- Missouri is a -1 point favorite vs. Oklahoma
- Oklahoma vs. Missouri Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
- TV Channel: SECN
The Oklahoma Sooners (5-4) visit Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field to take on the Missouri Tigers (6-2) on Nov. 9 in Columbia, MO. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:45pm EST.
Missouri is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).
The Oklahoma vs. Missouri Over/Under is 42.5 total points.
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Oklahoma vs. Missouri Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Oklahoma | +1 -110 | 42.5 -110 | -105 |
| Missouri | -1 -110 | 42.5 -110 | -115 |
Oklahoma vs Missouri Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Missouri will win this game with 57.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oklahoma and Missouri, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Oklahoma vs Missouri Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Missouri will cover the spread with 60.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Oklahoma Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Oklahoma has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+6.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- Oklahoma has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- Oklahoma has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.00 Units / 0% ROI)
- Oklahoma have covered the 1Q Spread in 2 of their last 3 away games (+1.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Oklahoma has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 2 of their last 3 away games (+1.00 Units / 29% ROI)
Missouri Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Missouri has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.70 Units / 2% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Missouri have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.40 Units / 11% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oklahoma players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Oklahoma Player Prop Bets Today
- Jackson Arnold has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Jackson Arnold has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Jovantae Barnes has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jackson Arnold has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Brenen Thompson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Missouri players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Missouri Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Luther Burden III has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Theo Wease Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Marcus Carroll has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Luther Burden III has hit the Receptions Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Theo Wease Jr. has hit the Receptions Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Oklahoma Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oklahoma is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.55 Units / 5.5% ROI).
- Oklahoma is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Oklahoma is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
- Oklahoma is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
Missouri Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Missouri is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -5.62% ROI).
- Missouri is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 0.65% ROI
- Missouri is 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Missouri is 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
Oklahoma: Keys to the Game vs. Missouri
Oklahoma is undefeated (11-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .660
Oklahoma is 7-4 (.636) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .529
Oklahoma is 15-5 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .635
Oklahoma is 14-4 (.778) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .607
Missouri: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma
Missouri is undefeated (13-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .619
Missouri is undefeated (11-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .718
Missouri is undefeated (8-0) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .624
Missouri is undefeated (13-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .685
Matchup Notes for Oklahoma vs. Missouri
Missouri’s TEs has 47 receptions in 21 games (just 2.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among SEC TEs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 3.6 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Missouri’s TEs has 24 receptions in 8 games (just 3.0 per game) this season — 4th-worst among SEC TEs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 3.9 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Missouri’s WRs has been targeted 493 times since the 2023 season — T-4th-most among SEC WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 5,217 receiving yards since the 2023 season — 2nd-most among SEC defenses.
Oklahoma’s WRs has 340 receptions in 22 games (15.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 24th-best among FBS WRs. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 10.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
Oklahoma has 475 receptions in 22 games (21.6 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among SEC skill players. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 17.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Oklahoma’s WRs has 340 receptions in 22 games (15.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 24th-best among FBS WRs. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 17.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Oklahoma Offensive Stats & Trends
Oklahoma’s WRs has 340 receptions in 22 games (15.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 24th-best among FBS WRs. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 10.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
Oklahoma has 475 receptions in 22 games (21.6 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among SEC skill players. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 17.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Oklahoma RBs rushed for 5 TDs in the Red Zone last week– most among FBS Teams
Oklahoma’s WRs has 340 receptions in 22 games (15.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 24th-best among FBS WRs. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 17.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Oklahoma’s TEs has gained 357 yards on 44 receptions (just 8.1 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among SEC TEs. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 9.4 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends
Missouri’s TEs has 47 receptions in 21 games (just 2.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among SEC TEs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 3.6 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Missouri Skill Players have averaged just 8.2 yards per reception (294 yards/36 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 13.2
Missouri Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 24.6 receptions (172 Rec/7 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 11.3
Missouri Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 24.6 receptions (172 Rec/7 TDs) this season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.6
Missouri’s TEs has 24 receptions in 8 games (just 3.0 per game) this season — 4th-worst among SEC TEs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 3.9 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Oklahoma Sooners Defensive Stats & Trends
Oklahoma has allowed 8.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (529 yards / 62 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 5.2
Oklahoma has no interceptions and 5 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 4.5
Oklahoma has allowed 8.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (529 yards / 62 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.2
Oklahoma has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (29/258) this season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: 7%
Oklahoma has no interceptions (26 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 20.9
Missouri Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends
Missouri has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 16 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best in the SEC; Average: 12%.
Missouri has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 16 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.
Missouri has allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (4 completions/12 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best in the SEC; Average: 58%
Missouri has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 16 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Missouri has tackled opponents for a loss on just 47 of 268 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) this season– 5th-worst in the SEC; Average: 18%.
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