- The NC State is a -6.5 point favorite vs. N Illinois
- The Northern Illinois vs. North Carolina State Total(Over/Under): 47.5 points
- TV Channel: CW
The Northern Illinois Huskies (2-1) visit Carter-Finley Stadium to take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack (2-2) on Sep. 28 in Raleigh, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
NC State is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Northern Illinois vs. North Carolina State Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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Northern Illinois vs. North Carolina State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Northern Illinois | +6.5 -110 | 47.5 -115 | +200 |
| North Carolina State | -6.5 -110 | 47.5 -105 | -250 |
Northern Illinois vs North Carolina State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts North Carolina State will win this game with 70.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both N Illinois and NC State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Northern Illinois vs North Carolina State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Northern Illinois will cover the spread with 54.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on NC State vs N Illinois and all games with BetMGM
Northern Illinois Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Northern Illinois has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+5.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the Moneyline in their last 3 games (+3.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Northern Illinois have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 22% ROI)
North Carolina State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- NC State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+6.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+2.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- NC State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+0.70 Units / 8% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Northern Illinois players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Northern Illinois Player Prop Bets Today
- Trayvon Rudolph has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Antario Brown has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for North Carolina State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best North Carolina State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Kevin Concepcion has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kevin Concepcion has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Northern Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record
N Illinois is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 60.61% ROI).
North Carolina State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
NC State is 0-4 against the spread this college football season (-4.4 Units / -100% ROI).
Northern Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina State
Northern Illinois is 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .379
Northern Illinois is 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .336
Northern Illinois is 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .393
Northern Illinois is 6-2 (.750) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .604
North Carolina State: Keys to the Game vs. Northern Illinois
North Carolina State is 6-1 (.857) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .507
North Carolina State is 6-1 (.857) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .536
North Carolina State is 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: .632
North Carolina State is 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .445
Matchup Notes for Northern Illinois vs. North Carolina State
North Carolina State’s RBs have just 13.0 receiving yards per game this season — 33rd-worst among FBS RBs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 158.0 receiving yards per game this season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
Justin Joly (NCST) has gained 225 yards on 14 receptions (16.1 YPR) this season — T-4th-best of Qualified Tight Ends. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
Justin Joly (NCST) has 14 receptions in 4 games (3.5 per game) this season — T-5th-best of Qualified Tight Ends. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 15.7 receptions per game this season — 33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s RBs have 80.0 receiving yards per game this season — 3rd-best among FBS RBs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 246.8 receiving yards per game this season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.
Northern Illinois’s RBs have 80.0 receiving yards per game this season — 3rd-best among FBS RBs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 246.8 receiving yards per game this season — 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s QBs has rushed for 72 yards on 16 carries (4.5 YPC) this season — T-32nd-best among FBS teams. North Carolina State’s defense have allowed 5.8 YPC this season — worst among ACC defenses.
Northern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends
Northern Illinois TEs have been targeted 9 times in close and late situations this season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
Northern Illinois RBs were targeted 7 times on 1st down last week– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Northern Illinois RBs have been targeted 6 times in close and late situations this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
Northern Illinois TEs were targeted 6 times in the 4th quarter last week– T-most among FBS Teams
Northern Illinois Skill Players had no touchdowns on 23 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.0
North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina State TEs have averaged 24.8 yards per reception (124 yards/5 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3
North Carolina State Skill Players have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams
North Carolina State TEs have averaged 20.0 yards per reception (80 yards/4 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3
North Carolina State TEs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
North Carolina State QBs have 4 completions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Northern Illinois Huskies Defensive Stats & Trends
Northern Illinois has allowed first downs on 67% of rush attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 17%
Northern Illinois sacked opposing QBs on 18% of pass attempts (3/17) last week– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5%
Northern Illinois tackled opponents for a loss on 12 of 37 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) last week– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 13%.
Northern Illinois has allowed just 167.9 receiving yards per game (2,687/16) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 225.0
Northern Illinois has allowed 124.4 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 174.2
North Carolina State Wolfpack Defensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina State has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 8 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-13th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.
North Carolina State has allowed 6 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams
North Carolina State has allowed a Completion Pct of 87% (13 completions/15 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 55%
North Carolina State has allowed 5.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (453 yards / 88 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7
North Carolina State has allowed a Completion Pct of 87% (13 completions/15 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
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