- The Colorado St is a -6.5 point favorite vs. New Mexico
- The New Mexico vs. Colorado State Total (Over/Under): 65.5 points
- TV Channel: MWN
The New Mexico Lobos (3-4) visit Canvas Stadium to take on the Colorado State Rams (4-3) on Oct. 26 in Fort Collins, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EDT.
Colorado St is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).
The New Mexico vs. Colorado State Over/Under is 65.5 total points.
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New Mexico vs. Colorado State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| New Mexico | +6.5 -105 | 65.5 -115 | +210 |
| Colorado State | -6.5 -115 | 65.5 -105 | -275 |
New Mexico vs Colorado State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Colorado State will win this game with 66.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico and Colorado St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
New Mexico vs Colorado State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Colorado State will cover the spread with 58.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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New Mexico Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- New Mexico has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 away games (+8.95 Units / 92% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- New Mexico have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- New Mexico have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.80 Units / 10% ROI)
Colorado State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Colorado State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Colorado State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Colorado State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- Colorado State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.05 Units / 32% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for New Mexico players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best New Mexico Player Prop Bets Today
- Devon Dampier has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Devon Dampier has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Colorado State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Colorado State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- no trends found
New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.8 Units / 36.6% ROI).
- New Mexico is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -8.93% ROI
- New Mexico is 6-1 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI
- New Mexico is 1-6 when betting the Under for -5.6 Units / -72.73% ROI
Colorado State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Colorado St is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.65 Units / 8.39% ROI).
- Colorado State is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Colorado State is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
- Colorado State is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
New Mexico: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado State
New Mexico is winless (0-3) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .255
New Mexico is winless (0-3) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .335
New Mexico is 5-12 (.294) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .485
New Mexico is 1-6 (.143) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .369
Colorado State: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico
Colorado State is 3-7 (.300) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .444
Colorado State is 3-7 (.300) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .474
Colorado State is 6-1 (.857) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-18th-best in FBS; Average: .648
Colorado State is 6-1 (.857) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– 8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .607
Matchup Notes for New Mexico vs. Colorado State
Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.2% of 194 attempts this season — T-27th-worst among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.9% of attempts this season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 1,350 passing yards in 7 games (just 192.9 YPG) this season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 258.9 passing yards per game this season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Colorado State’s WRs has 306 receptions in 19 games (16.1 per game) since the 2023 season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. New Mexico’s defense has allowed just 17.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 31st-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s WRs has averaged 14.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Colorado State’s defense has allowed just 11.9 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico has gained 4,380 yards on 338 receptions (13.0 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-23rd-best among FBS skill players. Colorado State’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s WRs has gained 3,754 yards on 261 receptions (14.4 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-26th-best among FBS WRs. Colorado State’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico QBs have 9 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– T-most among FBS Teams
New Mexico QBs have 21 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
New Mexico’s WRs has averaged 14.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Colorado State’s defense has allowed just 11.9 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico has gained 4,380 yards on 338 receptions (13.0 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-23rd-best among FBS skill players. Colorado State’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s WRs has gained 3,754 yards on 261 receptions (14.4 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-26th-best among FBS WRs. Colorado State’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends
Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.2% of 194 attempts this season — T-27th-worst among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.9% of attempts this season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 1,350 passing yards in 7 games (just 192.9 YPG) this season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 258.9 passing yards per game this season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Colorado State’s WRs has 306 receptions in 19 games (16.1 per game) since the 2023 season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. New Mexico’s defense has allowed just 17.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 31st-best among FBS defenses.
Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.1% of 695 attempts since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.4% of attempts since the 2023 season — 7th-best among FBS defenses.
Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.1% of 695 attempts since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.4% of attempts since the 2023 season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.
New Mexico Lobos Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 25 of 522 attempts (5%) since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
New Mexico has intercepted 6 of 522 attempts (87.0 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.4
New Mexico has allowed 6.7 touchdowns per interception (40 TDs allowed, and 6 INT) since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
New Mexico has allowed 6.7 touchdowns per interception (40 TDs allowed, and 6 INT) since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
New Mexico has allowed 11 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Colorado State Rams Defensive Stats & Trends
Colorado State allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (278 completions/388 attempts) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Colorado State has allowed a Completion Pct of 68% (433 completions/635 attempts) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 61%
Colorado State has allowed 6 TDs in close and late situations this season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Colorado State has allowed a Completion Pct of 78% (14 completions/18 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
Colorado State has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 21 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.
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