- Texas A&M is a -39.5 point favorite vs. New Mexico State
- New Mexico State vs. Texas A&M Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
- TV Channel: SECN
The New Mexico State Aggies (2-7) visit Kyle Field to take on the Texas A&M Aggies (7-2) on Nov. 16 in College Station, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:45pm EST.
Texas A&M is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -39.5 (-110).
The New Mexico State vs. Texas A&M Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
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New Mexico State vs. Texas A&M Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| New Mexico State | +39.5 -110 | 54.5 -110 | + |
| Texas A&M | -39.5 -110 | 54.5 -110 | + |
New Mexico State vs Texas A&M Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas A&M will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico State and Texas A&M, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
New Mexico State vs Texas A&M Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico State will cover the spread with 89.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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New Mexico State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- New Mexico State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 13 games (+7.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 13 games (+6.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- New Mexico State have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 9 games (+2.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.50 Units / 10% ROI)
Texas A&M Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+4.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the Moneyline in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for New Mexico State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best New Mexico State Player Prop Bets Today
- Mike Washington has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- TJ Pride has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- PJ Johnson III has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas A&M players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texas A&M Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Conner Weigman has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Le’Veon Moss has hit the Receptions Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Le’Veon Moss has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Conner Weigman has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Amari Daniels has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
New Mexico State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico State is 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- New Mexico State is 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -19.57% ROI
- New Mexico State is 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 38.19% ROI
- New Mexico State is 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.55 Units / -46.19% ROI
Texas A&M Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas A&M is 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.6 Units / -36.73% ROI).
- Texas A&M is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 8.05% ROI
- Texas A&M is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Texas A&M is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
New Mexico State: Keys to the Game vs. Texas A&M
New Mexico State is 8-3 (.667) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .479
New Mexico State is 8-3 (.667) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .505
New Mexico State is 1-6 (.125) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: .489
New Mexico State is 1-6 (.125) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .437
Texas A&M: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico State
Texas A&M is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .683
Texas A&M is 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .683
Texas A&M is 9-4 (.692) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .490
Texas A&M is 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season– 15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .696
Matchup Notes for New Mexico State vs. Texas A&M
Texas A&M’s QBs has thrown for 1,643 passing yards in 9 games (just 182.6 YPG) this season — 26th-worst among FBS teams. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed 245.4 passing yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas A&M’s offense has thrown for 1,643 passing yards in 9 games (just 182.6 YPG) this season — 24th-worst among FBS offenses. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed 245.4 passing yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas A&M have just 172.2 receiving yards per game this season — 13th-worst among FBS skill players. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed 245.2 receiving yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s RBs has gained 262 yards on 24 receptions (10.9 YPR) this season — T-20th-best among FBS RBs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s RBs has gained 262 yards on 24 receptions (10.9 YPR) this season — T-20th-best among FBS RBs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 10.0 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Santino Marucci (NMS) has just 0.6 TDs per interception (3/5) this season — T-7th-worst of Qualified Quarterbacks. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 1.2 TDs per Interception this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State WRs have caught just 65 of 156 passes (42% Reception Pct) this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 60%
New Mexico State’s RBs has gained 262 yards on 24 receptions (10.9 YPR) this season — T-20th-best among FBS RBs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State has averaged 116.6 Passing Yards per game (1,049/9) this season– 3rd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 228.8*
New Mexico State RBs have averaged 14.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (223 yards / 15 touches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.0
New Mexico State Skill Players have averaged just 116.6 receiving yards per game (1,049/9) this season– 3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 227.4
Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas A&M’s QBs has thrown for 1,643 passing yards in 9 games (just 182.6 YPG) this season — 26th-worst among FBS teams. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed 245.4 passing yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas A&M Punters have placed 61% of punts inside the 20 (19/31) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 34%
Texas A&M TEs have averaged just 1.6 receptions per game (14/9) this season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 3.6
Texas A&M’s offense has thrown for 1,643 passing yards in 9 games (just 182.6 YPG) this season — 24th-worst among FBS offenses. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed 245.4 passing yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas A&M Skill Players have averaged just 13.2 receptions per game (119/9) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.5
New Mexico State Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 17 of 266 attempts (6%) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
New Mexico State has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 17 of 266 attempts (6%) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 2%
New Mexico State has allowed 14.6 yards per completion (2,209 yards/151 completions) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 11.8
New Mexico State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 59 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
New Mexico State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (9 completions/23 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
Texas A&M Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas A&M has sacked opposing QBs just once on 57 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 13.2
Texas A&M has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 33 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 10%.
Texas A&M tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 19 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 10%.
Texas A&M tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 19 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Texas A&M has allowed 9.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (177 yards / 19 touches) on 3rd and short this season– worst in FBS; Average: 5.1
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