- Oregon is a -16.5 point favorite vs. Oregon St
- Oregon vs. Oregon State Total(Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
The Oregon Ducks (2-0) visit Reser Stadium to take on the Oregon State Beavers (2-0) on Sep. 14 in Corvallis, OR. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Oregon is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-105).
The Oregon vs. Oregon State Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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Oregon vs. Oregon State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Oregon | -16.5 -105 | 50.5 -110 | -800 |
| Oregon State | +16.5 -115 | 50.5 -110 | +550 |
Oregon vs Oregon State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Oregon will win this game with 84.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oregon and Oregon St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Oregon vs Oregon State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon State will cover the spread with 77.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Oregon St vs Oregon and all games with BetMGM
Oregon Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Oregon has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 4% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Oregon have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.55 Units / 31% ROI)
Oregon State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Oregon State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 6% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.75 Units / 11% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oregon players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Oregon Player Prop Bets Today
- Tez Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- Jordan James has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Terrance Ferguson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Traeshon Holden has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Oregon State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Oregon State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Ben Gulbranson has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Ben Gulbranson has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 43% ROI)
Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oregon is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Oregon is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 9.85% ROI
- Oregon is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Oregon is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Oregon State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oregon St is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Oregon State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 45.45% ROI
- Oregon State is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Oregon State is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Oregon: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon State
Oregon is 8-2 (.800) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: .410
Oregon is 9-2 (.750) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .497
Oregon is 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .550
Oregon is 11-2 (.786) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– 13th-best in FBS; Average: .525
Oregon State: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon
Oregon State is 6-3 (.667) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .496
Oregon State is 7-3 (.700) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .566
Oregon State is 12-3 (.750) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2022 season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: .486
Oregon State is 10-2 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2022 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .632
Matchup Notes for Oregon vs. Oregon State
Oregon State’s RBs has 3 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-11th-best among FBS RBs. Oregon’s defense has allowed 2.0 rushing touchdowns per game this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.
Oregon State’s offense has 599 rushing yards this season — 5th-most among FBS offenses. Oregon’s defense has allowed 270 rushing yards this season — 2nd-most among Big Ten defenses.
Oregon State has 28 receptions in 2 games (just 14.0 per game) this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS skill players. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 14.0 receptions per game this season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon’s WRs has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed just 3.0 RAC to TEs this season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Dillon Gabriel (ORE) has completed 84.3% of passes (59/70) this season — 3rd-best of Qualified Quarterbacks. Oregon State’s defense has allowed a completion rate of just 49.3% this season — 16th-best among FBS defenses.
Dillon Gabriel (ORE) has completed 84.3% of passes (59/70) this season — 2nd-best of Qualified Big Ten Quarterbacks. Oregon State’s defense has allowed a completion rate of just 49.3% this season — 16th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon Offensive Stats & Trends
Oregon WRs have averaged 19.8 yards per reception (476 yards/24 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 13.4
Oregon TEs have averaged 9.5 receptions per game (19/2) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.2
Oregon TEs have averaged 9.5 receptions per game (19/2) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.6
Oregon TEs have been targeted 6 times in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams
Oregon Skill Players have 66 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Oregon State Offensive Stats & Trends
Oregon State RBs have averaged 49.5 carries per game (99 carries / 2 games) this season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 25.7
Oregon State RBs have carried the ball 16 times on 3rd down this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Oregon State’s RBs has 3 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-11th-best among FBS RBs. Oregon’s defense has allowed 2.0 rushing touchdowns per game this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.
Oregon State RBs have averaged 288.0 rushing yards per game (576/2) this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 135.6
Oregon State’s offense has 599 rushing yards this season — 5th-most among FBS offenses. Oregon’s defense has allowed 270 rushing yards this season — 2nd-most among Big Ten defenses.
Oregon Ducks Defensive Stats & Trends
Oregon has allowed opponents to catch just 28 of 67 passes (42% Reception Pct) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 58%
Oregon has allowed 8 TDs this season– most in the Big Ten
Oregon has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (28 completions/67 attempts) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 57%
Oregon has tackled opponents for a loss on 13 of 53 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Oregon has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 3 of their 53 carries (6%) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 2%
Oregon State Beavers Defensive Stats & Trends
Oregon State has allowed 20.5 carries per game (41 carries / 2 games) this season– lowest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 32.5
Oregon State has tackled opponents for a loss on 86 of 453 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) since the 2023 season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
Oregon State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 33 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: 12%.
Oregon State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 49% (34 completions/69 attempts) this season– 16th-best in FBS; Average: 59%
Oregon State has allowed a Completion Pct of 73% (16 completions/22 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: 62%
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