- The California is a -9.5 point favorite vs. Oregon St
- The Oregon State vs. California Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
The Oregon State Beavers (4-3) visit California Memorial Stadium to take on the California Golden Bears (3-4) on Oct. 26 in Berkeley, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT.
California is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Oregon State vs. California Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
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Oregon State vs. California Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Oregon State | +9.5 -110 | 48.5 -105 | +290 |
California | -9.5 -110 | 48.5 -115 | -375 |
Oregon State vs California Prediction:
The winning team model predicts California will win this game with 77.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oregon St and California, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Oregon State vs California Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts California will cover the spread with 65.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Oregon State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Oregon State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- Oregon State have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
California Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- California has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+10.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- California have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- California has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- California have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- California has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oregon State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Oregon State Player Prop Bets Today
- Gevani McCoy has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.20 Units / 120% ROI)
- Gevani McCoy has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Gevani McCoy has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Trent Walker has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for California players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best California Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jack Endries has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Nyziah Hunter has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Trond Grizzell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Oregon State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oregon St is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI).
- Oregon State is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -4.65% ROI
- Oregon State is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
- Oregon State is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
California Against the Spread (ATS) Record
California is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.75 Units / 9.8% ROI).
- California is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -1.84% ROI
- California is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
- California is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
Oregon State: Keys to the Game vs. California
Oregon State is winless (0-3) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .416
Oregon State is 8-2 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .676
Oregon State is winless (0-3) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .335
Oregon State is 12-5 (.706) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .610
California: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon State
California is 2-6 (.250) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .532
California is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .441
California is 5-11 (.312) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .458
California is 4-9 (.308) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .444
Matchup Notes for Oregon State vs. California
California’s TEs has 40 receptions in 7 games (5.7 per game) this season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed just 2.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
California’s TEs has 40 receptions in 7 games (5.7 per game) this season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed just 15.0 receptions per game this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
California’s RBs has averaged 11.3 yards after the catch this season — T-20th-best among FBS RBs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 10.1 RAC to RBs this season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Oregon State’s TEs has gained 237 yards on 15 receptions (15.8 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among P5 TEs. California’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon State’s RBs has rushed for 3,110 yards on 570 carries (5.5 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-26th-best among FBS RBs. California’s defense have allowed just 3.6 YPC since the 2023 season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.
Oregon State’s offense has averaged just 0.4 passing TDs per game this season — T-2nd-worst among FBS offenses. California’s defense has allowed just 1.0 passing TDs per game this season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.
Oregon State Offensive Stats & Trends
Oregon State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 41.7 receptions (125 Rec/3 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.4
Oregon State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 44.5 receptions (89 Rec/2 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.7
Oregon State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 41.7 receptions (125 Rec/3 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.6
Oregon State’s TEs has gained 237 yards on 15 receptions (15.8 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among P5 TEs. California’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon State’s RBs has rushed for 3,110 yards on 570 carries (5.5 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-26th-best among FBS RBs. California’s defense have allowed just 3.6 YPC since the 2023 season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.
California Offensive Stats & Trends
California’s TEs has 40 receptions in 7 games (5.7 per game) this season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed just 2.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
California’s TEs has 40 receptions in 7 games (5.7 per game) this season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed just 15.0 receptions per game this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
California’s RBs has averaged 11.3 yards after the catch this season — T-20th-best among FBS RBs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 10.1 RAC to RBs this season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
California’s WRs have just 144.3 receiving yards per game this season — 4th-worst among ACC WRs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed just 175.1 receiving yards per game this season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.
California have been sacked on 23% of pass attempts (11/48) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Power Conference Offenses; Average: 7%
Oregon State Beavers Defensive Stats & Trends
Oregon State has allowed 6 TDs in close and late situations this season– most among Power Conference Teams
Oregon State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 35% (12 completions/34 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 60%
Oregon State has averaged a sack every 36.6 pass attempts (183 Pass Attempts/5 Sacks) this season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.0
Oregon State has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 43 of 224 carries (19%) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12%
Oregon State has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 16 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.
California Golden Bears Defensive Stats & Trends
California has sacked opposing QBs just once on 93 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0
California has not recorded a sack (26 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.8
California has not recorded a sack (26 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0
California has sacked opposing QBs just once on 93 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.9
California has 13 interceptions this season– T-2nd-most in FBS
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