Missouri vs South Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 12

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South Carolina head coach Shane Beamer reacts to a call during the second quarter of the Gator Bowl NCAA college football game against Notre Dame on Friday, Dec. 30, 2022, in Jacksonville, Fla. (AP Photo/Gary McCullough)
(AP Photo/Gary McCullough)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 13, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • South Carolina is a -12.5 point favorite vs. Missouri
  • Missouri vs. South Carolina Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
  • TV Channel: SECN

The Missouri Tigers (7-2) visit Williams-Brice Stadium to take on the South Carolina Gamecocks (6-3) on Nov. 16 in Columbia, SC. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:15pm EST.

South Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Missouri vs. South Carolina Over/Under is 44.5 total points.

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Missouri vs. South Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Missouri+12.5 -11044.5 -110+360
South Carolina -12.5 -11044.5 -110-500

Missouri vs South Carolina Prediction:

The winning team model predicts South Carolina will win this game with 83.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Missouri and South Carolina, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Missouri vs South Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Carolina will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on South Carolina vs Missouri and all games with BetMGM


  • Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • South Carolina have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • South Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 38% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Missouri players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Missouri Player Prop Bets Today

  • Luther Burden III has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Marcus Carroll has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Theo Wease Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Luther Burden III has hit the Receptions Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Theo Wease Jr. has hit the Receptions Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for South Carolina players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best South Carolina Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Raheim Sanders has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jared Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • LaNorris Sellers has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Joshua Simon has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • LaNorris Sellers has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 45% ROI)

Missouri Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Missouri is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.5 Units / 5% ROI).

  • Missouri is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 0.94% ROI
  • Missouri is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Missouri is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

South Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Carolina is 7-2 against the spread this college football season (+4.8 Units / 48.73% ROI).

  • South Carolina is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 9.67% ROI
  • South Carolina is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • South Carolina is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Missouri: Keys to the Game vs. South Carolina

Missouri is undefeated (9-0) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .693

Missouri is undefeated (11-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .674

Missouri is undefeated (14-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .617

Missouri is undefeated (11-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .715

South Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Missouri

South Carolina is 4-8 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .472

South Carolina is 3-8 (.273) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .513

South Carolina is 3-8 (.273) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .413

South Carolina is 3-8 (.273) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .385

Matchup Notes for Missouri vs. South Carolina

South Carolina has 138 receptions in 9 games (just 15.3 per game) this season — T-29th-worst among FBS skill players. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 14.0 receptions per game this season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.

Oscar Adaway (SC) has rushed for 10 or more yards on just 3.8% of 53 carries this season — 3rd-worst of Qualified Running Back. Missouri’s defense has allowed 10+ yards on just 10.4% of carries to RBs this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

LaNorris Sellers (SC) has averaged just 7.5 pass attempts per sack this season — 5th-worst of Qualified Quarterbacks. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 10.7 pass attempts per sack this season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.

Missouri’s RBs have just 12.9 receiving yards per game this season — T-16th-worst among FBS RBs. South Carolina’s defense has allowed just 194.1 receiving yards per game this season — 33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Brady Cook (MIZ) has thrown 7 TDs and just one interception this season — T-5th-best of Qualified Quarterbacks. South Carolina’s defense has allowed just 0.6 TDs per Interception this season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends

Missouri Skill Players had 4 receptions in the Red Zone last week– most among SEC Teams

Missouri Skill Players have no touchdowns on 16 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 11.6

Missouri TEs have averaged just 5.9 yards per reception (107 yards/18 catches) with 7-10 yards to go this season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 11.4

Missouri Skill Players have averaged just 10.1 yards per reception (1,340 yards/133 catches) with 7-10 yards to go this season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 13.2

Missouri TEs have averaged just 5.3 yards per reception (37 yards/7 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7

South Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

South Carolina TEs have averaged 28.2 yards per reception (169 yards/6 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 12.0

South Carolina WRs have no touchdowns on 1 receptions in the Red Zone this season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 2.0

South Carolina TEs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among SEC Teams

South Carolina RBs have averaged 9.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (302 yards / 33 touches) on 3rd down this season– T-4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.7

South Carolina TEs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– T-3rd-most among Power Conference Teams

Missouri Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

Missouri forced 4 fumbles last week– T-most among Power Conference Teams

Missouri has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 19 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

Missouri forced 4 fumbles last week– T-most in FBS

Missouri has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 19 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best in the SEC; Average: 11%.

Missouri allowed 6 rushing TDs on 60 carries (10 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 4.7

South Carolina Gamecocks Defensive Stats & Trends

South Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of just 27% (6 completions/22 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 54%

South Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of just 27% (6 completions/22 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best in the SEC; Average: 51%

South Carolina has forced 16 fumbles this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams

South Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of just 27% (6 completions/22 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%

South Carolina has averaged 3.7 sacks per game this season– 2nd-best in the SEC; Average: 2.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.