- The Penn State is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Wisconsin
- The Penn State vs. Wisconsin Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- TV Channel: NBC
The Penn State Nittany Lions (6-0) visit Camp Randall Stadium to take on the Wisconsin Badgers (5-2) on Oct. 26 in Madison, WI. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Penn State is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Penn State vs. Wisconsin Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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Penn State vs. Wisconsin Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Penn State | -6.5 -110 | 47.5 -110 | -250 |
| Wisconsin | +6.5 -110 | 47.5 -110 | +190 |
Penn State vs Wisconsin Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Penn State will win this game with 67.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Penn State and Wisconsin, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Penn State vs Wisconsin Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wisconsin will cover the spread with 67.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Penn State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+6.80 Units / 0% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Penn State have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.40 Units / 8% ROI)
Wisconsin Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Penn State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Penn State Player Prop Bets Today
- Drew Allar has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Harrison Wallace III has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kaytron Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tyler Warren has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nicholas Singleton has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Wisconsin players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Wisconsin Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Tyler Van Dyke has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.50 Units / 125% ROI)
- Tyler Van Dyke has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Chez Mellusi has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Tawee Walker has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Will Pauling has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Penn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penn State is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Penn State is 6-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 0.44% ROI
- Penn State is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Penn State is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Wisconsin is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).
- Wisconsin is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 6.25% ROI
- Wisconsin is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
- Wisconsin is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
Penn State: Keys to the Game vs. Wisconsin
Penn State is 16-2 (.889) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .640
Penn State is 16-1 (.941) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .624
Penn State is 12-1 (.923) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– 7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .667
Penn State is 16-2 (.889) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .587
Wisconsin: Keys to the Game vs. Penn State
Wisconsin is winless (0-6) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .284
Wisconsin is undefeated (6-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .667
Wisconsin is undefeated (6-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .599
Wisconsin is 12-4 (.750) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .642
Matchup Notes for Penn State vs. Wisconsin
Wisconsin has averaged just 10.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 9.6 RAC to TEs since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin’s TEs has gained 134 yards on 16 receptions (just 8.4 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin has averaged just 10.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.8 RAC since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
Penn State’s WRs has 179 receptions in 19 games (just 9.4 per game) since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS WRs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 17.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Penn State’s WRs has 179 receptions in 19 games (just 9.4 per game) since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS WRs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 11.4 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Penn State’s WRs has gained 885 yards on 50 receptions (17.7 YPR) this season — best among Big Ten WRs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends
Penn State WRs have averaged 41.5 yards per reception (83 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.0
Penn State WRs have averaged 41.5 yards per reception (83 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.7
Penn State WRs have averaged 41.5 yards per reception (83 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 14.5
Penn State TEs have been targeted 36 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most among Big Ten Teams
Penn State’s WRs has 179 receptions in 19 games (just 9.4 per game) since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS WRs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 17.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Wisconsin Offensive Stats & Trends
Wisconsin has averaged just 10.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 9.6 RAC to TEs since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin’s TEs has gained 134 yards on 16 receptions (just 8.4 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin has averaged just 10.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.8 RAC since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 3.7 receptions (37 Rec/10 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1
Wisconsin’s TEs has gained 134 yards on 16 receptions (just 8.4 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
Penn State Nittany Lions Defensive Stats & Trends
Penn State has allowed one rushing TD on 21 carries in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 4.5
Penn State has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (64/511) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 7%
Penn State has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (64/511) since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 7%
Penn State sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (50/340) in the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 8%
Penn State has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 33 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Wisconsin Badgers Defensive Stats & Trends
Wisconsin opponents has averaged 11.0 Passing Attempts per TD (22 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0
Wisconsin opponents has averaged 11.0 Passing Attempts per TD (22 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
Wisconsin opponents has averaged 11.0 Passing Attempts per TD (22 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 3.6
Wisconsin has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 6 of 13 carries (46%) on 3rd and long this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14%
Wisconsin’s opponents has not attempted a two-point conversion (48 PATs) since the 2023 season– lowest in the Big Ten; Average: 8%
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