Louisiana Tech vs Florida International Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 5

FIU tight end Josiah Miamen lines up for a play during an NCAA football game between Western Kentucky University and Florida International University on Saturday, Sept. 24, 2022, in Bowling Green, Ky. WKU beat FIU 73-0.
(AP Photo/James Kenney)
  • The Louisiana Tech is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Florida International
  • The Louisiana Tech vs. Florida International Total(Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (1-2) visit South Dade Kia Field at Pitbull Stadium to take on the Florida International Panthers (1-3) on Sep. 28 in Miami, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT.

Louisiana Tech is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Louisiana Tech vs. Florida International Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Louisiana Tech vs. Florida International Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Louisiana Tech-2.5 -11051.5 -110-140
Florida International +2.5 -11051.5 -110+115

Louisiana Tech vs Florida International Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Louisiana Tech will win this game with 57.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Louisiana Tech and Florida International, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Louisiana Tech vs Florida International Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida International will cover the spread with 59.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Florida International vs Louisiana Tech and all games with BetMGM


  • Louisiana Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+3.60 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • FIU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.10 Units / 74% ROI)
  • FIU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 52% ROI)
  • FIU has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • FIU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 9 games (+1.10 Units / 11% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Louisiana Tech players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Louisiana Tech Player Prop Bets Today

  • no trends found

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Florida International players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Florida International Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Shomari Lawrence has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Keyone Jenkins has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Dean Patterson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Keyone Jenkins has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 53% ROI)

Louisiana Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Louisiana Tech is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 61.54% ROI).

Florida International Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida International is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.85 Units / 18.89% ROI).

Louisiana Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Florida International

Louisiana Tech is winless (0-8) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .422

Louisiana Tech is 1-7 (.125) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst in FBS; Average: .551

Louisiana Tech is 1-11 (.083) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Louisiana Tech is 3-11 (.214) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

Florida International: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana Tech

Florida International is 2-8 (.200) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .487

Florida International is 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 17th-worst in FBS; Average: .551

Florida International is 3-6 (.333) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .547

Florida International is 4-6 (.400) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .632

Matchup Notes for Louisiana Tech vs. Florida International

Florida International’s RBs has rushed for 341 yards on 79 carries (just 4.3 YPC) this season — T-29th-worst among FBS RBs. Louisiana Tech’s defense have allowed just 3.1 YPC this season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s RBs has 12 receptions in 3 games (4.0 per game) this season — T-33rd-best among FBS RBs. Florida International’s defense has allowed 21.8 receptions per game this season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s RBs has rushed for 215 yards on 58 carries (just 3.7 YPC) this season — T-12th-worst among FBS RBs. Florida International’s defense have allowed 5.8 YPC to RBs this season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s RBs has rushed for 215 yards on 58 carries (just 3.7 YPC) this season — T-12th-worst among FBS RBs. Florida International’s defense have allowed 5.1 YPC this season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana Tech Skill Players had 111 receiving yards in close and late situations last week– most among FBS Teams

Louisiana Tech TEs had 53 receiving yards on 3rd down last week– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Louisiana Tech Skill Players have averaged 24.0 yards per reception (240 yards/10 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2

Louisiana Tech RBs have averaged 71.7 rushing yards per game (215/3) this season– T-11th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 132.6

Louisiana Tech TEs have 67 receiving yards in close and late situations this season– 4th-most among FBS Teams

Florida International Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida International Skill Players had 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last week– most among FBS Teams

Florida International Skill Players had 9 receptions for 20 or more yards last week– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Florida International WRs had 8 receptions for 20 or more yards last week– most among FBS Teams

Florida International QBs had 5 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down last week– T-most among FBS Teams

Florida International QBs had 9 completions for 20 or more yards last week– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana Tech has allowed a Completion Pct of just 56% (229 completions/412 attempts) since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Louisiana Tech has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 3 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

Louisiana Tech has allowed a Completion Pct of just 55% (124 completions/226 attempts) in the 1st half since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Louisiana Tech allowed first downs on 15% of pass attempts in close and late situations in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 31%

Louisiana Tech has allowed first downs on 20% of pass attempts in close and late situations since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 31%

Florida International Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida International has not recorded a sack (52 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14.9

Florida International has not recorded a sack (52 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.1

Florida International has tackled opponents for a loss on just 10 of 167 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Florida International has tackled opponents for a loss on just 10 of 167 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Florida International did not record a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1


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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.