Old Dominion vs Arkansas St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 14

Arkansas State quarterback Jaylen Raynor (1) warms up before an NCAA football game against Troy on Saturday, Oct. 7, 2023, in Troy, Ala. (AP Photo/Vasha Hunt)
(AP Photo/Vasha Hunt)
  • Old Dominion is a -4 point favorite vs. Arkansas St
  • Old Dominion vs. Arkansas State Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Old Dominion Monarchs (4-7) visit Centennial Bank Stadium to take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves (7-4) on Nov. 30 in Jonesboro, AR. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST.

Old Dominion is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).

The Old Dominion vs. Arkansas State Over/Under is 58.5 total points.

Bet now on Arkansas St vs Old Dominion & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Old Dominion vs. Arkansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Old Dominion-4 -11058.5 -110-185
Arkansas State +4 -11058.5 -110+150

Old Dominion vs Arkansas State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Old Dominion will win this game with 61.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Old Dominion and Arkansas St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Old Dominion vs Arkansas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 65.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Arkansas St vs Old Dominion and all games with BetMGM


  • Old Dominion have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.75 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+6.25 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.25 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Old Dominion have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Arkansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+1.60 Units / 12% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Old Dominion players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Old Dominion Player Prop Bets Today

  • Colton Joseph has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.65 Units / 165% ROI)
  • Colton Joseph has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Diante Vines has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Isiah Paige has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Colton Joseph has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arkansas State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Arkansas State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • no trends found

Old Dominion Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Old Dominion is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.55 Units / -12.86% ROI).

  • Old Dominion is 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 6.56% ROI
  • Old Dominion is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • Old Dominion is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

Arkansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arkansas St is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).

  • Arkansas State is 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units / 15.4% ROI
  • Arkansas State is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • Arkansas State is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

Old Dominion: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas State

Old Dominion is 2-5 (.286) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .684

Old Dominion is 3-12 (.200) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .385

Old Dominion is 5-10 (.333) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .446

Old Dominion is 2-7 (.222) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .428

Arkansas State: Keys to the Game vs. Old Dominion

Arkansas State is 9-2 (.818) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season– 12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .662

Arkansas State is undefeated (12-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .751

Arkansas State is 10-4 (.714) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-40th-best in FBS; Average: .640

Arkansas State is 12-2 (.857) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– 8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .622

Matchup Notes for Old Dominion vs. Arkansas State

Arkansas State has averaged just 10.6 yards after the catch this season — T-15th-worst among FBS skill players. Old Dominion’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC this season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion’s offense has thrown for 2,168 passing yards in 11 games (just 197.1 YPG) this season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 242.6 passing yards per game this season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion’s offense has thrown for 4,689 passing yards in 24 games (just 195.4 YPG) since the 2023 season — 30th-worst among FBS offenses. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 251.7 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion has averaged just 11.1 yards after the catch this season — T-31st-worst among FBS skill players. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 13.0 RAC this season — 19th-worst among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion Offensive Stats & Trends

Old Dominion’s offense has thrown for 2,168 passing yards in 11 games (just 197.1 YPG) this season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 242.6 passing yards per game this season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion Skill Players have no touchdowns on 21 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7

Old Dominion’s offense has thrown for 4,689 passing yards in 24 games (just 195.4 YPG) since the 2023 season — 30th-worst among FBS offenses. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 251.7 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion Skill Players have just one touchdown on 45 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

Old Dominion have been sacked on 14% of pass attempts (93/680) since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends

Arkansas State Kickers have averaged 57.4 yards per kickoff (6,710 yards/117 kickoffs) since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 61.9

Arkansas State RBs averaged 6.4 Yards per Carry (166 yards/26 carries) last week– 24th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Arkansas State have completed passes for 20+ yards on just 29 of their 375 total passing attempts (8%) this season– 18th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 10%

Arkansas State Skill Players averaged 17.0 yards per reception (747 yards/44 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– T-6th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2

Arkansas State TEs have averaged just 4.2 yards per reception (38 yards/9 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 10.2

Old Dominion Monarchs Defensive Stats & Trends

Old Dominion allowed 12 rushing TDs on 103 carries (8.6 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.5

Old Dominion has allowed 24 rushing TDs on 160 carries (6.7 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.4

Old Dominion has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 14 of 337 attempts (4%) this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 2%

Old Dominion has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (18/337) this season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%

Old Dominion has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (37/784) since the 2023 season– 10th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%

Arkansas State Red Wolves Defensive Stats & Trends

Arkansas State has allowed first downs on 44% of rush attempts in close and late situations this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 23%

Arkansas State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (12 completions/27 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 63%

Arkansas State allowed a Completion Pct of 77% (44 completions/57 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 54%

Arkansas State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 56 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Arkansas State allowed opponents to catch 44 of 57 passes (77% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.