James Madison vs Appalachian State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 13

Appalachian State running back Kanye Roberts (14) runs towards the corner of the endzone during an NCAA football game on Saturday, Nov. 11, 2023, in Atlanta. (AP Photo/Jason Allen)
(AP Photo/Jason Allen)
  • James Madison is a -7 point favorite vs. Appalachian State
  • James Madison vs. Appalachian State Total (Over/Under): 60.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The James Madison Dukes (8-2) visit Kidd Brewer Stadium to take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers (4-5) on Nov. 23 in Boone, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:30pm EST.

James Madison is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).

The James Madison vs. Appalachian State Over/Under is 60.5 total points.

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James Madison vs. Appalachian State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
James Madison-7 -11060.5 -110-275
Appalachian State +7 -11060.5 -110+220

James Madison vs Appalachian State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts James Madison will win this game with 69.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both James Madison and Appalachian State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

James Madison vs Appalachian State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Appalachian State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • James Madison has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • James Madison have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+1.15 Units / 9% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for James Madison players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best James Madison Player Prop Bets Today

  • Alonza Barnett III has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Omarion Dollison has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Taylor Thompson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Appalachian State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Appalachian State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Makai Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kaedin Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

James Madison Against the Spread (ATS) Record

James Madison is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • James Madison is 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -1.49% ROI
  • James Madison is 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
  • James Madison is 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI

Appalachian State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Appalachian State is 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.55 Units / -35.68% ROI).

  • Appalachian State is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -33.47% ROI
  • Appalachian State is 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -46.46% ROI
  • Appalachian State is 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 38.38% ROI

James Madison: Keys to the Game vs. Appalachian State

James Madison is 12-2 (.857) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .401

James Madison is 15-1 (.938) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .466

James Madison is 12-2 (.857) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .445

James Madison is 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .380

Appalachian State: Keys to the Game vs. James Madison

Appalachian State is 10-3 (.769) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .592

Appalachian State is 11-6 (.647) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .466

Appalachian State is 9-3 (.750) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .553

Appalachian State is 11-6 (.647) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .526

Matchup Notes for James Madison vs. Appalachian State

Appalachian State has 2.1 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-24th-best among FBS skill players. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 1.1 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s offense has averaged 2.1 passing TDs per game this season — T-26th-best among FBS offenses. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 1.1 passing TDs per game this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s WRs have 218.2 receiving yards per game this season — 17th-best among FBS WRs. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 134.5 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — 27th-best among FBS defenses.

James Madison has 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-20th-best among FBS skill players. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

James Madison’s offense has averaged 2.2 passing TDs per game this season — T-21st-best among FBS offenses. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed 1.9 passing TDs per game this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

James Madison’s RBs has rushed for 1,422 yards on 255 carries (5.6 YPC) this season — T-31st-best among FBS RBs. Appalachian State’s defense have allowed 5.5 YPC this season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.

James Madison Offensive Stats & Trends

James Madison TEs have averaged 22.4 yards per reception (157 yards/7 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.1

James Madison has 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-20th-best among FBS skill players. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

James Madison TEs have caught 4 touchdown passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

James Madison WRs have averaged just 7.1 yards per reception (135 yards/19 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1

James Madison’s offense has averaged 2.2 passing TDs per game this season — T-21st-best among FBS offenses. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed 1.9 passing TDs per game this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State Offensive Stats & Trends

Appalachian State has 2.1 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-24th-best among FBS skill players. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 1.1 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s offense has averaged 2.1 passing TDs per game this season — T-26th-best among FBS offenses. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 1.1 passing TDs per game this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State RBs have averaged just 4.2 Yards per Carry (255 yards/60 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– T-26th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Appalachian State WRs have averaged 15.5 yards per reception (1,964 yards/127 catches) this season– T-13th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3

Appalachian State RBs have averaged 2.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (123 yards / 43 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 4.6

James Madison Dukes Defensive Stats & Trends

James Madison allowed 21.0 yards per completion (189 yards/9 completions) last week– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.9

James Madison allowed 21.0 yards per completion (189 yards/9 completions) last week– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 11.6

James Madison has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 45 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

James Madison has averaged 3.3 sacks per game since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

James Madison has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 45 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 11%.

Appalachian State Mountaineers Defensive Stats & Trends

Appalachian State has allowed 5.7 touchdowns per interception (17 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) this season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7

Appalachian State has not allowed a first down on any of their opponents’ 14 rush attempts on 3rd and long this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 17%

Appalachian State has allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (92 completions/131 attempts) in the 1st half this season– T-2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Appalachian State has not allowed a first down on any of their opponents’ 14 rush attempts on 3rd and long this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 16%

Appalachian State has allowed a Completion Pct of 69% (155 completions/225 attempts) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.