- The Nebraska is a -10 point favorite vs. Purdue
- The Nebraska vs. Purdue Total(Over/Under): 47.5 points
- TV Channel: PEAC
The Nebraska Cornhuskers (3-1) visit Ross-Ade Stadium to take on the Purdue Boilermakers (1-2) on Sep. 28 in West Lafayette, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Nebraska is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).
The Nebraska vs. Purdue Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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Nebraska vs. Purdue Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Nebraska | -10 -110 | 47.5 -115 | -375 |
| Purdue | +10 -110 | 47.5 -105 | +300 |
Nebraska vs Purdue Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Nebraska will win this game with 76.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Nebraska and Purdue, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Nebraska vs Purdue Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 84.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Purdue vs Nebraska and all games with BetMGM
Nebraska Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Nebraska has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Nebraska has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- Nebraska has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+2.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- Nebraska have covered the 1Q Spread in 2 of their last 3 away games (+1.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Nebraska have covered the 1H Spread in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.90 Units / 27% ROI)
Purdue Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.00 Units / 19% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Nebraska players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nebraska Player Prop Bets Today
- Thomas Fidone II has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Alex Bullock has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Heinrich Haarberg has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Heinrich Haarberg has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Malachi Coleman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Purdue players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Purdue Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Devin Mockobee has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Hudson Card has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.15 Units / 102% ROI)
- Hudson Card has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Max Klare has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Nebraska Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Nebraska is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).
Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Purdue is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -3.03% ROI).
Nebraska: Keys to the Game vs. Purdue
Nebraska is 2-5 (.286) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .614
Nebraska is 1-6 (.143) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .536
Nebraska is 1-4 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .455
Nebraska is 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .552
Purdue: Keys to the Game vs. Nebraska
Purdue is winless (0-8) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .448
Purdue is winless (0-8) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .393
Purdue is 4-9 (.308) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-40th-worst in FBS; Average: .427
Purdue is 4-8 (.333) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .538
Matchup Notes for Nebraska vs. Purdue
Purdue’s TEs has gained 177 yards on 14 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Big Ten TEs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
Purdue has gained 515 yards on 48 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 6.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 14th-best among FBS defenses.
Purdue has gained 515 yards on 48 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
Nebraska’s WRs has 62 receptions this season — 4th-most among Big Ten WRs. Purdue’s defense has allowed 21 receptions to WRs this season — T-2nd-fewest among FBS defenses.
Nebraska’s WRs has been targeted 86 times this season — 4th-most among Big Ten WRs. Purdue’s defense has allowed 370 receiving yards this season — 2nd-fewest among Big Ten defenses.
Nebraska has 90 receptions in 4 games (22.5 per game) this season — 5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Purdue’s defense has allowed just 11.0 receptions per game this season — best among Big Ten defenses.
Nebraska Offensive Stats & Trends
Nebraska QBs have fumbled 10 times in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Nebraska Skill Players have fumbled 5 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Nebraska Skill Players have fumbled 5 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams
Nebraska Skill Players have fumbled 5 times in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
Nebraska Skill Players have averaged just 13.9 receptions per game (223/16) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.4
Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends
Purdue RBs have averaged 12.3 Yards per Carry (234 yards/19 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3
Purdue Skill Players have averaged 18.1 yards per reception (163 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 9.4
Purdue RBs have fumbled 5 times in close and late situations since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Purdue WRs have averaged 24.5 yards per reception (147 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.1
Purdue RBs have averaged 11.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (231 yards / 20 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5
Nebraska Cornhuskers Defensive Stats & Trends
Nebraska has not allowed any rushing touchdowns on 124 rushes this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 25.7
Nebraska has allowed 7 rushing TDs on 62 carries (8.9 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 4.7
Nebraska has allowed 9 rushing TDs on 500 carries (55.6 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 24.4
Nebraska allowed 4 TD passes last week– most in the Big Ten
Nebraska has not allowed any rushing touchdowns on 124 rushes this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 35.6
Purdue Boilermakers Defensive Stats & Trends
Purdue has allowed 14.0 yards per completion (3,268 yards/234 completions) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 10.9
Purdue has no interceptions (54 pass attempts) this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 31.9
Purdue has no interceptions and 2 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.2
Purdue has no interceptions (54 pass attempts) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 29.6
Purdue has no interceptions and 2 TD passes allowed this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 1.0
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