per TD (263 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.4

Ohio State opponents has averaged 65.8 Passing Attempts per TD (263 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 24.1

Ohio State has allowed 4 touchdowns on 162 completions (40.5 Completions Per TD) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.6

Ohio State opponents has averaged 49.2 Passing Attempts per TD (639 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.7