Marshall vs UL Lafayette Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – Sun Belt Championship

BetMGM Betting Dec 03, 2024, 3:42 PM

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Louisiana head coach Michael Desormeaux walks the field before an NCAA college football game against Florida State on Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022, in Tallahassee, Fla. (AP Photo/Gary McCullough)

(AP Photo/Gary McCullough)

UL Lafayette is a -5.5 point favorite vs. Marshall
Marshall vs. Louisiana Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
TV Channel: ESPN

The Marshall Thundering Herd (9-3) visit Cajun Field to take on the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (10-2) on Dec. 7 in Lafayette, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.

UL Lafayette is a betting favorite in Week 15, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Marshall vs. Louisiana Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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Marshall vs. Louisiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Marshall	+5.5 -110	56.5 -110	+170
Louisiana	-5.5 -110	56.5 -110	-200

Marshall vs Louisiana Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Louisiana will win this game with 59.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Marshall and UL Lafayette, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Marshall vs Louisiana Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana will cover the spread with 60.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Marshall Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Marshall have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.80 Units / 54% ROI)
Marshall have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.60 Units / 39% ROI)
Marshall has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.15 Units / 30% ROI)
Marshall has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.65 Units / 19% ROI)
Marshall has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 59% ROI)

Louisiana Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Louisiana has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 14% ROI)
Louisiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.40 Units / 25% ROI)
Louisiana has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.80 Units / 42% ROI)
Louisiana have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.55 Units / 18% ROI)
Louisiana has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.15 Units / 14% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Marshall players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marshall Player Prop Bets Today

A.J. Turner has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Louisiana players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Louisiana Player Prop Best Bets Today

Ben Wooldridge has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Terrance Carter has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Lance LeGendre has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Jacob Bernard has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Ben Wooldridge has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 71% ROI)

Marshall Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Marshall is 10-1 against the spread this college football season (+8.9 Units / 66.92% ROI).

Marshall is 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 23.69% ROI
Marshall is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
Marshall is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI

Louisiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UL Lafayette is 7-5 against the spread this college football season (+1.55 Units / 11.79% ROI).

Louisiana is 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.5 Units / 17.15% ROI
Louisiana is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
Louisiana is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI

Marshall: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana

Marshall is 9-2 (.818) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .482

Marshall is undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .592

Marshall is 13-10 (.565) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .402

Marshall is 14-3 (.824) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .749

Louisiana: Keys to the Game vs. Marshall

Louisiana is 10-2 (.833) when making 7 or more explosive plays this season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .592

Louisiana is 9-2 (.818) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .608

Louisiana is 15-8 (.652) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526

Louisiana is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-18th-best in FBS; Average: .635

Matchup Notes for Marshall vs. Louisiana

No notes available for this game

Marshall Offensive Stats & Trends

Marshall RBs have averaged 8.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (101 yards / 12 touches) on 3rd and short this season– T-3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5

Marshall RBs have averaged 7.2 Yards per Carry (488 yards/68 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– 7th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Marshall RBs have averaged 6.3 Yards per Carry (1,648 yards/261 carries) this season– 7th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Marshall QBs have fumbled 6 times in close and late situations since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Marshall WRs have averaged 18.1 yards per reception (470 yards/26 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 5th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2

Louisiana Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana RBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Louisiana RBs have averaged 21.4 yards per reception (107 yards/5 catches) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 8.3

Louisiana QBs have rushed for 5 TDs in the 4th quarter this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Louisiana TEs have averaged 5.5 receptions per game (138/25) since the 2023 season– T-4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.2

Louisiana RBs have averaged 17.8 yards per target (107 yards/6 targets) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 6.1

Marshall Thundering Herd Defensive Stats & Trends

Marshall has tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 36 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

Marshall has tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 36 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Marshall has tackled opponents for a loss on 28 of 135 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Marshall has tackled opponents for a loss on 13 of 67 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 11%.

Marshall sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 4 of 11 carries (36%) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19%

Louisiana sacked opponents 8 times in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Louisiana allowed 11 TD passes in close and late situations in the 2023 season– most in FBS

Louisiana has tackled opponents for a loss on just 118 of 977 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Louisiana sacked opponents 8 times in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– most in FBS