- Wisconsin is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Minnesota
- Minnesota vs. Wisconsin Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
- TV Channel: CBS
The Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-5) visit Camp Randall Stadium to take on the Wisconsin Badgers (5-6) on Nov. 29 in Madison, WI. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.
Wisconsin is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Minnesota vs. Wisconsin Over/Under is 43.5 total points.
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Minnesota vs. Wisconsin Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Minnesota | +2.5 -110 | 43.5 -110 | +115 |
| Wisconsin | -2.5 -110 | 43.5 -110 | -140 |
Minnesota vs Wisconsin Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Wisconsin will win this game with 55.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Minnesota and Wisconsin, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Minnesota vs Wisconsin Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wisconsin will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Minnesota Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Minnesota have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.75 Units / 6% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Wisconsin Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Wisconsin has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+12.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Wisconsin have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.25 Units / 10% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Minnesota players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Minnesota Player Prop Bets Today
- Daniel Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Elijah Spencer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Darius Taylor has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Max Brosmer has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Max Brosmer has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Wisconsin players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Wisconsin Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Tyler Van Dyke has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.50 Units / 125% ROI)
- Tawee Walker has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Will Pauling has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Chez Mellusi has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Braedyn Locke has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Minnesota is 8-2 against the spread this college football season (+5.75 Units / 47.13% ROI).
- Minnesota is 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 2.33% ROI
- Minnesota is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
- Minnesota is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Wisconsin is 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI).
- Wisconsin is 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -2.02% ROI
- Wisconsin is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.12% ROI
- Wisconsin is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.55 Units / -12.86% ROI
Minnesota: Keys to the Game vs. Wisconsin
Minnesota is 4-7 (.364) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .589
Minnesota is 4-10 (.286) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .416
Minnesota is 2-11 (.154) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .442
Minnesota is 2-11 (.154) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .485
Wisconsin: Keys to the Game vs. Minnesota
Wisconsin is winless (0-9) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .298
Wisconsin is 1-6 (.143) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .458
Wisconsin is 3-9 (.250) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .508
Wisconsin is 1-6 (.143) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514
Matchup Notes for Minnesota vs. Wisconsin
Wisconsin’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.8% of 333 attempts this season — 19th-worst among FBS offenses. Minnesota’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.5% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Wisconsin has averaged just 10.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.8% of 333 attempts this season — 19th-worst among FBS offenses. Minnesota’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.5% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Minnesota’s offense has thrown for 4,325 passing yards in 24 games (just 180.2 YPG) since the 2023 season — 14th-worst among FBS offenses. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 194.0 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Minnesota has gained 2,461 yards on 236 receptions (just 10.4 YPR) this season — 7th-worst among FBS skill players. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Minnesota’s WRs has averaged just 11.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 11.6 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Minnesota Offensive Stats & Trends
Minnesota’s offense has thrown for 4,325 passing yards in 24 games (just 180.2 YPG) since the 2023 season — 14th-worst among FBS offenses. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 194.0 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Minnesota has gained 2,461 yards on 236 receptions (just 10.4 YPR) this season — 7th-worst among FBS skill players. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Minnesota’s WRs has averaged just 11.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 11.6 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Minnesota has gained 4,325 yards on 400 receptions (just 10.8 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among Big Ten skill players. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.
Minnesota’s offense has thrown for 4,325 passing yards in 24 games (just 180.2 YPG) since the 2023 season — 14th-worst among FBS offenses. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 194.0 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin Offensive Stats & Trends
Wisconsin’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.8% of 333 attempts this season — 19th-worst among FBS offenses. Minnesota’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.5% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Wisconsin has averaged just 10.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin Skill Players have averaged 21.5 yards per reception (86 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and short this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 8.6
Wisconsin’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.8% of 333 attempts this season — 19th-worst among FBS offenses. Minnesota’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.5% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin has averaged just 10.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 9.8 RAC to TEs since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Minnesota Golden Gophers Defensive Stats & Trends
Minnesota tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 70 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
Minnesota has tackled opponents for a loss on just 8 of 117 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Minnesota has tackled opponents for a loss on just 8 of 117 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
Minnesota has allowed a Completion Pct of 79% (22 completions/28 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 64%
Minnesota did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2
Wisconsin Badgers Defensive Stats & Trends
Wisconsin has sacked opposing QBs just once on 75 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14.2
Wisconsin has sacked opposing QBs just once on 75 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.8
Wisconsin did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2
Wisconsin did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
Wisconsin did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14.4
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