- Kansas is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Baylor
- Kansas vs. Baylor Total (Over/Under): 61.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
The Kansas Jayhawks (5-6) visit McLane Stadium to take on the Baylor Bears (7-4) on Nov. 30 in Waco, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.
Kansas is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Kansas vs. Baylor Over/Under is 61.5 total points.
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Kansas vs. Baylor Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Kansas | -1.5 -110 | 61.5 -110 | -125 |
Baylor | +1.5 -110 | 61.5 -110 | +105 |
Kansas vs Baylor Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Baylor will win this game with 54.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kansas and Baylor, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Kansas vs Baylor Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Baylor will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Kansas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kansas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.05 Units / 70% ROI)
- Kansas have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Kansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Kansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
Baylor Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Baylor has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.75 Units / 65% ROI)
- Baylor have covered the Spread in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 39% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kansas players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Kansas Player Prop Bets Today
- Luke Grimm has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.05 Units / 90% ROI)
- Jalon Daniels has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Jalon Daniels has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Devin Neal has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Lawrence Arnold has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Baylor players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Baylor Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Josh Cameron has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Hal Presley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Monaray Baldwin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Bryson Washington has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Kansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kansas is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.65 Units / -13.58% ROI).
- Kansas is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -35.93% ROI
- Kansas is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
- Kansas is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
Baylor Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Baylor is 8-3 against the spread this college football season (+4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI).
- Baylor is 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 10.05% ROI
- Baylor is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
- Baylor is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
Kansas: Keys to the Game vs. Baylor
Kansas is 3-6 (.333) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .532
Kansas is 12-3 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .589
Kansas is 9-8 (.529) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .427
Kansas is 1-5 (.167) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season– T-9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .474
Baylor: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas
Baylor is undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .737
Baylor is 1-8 (.111) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .399
Baylor is 2-7 (.222) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .504
Baylor is 2-7 (.222) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .525
Matchup Notes for Kansas vs. Baylor
Baylor’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.9% of 331 attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS offenses. Kansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.1% of attempts this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Baylor’s WRs has gained 1,890 yards on 131 receptions (14.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 WRs. Kansas’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Baylor’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.9% of 331 attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS offenses. Kansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.1% of attempts this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.5% of 594 attempts since the 2023 season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Baylor’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.1% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kansas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.5% of 594 attempts since the 2023 season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Baylor’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.1% of attempts since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas’s WRs has gained 3,812 yards on 234 receptions (16.3 YPR) since the 2023 season — best among Big 12 WRs. Baylor’s defense has allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kansas Offensive Stats & Trends
Kansas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.5% of 594 attempts since the 2023 season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Baylor’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.1% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kansas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.5% of 594 attempts since the 2023 season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Baylor’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.1% of attempts since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas’s WRs has gained 3,812 yards on 234 receptions (16.3 YPR) since the 2023 season — best among Big 12 WRs. Baylor’s defense has allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kansas’s TEs has gained 915 yards on 69 receptions (13.3 YPR) since the 2023 season — best among Big 12 TEs. Baylor’s defense has allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas has gained 5,346 yards on 364 receptions (14.7 YPR) since the 2023 season — best among Big 12 skill players. Baylor’s defense has allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends
Baylor’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.9% of 331 attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS offenses. Kansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.1% of attempts this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Baylor’s WRs has gained 1,890 yards on 131 receptions (14.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 WRs. Kansas’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Baylor’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.9% of 331 attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS offenses. Kansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.1% of attempts this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Baylor’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.5% of 773 attempts since the 2023 season — T-35th-best among FBS offenses. Kansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.4% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Baylor has gained 2,642 yards on 200 receptions (13.2 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among Big 12 skill players. Kansas’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas Jayhawks Defensive Stats & Trends
Kansas allowed 11.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (22 yards / 2 touches) in the Red Zone last week– worst in the Big 12; Average: 3.2
Kansas’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 19% of PATs since the 2023 season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%
Kansas’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 19% of PATs since the 2023 season– highest in the Big 12; Average: 8%
Kansas tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 13 rushing attempts (31% TFL%) last week– best in the Big 12; Average: 16%.
Kansas has allowed 4.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (272 yards / 64 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 5.6
Baylor Bears Defensive Stats & Trends
Baylor allowed no passing TDs (25 pass attempts) last week– T-best in the Big 12; Average: 20.3
Baylor has allowed a Completion Pct of just 17% (1 completions/6 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%
Baylor did not record a sack (36 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 14.9
Baylor tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 26 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) last week– worst in the Big 12; Average: 16%.
Baylor has allowed first downs on 17% of pass attempts on 3rd and short this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 49%
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