- Penn State is a -24.5 point favorite vs. Maryland
- Maryland vs. Penn State Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: BTN
The Maryland Terrapins (4-7) visit Beaver Stadium to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions (10-1) on Nov. 30 in University Park, PA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.
Penn State is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -24.5 (-110).
The Maryland vs. Penn State Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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Maryland vs. Penn State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Maryland | +24.5 -110 | 50.5 -115 | +1350 |
| Penn State | -24.5 -110 | 50.5 -105 | -5000 |
Maryland vs Penn State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Penn State will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Maryland and Penn State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Maryland vs Penn State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Maryland will cover the spread with 77.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Maryland Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Maryland has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Penn State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 0% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.35 Units / 10% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Maryland players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Maryland Player Prop Bets Today
- Tai Felton has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Roman Hemby has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kaden Prather has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Penn State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Penn State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Harrison Wallace III has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nicholas Singleton has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Julian Fleming has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Tyler Warren has hit the Receptions Over in his last game (+1.05 Units / 105% ROI)
- Drew Allar has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Maryland is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.65 Units / -13.58% ROI).
- Maryland is 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -19.56% ROI
- Maryland is 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
- Maryland is 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI
Penn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penn State is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).
- Penn State is 9-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 0.58% ROI
- Penn State is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
- Penn State is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. Penn State
Maryland is 2-6 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-12th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .458
Maryland is 2-4 (.333) when not forcing a fumble this season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .504
Maryland is 8-1 (.889) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– 8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .708
Maryland is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-15th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .298
Penn State: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland
Penn State is undefeated (7-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .489
Penn State is undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .607
Penn State is 15-1 (.938) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: .671
Penn State is 13-1 (.929) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-8th-best in FBS; Average: .613
Matchup Notes for Maryland vs. Penn State
Penn State’s TEs has gained 1,047 yards on 88 receptions (11.9 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Big Ten TEs. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Penn State has gained 2,785 yards on 213 receptions (13.1 YPR) this season — T-34th-best among FBS skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed 12.3 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Penn State’s WRs has averaged 13.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among Big Ten WRs. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 10.0 RAC to TEs since the 2023 season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Maryland has 603 receptions in 24 games (25.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 16.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Maryland’s offense has thrown for 3,186 passing yards in 11 games (289.6 YPG) this season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 174.1 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Maryland’s WRs has gained 2,287 yards on 197 receptions (just 11.6 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends
Maryland has 603 receptions in 24 games (25.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 16.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Maryland’s offense has thrown for 3,186 passing yards in 11 games (289.6 YPG) this season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 174.1 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Maryland’s WRs has gained 2,287 yards on 197 receptions (just 11.6 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Maryland’s offense has thrown for 3,186 passing yards in 11 games (289.6 YPG) this season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 174.1 passing yards per game this season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.
Maryland’s WRs has 384 receptions in 24 games (16.0 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big Ten WRs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 16.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends
Penn State WRs have averaged 30.3 yards per reception (91 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 14.0
Penn State WRs have averaged 30.3 yards per reception (91 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.8
Penn State TEs have averaged 8.0 receptions per game (88/11) this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3
Penn State TEs have caught 20 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams
Penn State TEs have averaged 8.0 receptions per game (88/11) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.6
Maryland Terrapins Defensive Stats & Trends
Maryland has allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (10 completions/25 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Maryland has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 28 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 8%.
Maryland has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (15/353) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 7%
Maryland has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 28 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.
Maryland has allowed first downs on 37% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 23%
Penn State Nittany Lions Defensive Stats & Trends
Penn State has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 35 carries (17.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.8
Penn State has allowed 5 rushing TDs on 342 carries (68.4 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 23.1
Penn State has tackled opponents for a loss on 189 of 776 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 16%.
Penn State has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (76/653) since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 7%
Penn State sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (50/340) in the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 8%
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