- Oregon St is a -4 point favorite vs. Air Force
- Oregon State vs. Air Force Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSSN
The Oregon State Beavers (4-5) visit Falcon Stadium to take on the Air Force Falcons (2-7) on Nov. 16 in USAFA, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.
Oregon St is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).
The Oregon State vs. Air Force Over/Under is 45.5 total points.
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Oregon State vs. Air Force Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Oregon State | -4 -110 | 45.5 -115 | -185 |
| Air Force | +4 -110 | 45.5 -105 | +150 |
Oregon State vs Air Force Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Oregon State will win this game with 62.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oregon St and Air Force, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Oregon State vs Air Force Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Air Force will cover the spread with 65.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Oregon State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Oregon State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
Air Force Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Air Force has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.05 Units / 55% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Air Force have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.95 Units / 15% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oregon State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Oregon State Player Prop Bets Today
- Gevani McCoy has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.20 Units / 85% ROI)
- Gevani McCoy has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Anthony Hankerson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Trent Walker has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Gevani McCoy has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Oregon State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oregon St is 2-7 against the spread this college football season (-5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI).
- Oregon State is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -22.64% ROI
- Oregon State is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.04% ROI
- Oregon State is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.04% ROI
Air Force Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Air Force is 2-7 against the spread this college football season (-5.65 Units / -57.36% ROI).
- Air Force is 1-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -57.61% ROI
- Air Force is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
- Air Force is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
Oregon State: Keys to the Game vs. Air Force
Oregon State is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .617
Oregon State is 4-6 (.400) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .505
Oregon State is 1-5 (.167) when not forcing a fumble this season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514
Oregon State is 10-4 (.714) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .608
Air Force: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon State
Air Force is winless (0-9) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .336
Air Force is winless (0-8) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .331
Air Force is 4-10 (.286) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 31st-worst in FBS; Average: .424
Air Force is winless (0-8) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .385
Matchup Notes for Oregon State vs. Air Force
Air Force’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.2% of 127 attempts this season — 11th-best among FBS offenses. Oregon State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.2% of attempts this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Air Force’s TEs has 4 receptions in 8 games (just 0.5 per game) this season — T-2nd-worst among FBS TEs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed just 16.7 receptions per game this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
Air Force has gained 810 yards on 54 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — 4th-best among FBS skill players. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 13.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Oregon State’s offense has thrown for 1,771 passing yards in 9 games (just 196.8 YPG) this season — 34th-worst among FBS offenses. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 184.3 passing yards per game this season — 23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon State have just 196.8 receiving yards per game this season — 35th-worst among FBS skill players. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 184.3 receiving yards per game this season — 23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon State’s RBs have just 15.6 receiving yards per game this season — 25th-worst among FBS RBs. Air Force’s defense has allowed 30.7 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.
Oregon State Offensive Stats & Trends
Oregon State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 5.5 receptions (11 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone this season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1
Oregon State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 38.3 receptions (115 Rec/3 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.0
Oregon State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 38.3 receptions (115 Rec/3 TDs) this season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1
Oregon State TEs have averaged 16.7 yards per reception (318 yards/19 catches) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.2
Oregon State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 40.8 receptions (163 Rec/4 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.6
Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends
Air Force Skill Players have averaged just 4.9 receptions per game (107/22) since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8
Air Force Skill Players have averaged just 6.0 receptions per game (54/9) this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8
Air Force Skill Players have averaged 19.8 yards per reception (1,327 yards/67 catches) with 7-10 yards to go since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.4
Air Force Skill Players have been targeted 13.3 times per game (120/9) this season– 3rd-lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.7
Air Force Skill Players have averaged 17.9 yards per reception (1,919 yards/107 catches) since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1
Oregon State Beavers Defensive Stats & Trends
Oregon State has averaged a sack every 51.0 pass attempts (255 Pass Attempts/5 Sacks) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2
Oregon State allowed 12.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (463 yards / 36 touches) last week– worst in FBS; Average: 6.7
Oregon State has averaged a sack every 51.0 pass attempts (255 Pass Attempts/5 Sacks) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 14.6
Oregon State has sacked opposing QBs on just 2% of pass attempts (5/255) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 7%
Oregon State allowed 12.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (463 yards / 36 touches) last week– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 6.7
Air Force Falcons Defensive Stats & Trends
Air Force has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 13 of 72 attempts (18%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%
Air Force has allowed 115.1 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 172.6
Air Force has allowed 115.1 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 167.6
Air Force has intercepted 2 of 200 attempts (100.0 pass attempts per int.) this season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.1
Air Force has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 13 of 72 attempts (18%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 9%
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