Iowa St. vs Arizona St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ Big 12 Championship

Arizona State head coach Kenny Dillingham shouts at officials during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Colorado, Saturday, Oct. 7, 2023, in Tempe, Ariz. (AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)
(AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)
  • Arizona St is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Iowa St.
  • Iowa State vs. Arizona State Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
  • TV Channel: ABC

The Iowa State Cyclones (10-2) visit AT&T Stadium to take on the Arizona State Sun Devils (10-2) on Dec. 7 in Arlington, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

Arizona St is a betting favorite in Week 15, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Iowa State vs. Arizona State Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

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Iowa State vs. Arizona State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Iowa State+2.5 -11050.5 -105+110
Arizona State -2.5 -11050.5 -115-135

Iowa State vs Arizona State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Arizona State will win this game with 57.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa St. and Arizona St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Iowa State vs Arizona State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona State will cover the spread with 60.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Iowa State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Iowa State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.35 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+10.60 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Arizona State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+7.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Arizona State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Arizona State have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 37% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Iowa State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Iowa State Player Prop Bets Today

  • Jaylon Jackson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Carson Hansen has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Rocco Becht has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Benjamin Brahmer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jaylin Noel has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arizona State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Arizona State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Jordyn Tyson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Cam Skattebo has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Sam Leavitt has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Cam Skattebo has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Melquan Stovall has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Iowa State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa St. is 7-5 against the spread this college football season (+1.45 Units / 11.03% ROI).

  • Iowa State is 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 5.34% ROI
  • Iowa State is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Iowa State is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI

Arizona State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona St is 10-2 against the spread this college football season (+7.8 Units / 59.32% ROI).

  • Arizona State is 10-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.6 Units / 55.35% ROI
  • Arizona State is 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
  • Arizona State is 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI

Iowa State: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona State

Iowa State is 9-1 (.900) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .478

Iowa State is 14-5 (.737) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .632

Iowa State is 14-2 (.875) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .673

Iowa State is 14-2 (.875) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: .630

Arizona State: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa State

Arizona State is 7-2 (.778) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .478

Arizona State is 6-11 (.353) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-40th-worst in FBS; Average: .452

Arizona State is 7-2 (.778) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– T-14th-best in FBS; Average: .433

Arizona State is 9-3 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .627

Matchup Notes for Iowa State vs. Arizona State

Arizona State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.3% of 316 attempts this season — T-18th-best among FBS offenses. Iowa State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.1% of attempts this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Arizona State’s WRs has gained 1,735 yards on 116 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Arizona State has gained 2,683 yards on 195 receptions (13.8 YPR) this season — T-13th-best among FBS skill players. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Iowa State has gained 3,096 yards on 235 receptions (13.2 YPR) this season — T-29th-best among FBS skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Iowa State’s WRs has averaged 23.2 targets per game this season — 5th-highest among Big 12 WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 14.2 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Iowa State’s TEs has gained 551 yards on 41 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends

Iowa State has gained 3,096 yards on 235 receptions (13.2 YPR) this season — T-29th-best among FBS skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Iowa State Skill Players have averaged 20.5 yards per reception (369 yards/18 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.5

Iowa State’s WRs has averaged 23.2 targets per game this season — 5th-highest among Big 12 WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 14.2 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Iowa State WRs have averaged 22.6 yards per reception (271 yards/12 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

Iowa State’s TEs has gained 551 yards on 41 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Arizona State Offensive Stats & Trends

Arizona State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.3% of 316 attempts this season — T-18th-best among FBS offenses. Iowa State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.1% of attempts this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Arizona State’s WRs has gained 1,735 yards on 116 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Arizona State has gained 2,683 yards on 195 receptions (13.8 YPR) this season — T-13th-best among FBS skill players. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Arizona State RBs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Arizona State has gained 2,683 yards on 195 receptions (13.8 YPR) this season — T-2nd-best among Big 12 skill players. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Iowa State Cyclones Defensive Stats & Trends

Iowa State opponents has averaged 6.5 Passing Attempts per TD (84 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 4.2

Iowa State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (42 completions/99 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 61%

Iowa State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 54% (417 completions/770 attempts) since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 61%

Iowa State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 37% (31 completions/84 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 53%

Iowa State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (42 completions/99 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 60%

Arizona State Sun Devils Defensive Stats & Trends

Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Arizona State has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 2 of 410 attempts (1%) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 2%

Arizona State intercepted 5 of 419 attempts (83.8 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.5

Arizona State has allowed 9 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-most among Power Conference Teams

Arizona State has allowed 9 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-most in FBS


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.