- The Bowling Green is a -3 point favorite vs. N Illinois
- The Northern Illinois vs. Bowling Green Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Northern Illinois Huskies (3-2) visit Doyt L. Perry Stadium to take on the Bowling Green Falcons (2-3) on Oct. 12 in Bowling Green, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Bowling Green is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Northern Illinois vs. Bowling Green Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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Northern Illinois vs. Bowling Green Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Northern Illinois | +3 -110 | 47.5 -110 | +120 |
| Bowling Green | -3 -110 | 47.5 -110 | -145 |
Northern Illinois vs Bowling Green Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Bowling Green will win this game with 57.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both N Illinois and Bowling Green, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Northern Illinois vs Bowling Green Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Bowling Green will cover the spread with 59.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Northern Illinois Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Northern Illinois has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+5.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Northern Illinois have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 42% ROI)
Bowling Green Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Bowling Green has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 7 games (+8.45 Units / 72% ROI)
- Bowling Green have covered the 1H Spread in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Bowling Green have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.20 Units / 65% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 65% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.65 Units / 77% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Northern Illinois players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Northern Illinois Player Prop Bets Today
- Trayvon Rudolph has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Antario Brown has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Bowling Green players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bowling Green Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Harold Fannin Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Terion Stewart has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Northern Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record
N Illinois is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI).
- Northern Illinois is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -16.39% ROI
- Northern Illinois is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.25 Units / -28.09% ROI
- Northern Illinois is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 20.69% ROI
Bowling Green Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Bowling Green is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 45.45% ROI).
- Bowling Green is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Bowling Green is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.15 Units / -3.37% ROI
- Bowling Green is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -2.3% ROI
Northern Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Bowling Green
Northern Illinois is 6-5 (.545) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .440
Northern Illinois is 7-3 (.700) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .551
Northern Illinois is 6-2 (.750) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .599
Northern Illinois is 6-1 (.857) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .611
Bowling Green: Keys to the Game vs. Northern Illinois
Bowling Green is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .632
Bowling Green is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .284
Bowling Green is 7-2 (.778) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .627
Bowling Green is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .588
Matchup Notes for Northern Illinois vs. Bowling Green
Bowling Green’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-9th-worst among FBS WRs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green’s TEs has 105 receptions in 18 games (5.8 per game) since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among FBS TEs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 15.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green’s TEs has 51 receptions in 5 games (10.2 per game) this season — best among FBS TEs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 15.0 receptions per game this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s WRs has 186 receptions in 18 games (just 10.3 per game) since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS WRs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 15.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Northern Illinois has 276 receptions in 18 games (just 15.3 per game) since the 2023 season — 19th-worst among FBS skill players. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 15.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Northern Illinois’s QBs has thrown for 3,401 passing yards in 18 games (just 188.9 YPG) since the 2023 season — 24th-worst among FBS teams. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 182.4 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends
Northern Illinois’s WRs has 186 receptions in 18 games (just 10.3 per game) since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS WRs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 15.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Northern Illinois has 276 receptions in 18 games (just 15.3 per game) since the 2023 season — 19th-worst among FBS skill players. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 15.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Northern Illinois’s QBs has thrown for 3,401 passing yards in 18 games (just 188.9 YPG) since the 2023 season — 24th-worst among FBS teams. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 182.4 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois has 276 receptions in 18 games (just 15.3 per game) since the 2023 season — 19th-worst among FBS skill players. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 15.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s WRs has 186 receptions in 18 games (just 10.3 per game) since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS WRs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 15.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends
Bowling Green TEs have 11 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Bowling Green TEs have averaged 10.2 receptions per game (51/5) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3
Bowling Green’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-9th-worst among FBS WRs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green RBs have been targeted 7 times in short yardage situations this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Bowling Green’s TEs has 105 receptions in 18 games (5.8 per game) since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among FBS TEs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 15.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois Huskies Defensive Stats & Trends
Northern Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on just 7 of 92 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Northern Illinois has allowed just 169.9 receiving yards per game (3,058/18) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 225.0
Northern Illinois has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 13 rushing attempts in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
Northern Illinois has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 13 rushing attempts in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Northern Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on just 7 of 92 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
Bowling Green Falcons Defensive Stats & Trends
Bowling Green has one interception and 8 TD passes allowed this season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7
Bowling Green has intercepted one of 131 attempts this season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.4
Bowling Green has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (48/470) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Bowling Green allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 3 of their 22 carries (14%) last week– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4%
Bowling Green has allowed 121.3 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 173.8
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