- Iowa St. is a -3 point favorite vs. Kansas State
- Kansas State vs. Iowa State Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
The Kansas State Wildcats (8-3) visit Jack Trice Stadium to take on the Iowa State Cyclones (9-2) on Nov. 30 in Ames, IA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.
Iowa St. is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Kansas State vs. Iowa State Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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Kansas State vs. Iowa State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Kansas State | +3 -110 | 51.5 -110 | +125 |
| Iowa State | -3 -110 | 51.5 -110 | -150 |
Kansas State vs Iowa State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Iowa State will win this game with 58.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kansas State and Iowa St., key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Kansas State vs Iowa State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa State will cover the spread with 58.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Iowa St. vs Kansas State and all games with BetMGM
Kansas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+1.10 Units / 7% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+0.35 Units / 1% ROI)
Iowa State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Iowa State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+2.65 Units / 5% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Iowa State have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.60 Units / 10% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kansas State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Kansas State Player Prop Bets Today
- Keagan Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Avery Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- DJ Giddens has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Avery Johnson has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Jayce Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Iowa State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Iowa State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jaylon Jackson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Carson Hansen has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Rocco Becht has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Benjamin Brahmer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jayden Higgins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kansas State is 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.65 Units / -30.42% ROI).
- Kansas State is 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -12.98% ROI
- Kansas State is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
- Kansas State is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
Iowa State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa St. is 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.45 Units / 3.73% ROI).
- Iowa State is 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.65 Units / 3.41% ROI
- Iowa State is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
- Iowa State is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
Kansas State: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa State
Kansas State is 9-4 (.692) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: .534
Kansas State is 17-6 (.739) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 32nd-best in FBS; Average: .633
Kansas State is 15-5 (.750) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .640
Kansas State is 16-5 (.762) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .619
Iowa State: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas State
Iowa State is 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .579
Iowa State is 14-7 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .526
Iowa State is 13-6 (.684) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 16th-best in FBS; Average: .427
Iowa State is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .607
Matchup Notes for Kansas State vs. Iowa State
Iowa State’s offense has thrown for 2,959 passing yards in 11 games (269.0 YPG) this season — 28th-best among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 231.5 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.8% of 740 attempts since the 2023 season — T-27th-best among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 9.2% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa State’s QBs has thrown for 2,933 passing yards in 11 games (266.6 YPG) this season — T-28th-best among FBS teams. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 231.5 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 9.0% of 322 attempts this season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. Iowa State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.2% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 9.0% of 322 attempts this season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. Iowa State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.2% of attempts this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas State’s TEs has 41 receptions in 11 games (3.7 per game) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 14.1 receptions per game this season — best among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends
Kansas State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 9.0% of 322 attempts this season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. Iowa State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.2% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 9.0% of 322 attempts this season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. Iowa State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.2% of attempts this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas State’s TEs has 41 receptions in 11 games (3.7 per game) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 14.1 receptions per game this season — best among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State TEs have caught 18 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most among Big 12 Teams
Kansas State’s TEs has 41 receptions in 11 games (3.7 per game) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 2.6 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends
Iowa State Skill Players have averaged 20.5 yards per reception (369 yards/18 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.4
Iowa State’s offense has thrown for 2,959 passing yards in 11 games (269.0 YPG) this season — 28th-best among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 231.5 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.8% of 740 attempts since the 2023 season — T-27th-best among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 9.2% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa State WRs have averaged 22.7 yards per reception (545 yards/24 catches) in short yardage situations since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.2
Iowa State Skill Players have averaged 20.9 yards per reception (773 yards/37 catches) in short yardage situations since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.4
Kansas State Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Kansas State has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 32 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 14%.
Kansas State allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (12 completions/40 attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 53%
Kansas State opponents averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (40 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.9
Kansas State sacked opponents 4 times last week– most in the Big 12
Kansas State allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (12 completions/40 attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 51%
Iowa State Cyclones Defensive Stats & Trends
Iowa State opponents has averaged 6.8 Passing Attempts per TD (81 Pass Attempts/12 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 4.2
Iowa State opponents has averaged 6.8 Passing Attempts per TD (81 Pass Attempts/12 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.9
Iowa State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 37% (30 completions/81 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 53%
Iowa State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 45% (51 completions/114 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 56%
Iowa State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (41 completions/94 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 61%
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