Kennesaw State vs Western Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 10

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Western Kentucky head coach Tyson Helton yells to his players during the New Orleans Bowl NCAA football game against South Alabama in New Orleans, Wednesday, Dec. 21, 2022. (AP Photo/Matthew Hinton)
(AP Photo/Matthew Hinton)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 30, 2024, 1:36 PM
  • Western Kentucky is a -24.5 point favorite vs. Kennesaw State
  • Kennesaw State vs. Western Kentucky Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN2

The Kennesaw State Owls (1-6) visit Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium to take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (5-2) on Oct. 30 in Bowling Green, KY. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Western Kentucky is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -24.5 (-110).

The Kennesaw State vs. Western Kentucky Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

Bet now on Western Kentucky vs Kennesaw State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Kennesaw State vs. Western Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kennesaw State+24.5 -11050.5 -110+1300
Western Kentucky -24.5 -11050.5 -110-2500

Kennesaw State vs Western Kentucky Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Western Kentucky will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kennesaw State and Western Kentucky, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Kennesaw State vs Western Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Western Kentucky will cover the spread with 55.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Western Kentucky vs Kennesaw State and all games with BetMGM


  • Kennesaw State has hit the Game Total Under in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Kennesaw State have covered the 1H Spread in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Kennesaw State have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.15 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 19% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kennesaw State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Kennesaw State Player Prop Bets Today

  • Qua Ashley has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Western Kentucky players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Western Kentucky Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Easton Messer has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kisean Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Elijah Young has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • River Helms has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Kennesaw State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kennesaw State is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI).

  • Kennesaw State is 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.78 Units / 135.46% ROI
  • Kennesaw State is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
  • Kennesaw State is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI

Western Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Western Kentucky is 6-1 against the spread this college football season (+4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI).

  • Western Kentucky is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 9.38% ROI
  • Western Kentucky is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • Western Kentucky is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI

Kennesaw State: Keys to the Game vs. Western Kentucky

Kennesaw State is winless (0-5) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: .538

Kennesaw State is winless (0-3) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .414

Kennesaw State is winless (0-5) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .332

Kennesaw State is 1-6 (.143) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: .538

Western Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Kennesaw State

Western Kentucky is 13-5 (.722) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .585

Western Kentucky is 9-3 (.750) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584

Western Kentucky is 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– 6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .541

Western Kentucky is 12-5 (.706) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .585

Matchup Notes for Kennesaw State vs. Western Kentucky

Western Kentucky’s RBs has rushed for 631 yards on 145 carries (just 4.4 YPC) this season — T-29th-worst among FBS RBs. Kennesaw State’s defense have allowed 4.7 YPC this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Western Kentucky’s RBs have 34.9 receiving yards per game this season — 26th-best among FBS RBs. Kennesaw State’s defense has allowed just 16.4 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Western Kentucky’s QBs has 1 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-18th-best among FBS teams. Kennesaw State’s defense has allowed 2.1 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kennesaw State has 85 receptions in 7 games (just 12.1 per game) this season — 6th-worst among FBS skill players. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

Kennesaw State has averaged just 10.3 yards after the catch this season — 10th-worst among FBS skill players. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 13.4 RAC this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kennesaw State Offensive Stats & Trends

Kennesaw State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 31.0 receptions (93 Rec/3 TDs) since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.6

Kennesaw State Skill Players have been targeted 175 times since the 2023 season– fewest among FBS Teams

Kennesaw State RBs have averaged 2.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (155 yards / 66 touches) on 2nd down since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Kennesaw State Skill Players averaged just 5.5 yards per reception (44 yards/8 catches) in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1

Kennesaw State RBs have averaged 9.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (296 yards / 33 touches) on 3rd down since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6

Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends

Western Kentucky RBs have 379 receiving yards on 3rd down since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Western Kentucky Skill Players have been targeted 150 times with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams

Western Kentucky WRs were targeted 87 times with 4-6 yards to go in the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams

Western Kentucky RBs have averaged 1.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (15 yards / 9 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 5th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5

Western Kentucky WRs have averaged 18.8 receptions per game (375/20) since the 2023 season– T-6th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.7

Kennesaw State Owls Defensive Stats & Trends

Kennesaw State has not recorded a sack (31 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Kennesaw State has intercepted 3 of 258 attempts (86.0 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.3

Kennesaw State tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 7 rushing attempts (43% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Kennesaw State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (3 completions/3 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%

Kennesaw State has allowed 4.7 touchdowns per interception (14 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) since the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Defensive Stats & Trends

Western Kentucky has allowed 6 rushing TDs on 42 carries (7 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.2

Western Kentucky has allowed 13.4 yards per completion (1,579 yards/118 completions) this season– T-15th-worst in FBS; Average: 11.8

Western Kentucky has allowed 3.8 touchdowns per interception (15 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: 9.9

Western Kentucky has intercepted 2 of 15 attempts (7.5 pass attempts per int.) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 37.3

Western Kentucky has intercepted 4 of 59 attempts (14.8 pass attempts per int.) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 38.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.