- Tennessee is a -16.5 point favorite vs. Kentucky
- Kentucky vs. Tennessee Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- TV Channel: SECN
The Kentucky Wildcats (3-5) visit Neyland Stadium to take on the Tennessee Volunteers (6-1) on Nov. 2 in Knoxville, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT.
Tennessee is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-105).
The Kentucky vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 45.5 total points.
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Kentucky vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Kentucky | +16.5 -115 | 45.5 -110 | +550 |
| Tennessee | -16.5 -105 | 45.5 -110 | -800 |
Kentucky vs Tennessee Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this game with 87.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kentucky and Tennessee, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Kentucky vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 89.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Kentucky Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+6.35 Units / 96% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+2.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Tennessee Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.45 Units / 0% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Tennessee have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 10 games (+2.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- Tennessee have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.55 Units / 18% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kentucky players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Kentucky Player Prop Bets Today
- Brock Vandagriff has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Brock Vandagriff has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Barion Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Dane Key has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Demie Sumo-Karngbaye has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Tennessee players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tennessee Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Dylan Sampson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Nico Iamaleava has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Squirrel White has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Dylan Sampson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nico Iamaleava has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kentucky is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Kentucky is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -7.12% ROI
- Kentucky is 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Kentucky is 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Tennessee is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI).
- Tennessee is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0% ROI
- Tennessee is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Tennessee is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Tennessee
Kentucky is 2-6 (.250) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .482
Kentucky is 4-5 (.444) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .677
Kentucky is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .417
Kentucky is 3-9 (.250) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .494
Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Kentucky
Tennessee is winless (0-1) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .414
Tennessee is 15-4 (.789) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .646
Tennessee is 15-2 (.882) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .680
Tennessee is undefeated (14-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .753
Matchup Notes for Kentucky vs. Tennessee
Tennessee’s RBs has just 0.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-worst among FBS RBs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 0.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.
Tennessee has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch this season — T-35th-best among FBS skill players. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 13.2 RAC this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
Tennessee’s RBs have just 14.9 receiving yards per game this season — 27th-worst among FBS RBs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 16.1 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky’s QBs has thrown for 1,329 passing yards in 8 games (just 166.1 YPG) this season — 12th-worst among FBS teams. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 180.0 passing yards per game this season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky’s offense has thrown for 1,329 passing yards in 8 games (just 166.1 YPG) this season — 11th-worst among FBS offenses. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 180.0 passing yards per game this season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky have just 166.1 receiving yards per game this season — 11th-worst among FBS skill players. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 180.0 receiving yards per game this season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends
Kentucky’s QBs has thrown for 1,329 passing yards in 8 games (just 166.1 YPG) this season — 12th-worst among FBS teams. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 180.0 passing yards per game this season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky’s offense has thrown for 1,329 passing yards in 8 games (just 166.1 YPG) this season — 11th-worst among FBS offenses. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 180.0 passing yards per game this season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky TEs have averaged 18.4 yards per reception (405 yards/22 catches) on 1st down since the 2023 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 12.2
Kentucky TEs have caught just 43 of 82 passes (52% Reception Pct) since the 2023 season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 69%
Kentucky QBs have 10 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– most among FBS Teams
Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends
Tennessee RBs have averaged 211.6 rushing yards per game (1,481/7) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 127.0
Tennessee RBs have rushed for 6 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Tennessee WRs have averaged 26.4 yards per reception (132 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.6
Tennessee WRs have averaged 26.4 yards per reception (132 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.9
Tennessee RBs have averaged 187.6 rushing yards per game (3,753/20) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 125.7
Kentucky Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Kentucky sacked opposing QBs on 19% of pass attempts (5/26) last week– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 6%
Kentucky has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 7 of 163 attempts (4%) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 2%
Kentucky has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 27 of 163 attempts (17%) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 10%
Kentucky has sacked opponents 9 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most in the SEC
Kentucky’s opponents has attempted just 20.4 passes per game this season– lowest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 30.9
Tennessee Volunteers Defensive Stats & Trends
Tennessee opponents has averaged 50.8 Passing Attempts per TD (203 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.9
Tennessee opponents has averaged 50.8 Passing Attempts per TD (203 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 21.3
Tennessee has allowed 4 touchdowns on 121 completions (30.2 Completions Per TD) this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 12.9
Tennessee has allowed 4.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,813 yards / 368 touches) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 6.8
Tennessee has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 247 carries (61.8 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best in the SEC; Average: 30.9
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