- Kansas State is a -12.5 point favorite vs. Houston
- Kansas State vs. Houston Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
The Kansas State Wildcats (7-1) visit TDECU Stadium to take on the Houston Cougars (3-5) on Nov. 2 in Houston, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Kansas State is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).
The Kansas State vs. Houston Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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Kansas State vs. Houston Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Kansas State | -12.5 -115 | 46.5 -110 | -550 |
| Houston | +12.5 -105 | 46.5 -110 | +400 |
Kansas State vs Houston Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this game with 81.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kansas State and Houston, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Kansas State vs Houston Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Houston will cover the spread with 51.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Kansas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kansas State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+1.75 Units / 4% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.20 Units / 8% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.00 Units / 15% ROI)
Houston Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Houston has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Houston has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- Houston have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Houston has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kansas State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Kansas State Player Prop Bets Today
- Keagan Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Avery Johnson has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Avery Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Avery Johnson has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- DJ Giddens has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Houston players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Houston Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Re’Shaun Sanford II has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Donovan Smith has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Stacy Sneed has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Stephon Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Donovan Smith has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kansas State is 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.45 Units / -28.16% ROI).
- Kansas State is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 18.08% ROI
- Kansas State is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
- Kansas State is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
Houston Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Houston is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.35 Units / -4.02% ROI).
- Houston is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 25.91% ROI
- Houston is 1-7 when betting the Over for -6.7 Units / -76.14% ROI
- Houston is 7-1 when betting the Under for +5.9 Units / 67.05% ROI
Kansas State: Keys to the Game vs. Houston
Kansas State is 10-2 (.833) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .495
Kansas State is 15-5 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: .610
Kansas State is 16-4 (.800) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .638
Kansas State is 16-4 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .638
Houston: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas State
Houston is 3-12 (.200) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: .447
Houston is 3-9 (.250) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .493
Houston is 3-11 (.214) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .475
Houston is 3-11 (.214) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 18th-worst in FBS; Average: .424
Matchup Notes for Kansas State vs. Houston
Houston’s QBs has thrown for 1,227 passing yards in 8 games (just 153.4 YPG) this season — 9th-worst among FBS teams. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 245.1 passing yards per game this season — 28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Houston’s offense has thrown for 1,227 passing yards in 8 games (just 153.4 YPG) this season — 9th-worst among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 245.1 passing yards per game this season — 28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Houston have just 153.4 receiving yards per game this season — 9th-worst among FBS skill players. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 245.1 receiving yards per game this season — 28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kansas State’s TEs has gained 288 yards on 30 receptions (just 9.6 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 TEs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas State’s TEs has 30 receptions in 8 games (3.8 per game) this season — 4th-best among Big 12 TEs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 16.6 receptions per game this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State’s TEs has 30 receptions in 8 games (3.8 per game) this season — 4th-best among Big 12 TEs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 16.6 receptions per game this season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends
Kansas State TEs have caught 8 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– most among Power Conference Teams
Kansas State’s TEs has gained 288 yards on 30 receptions (just 9.6 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 TEs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas State TEs have caught 17 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Kansas State TEs have caught 10 touchdown passes this season– most among Power Conference Teams
Kansas State TEs have caught 8 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– most among Big 12 Teams
Houston Offensive Stats & Trends
Houston Skill Players have averaged just 9.9 yards per reception (1,227 yards/124 catches) this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.4
Houston’s QBs has thrown for 1,227 passing yards in 8 games (just 153.4 YPG) this season — 9th-worst among FBS teams. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 245.1 passing yards per game this season — 28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Houston WRs have averaged just 10.7 yards per reception (864 yards/81 catches) this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.7
Houston TEs have just one touchdown on 38 receptions since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.5
Houston WRs have averaged just 9.4 yards per reception (217 yards/23 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.5
Kansas State Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Kansas State has allowed 96.8 rushing yards per game (774/8) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 150.6
Kansas State allowed first downs on 3% of rush attempts in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 18%
Kansas State opponents averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (40 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.9
Kansas State has allowed 2.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (240 yards / 89 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 3.8
Kansas State allowed 2.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (108 yards / 50 touches) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 3.8
Houston Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends
Houston allowed 14.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (14 yards / 1 touches) in the Red Zone last week– worst in the Big 12; Average: 3.9
Houston has allowed first downs on 57% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 23%
Houston has allowed a Completion Pct of just 37% (7 completions/19 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 60%
Houston has allowed a Completion Pct of just 20% (2 completions/10 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%
Houston has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 17 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 11%.
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