Ohio vs C Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

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(AP Photo/Al Goldis)

BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 08, 2024, 2:20 PM

The Ohio is a -3 point favorite vs. C Michigan
The Ohio vs. Central Michigan Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
TV Channel: ESPNU

The Ohio Bobcats (3-2) visit Kramer/Deromedi Field at Kelly/Shorts Stadium to take on the Central Michigan Chippewas (3-2) on Oct. 12 in Mount Pleasant, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT.

Ohio is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).

The Ohio vs. Central Michigan Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

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Ohio vs. Central Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Ohio	-3 -115	48.5 -115	-160
Central Michigan	+3 -105	48.5 -105	+135

Ohio vs Central Michigan Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Ohio will win this game with 60.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Ohio and C Michigan, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Ohio vs Central Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Central Michigan will cover the spread with 58.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Ohio Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Ohio has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 38% ROI)
Ohio has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+4.50 Units / 41% ROI)
Ohio has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.95 Units / 41% ROI)
Ohio have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.45 Units / 12% ROI)
Ohio has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)

Central Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Central Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.05 Units / 42% ROI)
Central Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.55 Units / 21% ROI)
Central Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.05 Units / 19% ROI)
Central Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)
Central Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Ohio players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ohio Player Prop Bets Today

Parker Navarro has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Parker Navarro has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 43% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Central Michigan players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Central Michigan Player Prop Best Bets Today

Jesse Prewitt III has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Chris Parker has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Ohio Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -3.6% ROI).

Ohio is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -12.9% ROI
Ohio is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI
Ohio is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI

Central Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

C Michigan is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -43.24% ROI).

Central Michigan is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -10.24% ROI
Central Michigan is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Central Michigan is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

Ohio: Keys to the Game vs. Central Michigan

Ohio is 8-2 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .465

Ohio is 10-2 (.833) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .551

Ohio is 11-1 (.917) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .611

Ohio is 11-1 (.917) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .627

Central Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio

Central Michigan is 4-1 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .682

Central Michigan is 6-8 (.429) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .630

Central Michigan is 7-1 (.875) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .716

Central Michigan is 7-4 (.636) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 39th-best in FBS; Average: .506

Matchup Notes for Ohio vs. Central Michigan

Central Michigan’s QBs has thrown for 3,369 passing yards in 17 games (just 198.2 YPG) since the 2023 season — 34th-worst among FBS teams. Ohio’s defense has allowed just 198.2 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan’s RBs has averaged 4.8 targets per game since the 2023 season — T-35th-highest among FBS RBs. Ohio’s defense has allowed 4.0 receptions per game to RBs since the 2023 season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan’s RBs have 34.0 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season — 22nd-best among FBS RBs. Ohio’s defense has allowed just 198.6 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.

Ohio’s WRs has averaged just 12.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-28th-worst among FBS WRs. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed 12.5 RAC since the 2023 season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.7% of 496 attempts since the 2023 season — T-29th-worst among FBS offenses. Central Michigan’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.7% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Ohio’s RBs has averaged just 6.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-20th-worst among FBS RBs. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed 10.5 RAC to RBs since the 2023 season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio Offensive Stats & Trends

Ohio Skill Players have no touchdowns on 29 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1

Ohio WRs have no touchdowns on 20 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.6

Central Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Central Michigan RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 37 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 23

Central Michigan RBs have averaged just 3.9 Yards per Carry (368 yards/95 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Central Michigan RBs have averaged 6.2 Yards per Carry (806 yards/131 carries) this season– 19th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Ohio Bobcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Ohio has tackled opponents for a loss on 125 of 515 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Ohio has tackled opponents for a loss on 125 of 515 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 364 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Ohio has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 7 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 364 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Central Michigan Chippewas Defensive Stats & Trends

Central Michigan has one interception and 9 TD passes allowed this season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7

Central Michigan has forced 5 fumbles on 599 carries (119.8 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 41.3

Central Michigan has intercepted 6 of 490 attempts (81.7 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.6

Central Michigan has forced 5 fumbles on 599 carries (119.8 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 41.4

Central Michigan has intercepted 6 of 490 attempts (81.7 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 38.2

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