- North Carolina is a -3.5 point favorite vs. NC State
- North Carolina State vs. North Carolina Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: ACCN
The North Carolina State Wolfpack (5-6) visit Kenan Stadium to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (6-5) on Nov. 30 in Chapel Hill, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.
North Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The North Carolina State vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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North Carolina State vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Carolina State | +3.5 -115 | 55.5 -110 | +135 |
| North Carolina | -3.5 -105 | 55.5 -110 | -165 |
North Carolina State vs North Carolina Prediction:
The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this game with 59.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both NC State and North Carolina, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
North Carolina State vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 52.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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North Carolina State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.70 Units / 6% ROI)
North Carolina Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- North Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for North Carolina State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best North Carolina State Player Prop Bets Today
- Kevin Concepcion has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Grayson McCall has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jordan Waters has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Grayson McCall has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for North Carolina players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best North Carolina Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Omarion Hampton has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jacolby Criswell has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Bryson Nesbit has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jacolby Criswell has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Omarion Hampton has hit the Receptions Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 53% ROI)
North Carolina State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
NC State is 3-7 against the spread this college football season (-4.7 Units / -38.68% ROI).
- North Carolina State is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -5.22% ROI
- North Carolina State is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.55 Units / 20.99% ROI
- North Carolina State is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.71% ROI
North Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Carolina is 2-8 against the spread this college football season (-6.75 Units / -55.79% ROI).
- North Carolina is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.55 Units / -10.53% ROI
- North Carolina is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
- North Carolina is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
North Carolina State: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina
North Carolina State is winless (0-4) when not forcing a fumble this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .504
North Carolina State is 8-3 (.727) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 15th-best in FBS; Average: .504
North Carolina State is 1-6 (.143) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514
North Carolina State is 1-5 (.167) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .354
North Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina State
North Carolina is 1-5 (.167) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season– T-9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .474
North Carolina is 8-3 (.727) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 21st-best in FBS; Average: .526
North Carolina is 2-5 (.286) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .458
North Carolina is 2-5 (.286) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514
Matchup Notes for North Carolina State vs. North Carolina
North Carolina’s TEs has averaged 8.9 targets per game since the 2023 season — highest among ACC TEs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 3.7 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
North Carolina’s TEs has 59 receptions in 11 games (5.4 per game) this season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 20.4 receptions per game this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Carolina’s TEs has 130 receptions in 23 games (5.7 per game) since the 2023 season — best among ACC TEs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 3.7 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
North Carolina State’s TEs has gained 594 yards on 39 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 14th-best among FBS defenses.
North Carolina State’s TEs has gained 594 yards on 39 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.6 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among ACC defenses.
North Carolina State’s WRs has averaged just 11.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among ACC WRs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.6 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina State’s TEs has gained 594 yards on 39 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 14th-best among FBS defenses.
North Carolina State’s TEs has gained 594 yards on 39 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.6 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among ACC defenses.
North Carolina State’s WRs has averaged just 11.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among ACC WRs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.6 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Carolina State’s TEs has gained 594 yards on 39 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — 5th-best among P5 TEs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.6 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among ACC defenses.
North Carolina State’s TEs has gained 594 yards on 39 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — 5th-best among P5 TEs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina’s TEs has averaged 8.9 targets per game since the 2023 season — highest among ACC TEs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 3.7 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
North Carolina were sacked 7 times last week– 3rd-most among FBS Offenses
North Carolina RBs have averaged 9.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (425 yards / 46 touches) on 3rd down this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.7
North Carolina TEs have been targeted 8.9 times per game (204/23) since the 2023 season– 2nd-highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.2
North Carolina TEs have been targeted 34 times on 3rd down this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
North Carolina State Wolfpack Defensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina State has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 23 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
North Carolina State has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 23 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.
North Carolina State allowed no passing TDs (36 pass attempts) last week– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.2
North Carolina State did not allow any touchdowns on 22 completions last week– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.6
North Carolina State has tackled opponents for a loss on 152 of 732 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
North Carolina Tar Heels Defensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 14 of 329 attempts (4%) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
North Carolina has averaged 3.2 sacks per game this season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: 2.1
North Carolina has sacked opponents 5 times in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams
North Carolina has allowed 44.5 receiving yards per game (490/11) to RBs this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 24.9
North Carolina has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (35/329) this season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
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