- Mississippi is a -10 point favorite vs. Florida
- Ole Miss vs. Florida Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
The Ole Miss Rebels (8-2) visit Ben Hill Griffin Stadium to take on the Florida Gators (5-5) on Nov. 23 in Gainesville, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.
Mississippi is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).
The Ole Miss vs. Florida Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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Ole Miss vs. Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Ole Miss | -10 -110 | 55.5 -110 | -375 |
| Florida | +10 -110 | 55.5 -110 | +300 |
Ole Miss vs Florida Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Ole Miss will win this game with 75.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Mississippi and Florida, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Ole Miss vs Florida Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ole Miss will cover the spread with 70.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Ole Miss Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ole Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 away games (+6.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+6.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ole Miss have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
Florida Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+10.15 Units / 126% ROI)
- Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Florida has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+2.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Florida have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.40 Units / 19% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Ole Miss players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ole Miss Player Prop Bets Today
- Henry Parrish Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Cayden Lee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jaxson Dart has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jordan Watkins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Domonique Thomas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Florida players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Florida Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Elijhah Badger has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Eugene Wilson III has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- DJ Lagway has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Graham Mertz has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- DJ Lagway has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 43% ROI)
Ole Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi is 7-3 against the spread this college football season (+3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI).
- Ole Miss is 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -0.2% ROI
- Ole Miss is 2-8 when betting the Over for -6.85 Units / -61.99% ROI
- Ole Miss is 8-2 when betting the Under for +5.8 Units / 52.97% ROI
Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI).
- Florida is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -4.72% ROI
- Florida is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Florida is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
Ole Miss: Keys to the Game vs. Florida
Ole Miss is undefeated (11-0) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .691
Ole Miss is undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .614
Ole Miss is 15-3 (.833) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: .445
Ole Miss is undefeated (11-0) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .624
Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Ole Miss
Florida is 2-9 (.182) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .434
Florida is 5-11 (.312) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .418
Florida is 11-2 (.846) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .752
Florida is 2-9 (.182) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .384
Matchup Notes for Ole Miss vs. Florida
Florida has gained 2,316 yards on 162 receptions (14.3 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among SEC skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida’s WRs has gained 1,868 yards on 109 receptions (17.1 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among SEC WRs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-best among SEC defenses.
Florida has gained 2,316 yards on 162 receptions (14.3 YPR) this season — T-2nd-best among Power 5 skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Ole Miss’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 19.1% of 330 attempts this season — 2nd-best among FBS offenses. Florida’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.3% of attempts this season — 3rd-worst among P5 defenses.
Ole Miss’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 19.1% of 330 attempts this season — 2nd-best among FBS offenses. Florida’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.3% of attempts this season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.
Ole Miss’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 19.1% of 330 attempts this season — 2nd-best among FBS offenses. Florida’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.3% of attempts this season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.
Ole Miss Offensive Stats & Trends
Ole Miss QBs have 34 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down this season– most among FBS Teams
Ole Miss’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 19.1% of 330 attempts this season — 2nd-best among FBS offenses. Florida’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.3% of attempts this season — 3rd-worst among P5 defenses.
Ole Miss’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 19.1% of 330 attempts this season — 2nd-best among FBS offenses. Florida’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.3% of attempts this season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.
Ole Miss WRs have 54 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– most among FBS Teams
Ole Miss Skill Players have averaged 15.2 yards per reception (7,355 yards/484 catches) since the 2023 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 12.8
Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
Florida has gained 2,316 yards on 162 receptions (14.3 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among SEC skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida WRs have averaged just 1.0 yards per reception (1 yards/1 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 11.5
Florida’s WRs has gained 1,868 yards on 109 receptions (17.1 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among SEC WRs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-best among SEC defenses.
Florida Skill Players caught just 13 of 26 passes(50% Reception Pct) last week– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 64%
Florida Skill Players averaged 17.4 yards per reception (226 yards/13 catches) last week– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.4
Ole Miss Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends
Ole Miss has averaged 4.7 sacks per game this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.2
Ole Miss has tackled opponents for a loss on 95 of 358 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) this season– best in FBS; Average: 16%.
Ole Miss has allowed 5 rushing TDs on 358 carries (71.6 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 26.3
Ole Miss has sacked opponents 47 times this season– most in FBS
Ole Miss has tackled opponents for a loss on 14 of 44 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Florida Gators Defensive Stats & Trends
Florida has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 25 of 646 attempts (4%) since the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 2%
Florida has allowed 46 receptions for 20+ yards this season– most in the SEC
Florida has allowed first downs on 30% of rush attempts on 3rd and long this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 13%
Florida has allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (6 completions/6 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 64%
Florida averaged 0.25 interceptions per game (3/12) in the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 0.87
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