Oregon St vs California Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 9

min read
California head coach Justin Wilcox stands on the sidelines during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Stanford in Stanford, Calif., Saturday, Nov. 18, 2023. (AP Photo/Jed Jacobsohn)
(AP Photo/Jed Jacobsohn)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 24, 2024, 4:11 PM
  • The California is a -9.5 point favorite vs. Oregon St
  • The Oregon State vs. California Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN2

The Oregon State Beavers (4-3) visit California Memorial Stadium to take on the California Golden Bears (3-4) on Oct. 26 in Berkeley, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT.

California is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Oregon State vs. California Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

Bet now on California vs Oregon St & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Oregon State vs. California Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Oregon State+9.5 -11048.5 -105+290
California -9.5 -11048.5 -115-375

Oregon State vs California Prediction:

The winning team model predicts California will win this game with 77.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oregon St and California, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Oregon State vs California Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts California will cover the spread with 65.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on California vs Oregon St and all games with BetMGM


  • Oregon State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.70 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Oregon State have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+10.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • California have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • California have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • California has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oregon State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Oregon State Player Prop Bets Today

  • Gevani McCoy has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.20 Units / 120% ROI)
  • Gevani McCoy has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Gevani McCoy has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Trent Walker has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for California players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best California Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Jack Endries has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Nyziah Hunter has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Trond Grizzell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Oregon State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon St is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI).

  • Oregon State is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -4.65% ROI
  • Oregon State is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • Oregon State is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

California Against the Spread (ATS) Record

California is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.75 Units / 9.8% ROI).

  • California is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -1.84% ROI
  • California is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
  • California is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI

Oregon State: Keys to the Game vs. California

Oregon State is winless (0-3) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .416

Oregon State is 8-2 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .676

Oregon State is winless (0-3) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .335

Oregon State is 12-5 (.706) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .610

California: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon State

California is 2-6 (.250) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .532

California is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .441

California is 5-11 (.312) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .458

California is 4-9 (.308) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .444

Matchup Notes for Oregon State vs. California

California’s TEs has 40 receptions in 7 games (5.7 per game) this season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed just 2.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

California’s TEs has 40 receptions in 7 games (5.7 per game) this season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed just 15.0 receptions per game this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.

California’s RBs has averaged 11.3 yards after the catch this season — T-20th-best among FBS RBs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 10.1 RAC to RBs this season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Oregon State’s TEs has gained 237 yards on 15 receptions (15.8 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among P5 TEs. California’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Oregon State’s RBs has rushed for 3,110 yards on 570 carries (5.5 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-26th-best among FBS RBs. California’s defense have allowed just 3.6 YPC since the 2023 season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.

Oregon State’s offense has averaged just 0.4 passing TDs per game this season — T-2nd-worst among FBS offenses. California’s defense has allowed just 1.0 passing TDs per game this season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.

Oregon State Offensive Stats & Trends

Oregon State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 41.7 receptions (125 Rec/3 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.4

Oregon State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 44.5 receptions (89 Rec/2 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.7

Oregon State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 41.7 receptions (125 Rec/3 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.6

Oregon State’s TEs has gained 237 yards on 15 receptions (15.8 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among P5 TEs. California’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Oregon State’s RBs has rushed for 3,110 yards on 570 carries (5.5 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-26th-best among FBS RBs. California’s defense have allowed just 3.6 YPC since the 2023 season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.

California Offensive Stats & Trends

California’s TEs has 40 receptions in 7 games (5.7 per game) this season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed just 2.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

California’s TEs has 40 receptions in 7 games (5.7 per game) this season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed just 15.0 receptions per game this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.

California’s RBs has averaged 11.3 yards after the catch this season — T-20th-best among FBS RBs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 10.1 RAC to RBs this season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

California’s WRs have just 144.3 receiving yards per game this season — 4th-worst among ACC WRs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed just 175.1 receiving yards per game this season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.

California have been sacked on 23% of pass attempts (11/48) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Power Conference Offenses; Average: 7%

Oregon State Beavers Defensive Stats & Trends

Oregon State has allowed 6 TDs in close and late situations this season– most among Power Conference Teams

Oregon State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 35% (12 completions/34 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 60%

Oregon State has averaged a sack every 36.6 pass attempts (183 Pass Attempts/5 Sacks) this season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.0

Oregon State has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 43 of 224 carries (19%) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12%

Oregon State has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 16 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

California Golden Bears Defensive Stats & Trends

California has sacked opposing QBs just once on 93 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

California has not recorded a sack (26 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.8

California has not recorded a sack (26 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

California has sacked opposing QBs just once on 93 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.9

California has 13 interceptions this season– T-2nd-most in FBS


Bet now on California vs Oregon St and all games with BetMGM


More College Football Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.

Whether youโ€™re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!

BetMGM First Bet Offer
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.