- The LSU is a -3 point favorite vs. Arkansas
- The LSU vs. Arkansas Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The LSU Tigers (5-1) visit Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks (4-2) on Oct. 19 in Fayetteville, AR. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
LSU is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).
The LSU vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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LSU vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| LSU | -3 -105 | 55.5 -110 | -145 |
| Arkansas | +3 -115 | 55.5 -110 | +120 |
LSU vs Arkansas Prediction:
The winning team model predicts LSU will win this game with 58.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both LSU and Arkansas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
LSU vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 67.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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LSU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- LSU has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 1% ROI)
- LSU has hit the Game Total Over in their last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 89% ROI)
Arkansas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+2.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- Arkansas have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.55 Units / 2% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.60 Units / 8% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for LSU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best LSU Player Prop Bets Today
- Garrett Nussmeier has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Josh Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Mason Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Kyren Lacy has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Aaron Anderson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arkansas players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Arkansas Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Tyrone Broden has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
LSU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
LSU is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- LSU is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 6.99% ROI
- LSU is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.45 Units / -36.84% ROI
- LSU is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.48% ROI
Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arkansas is 5-1 against the spread this college football season (+3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI).
- Arkansas is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 17.5% ROI
- Arkansas is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Arkansas is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
LSU: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas
LSU is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .623
LSU is undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .702
LSU is 13-2 (.867) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– 14th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .668
LSU is 5-2 (.714) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-13th-best in FBS; Average: .506
Arkansas: Keys to the Game vs. LSU
Arkansas is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .490
Arkansas is undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .710
Arkansas is 4-11 (.267) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .435
Arkansas is 4-11 (.267) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .499
Matchup Notes for LSU vs. Arkansas
Arkansas’s offense has thrown for 1,712 passing yards in 6 games (285.3 YPG) this season — 24th-best among FBS offenses. LSU’s defense has allowed 244.0 passing yards per game this season — 34th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas’s offense has averaged just 0.8 passing TDs per game this season — T-9th-worst among FBS offenses. LSU’s defense has allowed just 1.0 passing TDs per game this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
LSU Offensive Stats & Trends
LSU WRs have 27 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– most among SEC Teams
LSU WRs have caught 52 touchdown passes since the 2023 season– most among SEC Teams
LSU Skill Players have 30 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– most among SEC Teams
LSU QBs have 58 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
LSU WRs have 93 receptions for 20 or more yards since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas WRs have averaged a touchdown every 29.7 receptions (89 Rec/3 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 10.0
Arkansas WRs have averaged a touchdown every 29.7 receptions (89 Rec/3 TDs) this season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.4
Arkansas Skill Players have just one touchdown on 7 receptions in the Red Zone this season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 2.1
Arkansas WRs have averaged 26.5 yards per reception (371 yards/14 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.2
Arkansas TEs have averaged 22.7 yards per reception (250 yards/11 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7
LSU Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends
LSU has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (56 completions/78 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
LSU has allowed opponents to catch 56 of 77 passes (73% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
LSU has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (56 completions/78 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 55%
LSU allowed a Completion Pct of 74% (38 completions/51 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 55%
LSU has allowed opponents to catch 56 of 77 passes (73% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 55%
Arkansas Razorbacks Defensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 14 rushing attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
Arkansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 48 rushing attempts (2% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 11%.
Arkansas has no interceptions and 18 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 8.7
Arkansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 48 rushing attempts (2% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Arkansas has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 14 rushing attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
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