- Western Kentucky is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Jacksonville State
- Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentucky Total (Over/Under): 60.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPNU
The Jacksonville State Gamecocks (8-3) visit Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium to take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (7-4) on Nov. 30 in Bowling Green, KY. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EST.
Western Kentucky is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentucky Over/Under is 60.5 total points.
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Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Jacksonville State | +1.5 -105 | 60.5 -110 | +100 |
| Western Kentucky | -1.5 -115 | 60.5 -110 | -120 |
Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Western Kentucky will win this game with 54.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Jacksonville State and Western Kentucky, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Western Kentucky will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Western Kentucky vs Jacksonville State and all games with BetMGM
Jacksonville State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Jacksonville State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jacksonville State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+4.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- Jacksonville State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Jacksonville State has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jacksonville State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.55 Units / 22% ROI)
Western Kentucky Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- Western Kentucky have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+0.90 Units / 1% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Jacksonville State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jacksonville State Player Prop Bets Today
- Tre Stewart has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tyler Huff has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.25 Units / 74% ROI)
- Tyler Huff has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tyler Huff has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Michael Pettway has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Western Kentucky players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Western Kentucky Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Elijah Young has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kisean Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- River Helms has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Easton Messer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Jacksonville State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Jacksonville State is 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.45 Units / 3.7% ROI).
- Jacksonville State is 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 6.81% ROI
- Jacksonville State is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.4% ROI
- Jacksonville State is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.65 Units / -30.29% ROI
Western Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Western Kentucky is 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI).
- Western Kentucky is 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -1.03% ROI
- Western Kentucky is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
- Western Kentucky is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
Jacksonville State: Keys to the Game vs. Western Kentucky
Jacksonville State is 12-4 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .378
Jacksonville State is 12-4 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .427
Jacksonville State is 17-5 (.773) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– 40th-best in FBS; Average: .667
Jacksonville State is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .641
Western Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Jacksonville State
Western Kentucky is 11-3 (.786) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552
Western Kentucky is 12-9 (.571) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .442
Western Kentucky is 11-3 (.786) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .604
Western Kentucky is 8-2 (.800) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .667
Matchup Notes for Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky has 236 receptions in 11 games (21.5 per game) this season — T-35th-best among FBS skill players. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed just 16.5 receptions per game this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
Western Kentucky’s RBs has 42 receptions in 11 games (3.8 per game) this season — T-35th-best among FBS RBs. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed just 16.5 receptions per game this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
Caden Veltkamp (WKY) has completed 78.4% of passes (29/37) in the red zone this season — best of Qualified Quarterbacks. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed a completion rate of just 46.2% when defending in the red zone this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State’s RBs has averaged 12.2 yards after the catch this season — T-5th-best among FBS RBs. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 12.5 RAC this season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State’s offense has thrown for 2,027 passing yards in 11 games (just 184.3 YPG) this season — 21st-worst among FBS offenses. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 182.5 passing yards per game this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State’s RBs has averaged 12.2 yards after the catch this season — T-5th-best among FBS RBs. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 10.9 RAC to RBs this season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State Offensive Stats & Trends
Jacksonville State Skill Players have averaged 18.5 yards per reception (426 yards/23 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.9
Jacksonville State’s RBs has averaged 12.2 yards after the catch this season — T-5th-best among FBS RBs. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 12.5 RAC this season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State TEs have averaged 22.8 yards per reception (137 yards/6 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3
Jacksonville State’s offense has thrown for 2,027 passing yards in 11 games (just 184.3 YPG) this season — 21st-worst among FBS offenses. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 182.5 passing yards per game this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State have rushed for 41 TDs this season– most among FBS Offenses
Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends
Western Kentucky RBs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
Western Kentucky Skill Players have been targeted 165 times with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Western Kentucky WRs have 54 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Western Kentucky RBs have averaged 8.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (157 yards / 18 touches) in close and late situations this season– T-3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
Western Kentucky RBs have averaged 10.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (251 yards / 23 touches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 6th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.0
Jacksonville State Gamecocks Defensive Stats & Trends
Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 9 of 41 attempts (22%) on 3rd and long this season– worst in FBS; Average: 9%
Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 9 of 41 attempts (22%) on 3rd and long this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%
Jacksonville State has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 93 of 986 carries (9%) since the 2023 season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 13%
Jacksonville State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 59 of 466 rushing attempts (13% TFL%) this season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Jacksonville State has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 93 of 986 carries (9%) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Defensive Stats & Trends
Western Kentucky allowed 346.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last week– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 165.3
Opponents have averaged just 14.5 completions per game (160 / 11) against Western Kentucky this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 18.5
Western Kentucky allowed 419 rushing yards last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Western Kentucky has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 42 rushing attempts (14% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: 10%.
Opponents have averaged just 14.5 completions per game (160 / 11) against Western Kentucky this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 18.3
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