- Penn State is a -12.5 point favorite vs. Minnesota
- Penn State vs. Minnesota Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- TV Channel: CBS
The Penn State Nittany Lions (9-1) visit Huntington Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-4) on Nov. 23 in Minneapolis, MN. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.
Penn State is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).
The Penn State vs. Minnesota Over/Under is 45.5 total points.
Bet now on Minnesota vs Penn State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Penn State vs. Minnesota Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Penn State | -12.5 -110 | 45.5 -110 | -450 |
| Minnesota | +12.5 -110 | 45.5 -110 | +340 |
Penn State vs Minnesota Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Penn State will win this game with 79.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Penn State and Minnesota, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Penn State vs Minnesota Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Minnesota will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Minnesota vs Penn State and all games with BetMGM
Penn State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 0% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Penn State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)
Minnesota Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Minnesota have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+3.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- Minnesota have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+3.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.85 Units / 25% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Penn State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Penn State Player Prop Bets Today
- Harrison Wallace III has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nicholas Singleton has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Drew Allar has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Julian Fleming has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Tyler Warren has hit the Receptions Over in his last game (+1.05 Units / 105% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Minnesota players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Minnesota Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Elijah Spencer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Daniel Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Darius Taylor has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Max Brosmer has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jameson Geers has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Penn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penn State is 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Penn State is 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 0.51% ROI
- Penn State is 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
- Penn State is 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Minnesota is 7-2 against the spread this college football season (+4.75 Units / 42.79% ROI).
- Minnesota is 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 4.35% ROI
- Minnesota is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Minnesota is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
Penn State: Keys to the Game vs. Minnesota
Penn State is undefeated (6-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492
Penn State is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .664
Penn State is 15-1 (.938) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .672
Penn State is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .610
Minnesota: Keys to the Game vs. Penn State
Minnesota is 4-7 (.364) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .592
Minnesota is 5-1 (.833) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .583
Minnesota is 2-10 (.167) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .489
Minnesota is 2-10 (.167) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .445
Matchup Notes for Penn State vs. Minnesota
Minnesota’s WRs has gained 1,469 yards on 124 receptions (just 11.8 YPR) this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
Minnesota has gained 2,286 yards on 221 receptions (just 10.3 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Power 5 skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
Minnesota has gained 2,286 yards on 221 receptions (just 10.3 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
Penn State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.6% of 267 attempts this season — 9th-best among FBS offenses. Minnesota’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.4% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.
Penn State’s WRs has gained 1,236 yards on 73 receptions (16.9 YPR) this season — best among Big Ten WRs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Penn State has gained 2,541 yards on 192 receptions (13.2 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 7.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.
Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends
Penn State WRs have averaged 30.3 yards per reception (91 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.6
Penn State WRs have averaged 30.3 yards per reception (91 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 13.8
Penn State TEs have caught 20 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams
Penn State TEs have averaged 8.0 receptions per game (80/10) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7
Penn State TEs have been targeted 42 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams
Minnesota Offensive Stats & Trends
Minnesota’s WRs has gained 1,469 yards on 124 receptions (just 11.8 YPR) this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
Minnesota has gained 2,286 yards on 221 receptions (just 10.3 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Power 5 skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
Minnesota has gained 2,286 yards on 221 receptions (just 10.3 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
Minnesota’s WRs has gained 1,469 yards on 124 receptions (just 11.8 YPR) this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.
Minnesota’s WRs has gained 1,469 yards on 124 receptions (just 11.8 YPR) this season — T-19th-worst among FBS WRs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
Penn State Nittany Lions Defensive Stats & Trends
Penn State has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (75/630) since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 7%
Penn State has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (75/630) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 7%
Penn State has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 34 carries (17 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.8
Penn State has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (75/630) since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Penn State has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 306 carries (76.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 23.2
Minnesota Golden Gophers Defensive Stats & Trends
Minnesota has allowed a Completion Pct of 84% (21 completions/25 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 64%
Minnesota did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2
Minnesota has tackled opponents for a loss on just 6 of 112 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Minnesota has tackled opponents for a loss on just 6 of 112 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14%.
Minnesota has tackled opponents for a loss on just 6 of 112 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
Bet now on Minnesota vs Penn State and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
