Purdue vs Indiana Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 14

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Indiana wide receiver Donaven McCulley (1) runs during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Indiana State, Friday, Sept. 8, 2023, in Bloomington, Ind. (AP Photo/Darron Cummings)
(AP Photo/Darron Cummings)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2024, 2:37 PM
  • Indiana is a -28.5 point favorite vs. Purdue
  • Purdue vs. Indiana Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

The Purdue Boilermakers (1-10) visit Memorial Stadium to take on the Indiana Hoosiers (10-1) on Nov. 30 in Bloomington, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.

Indiana is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -28.5 (-115).

The Purdue vs. Indiana Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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Purdue vs. Indiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Purdue+28.5 -10556.5 -110+1600
Indiana -28.5 -11556.5 -110-10000

Purdue vs Indiana Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Indiana will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Purdue and Indiana, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Purdue vs Indiana Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 59.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 8 games (+1.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Indiana have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Indiana have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Purdue players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Purdue Player Prop Bets Today

  • Devin Mockobee has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Max Klare has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Devin Mockobee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Jahmal Edrine has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Indiana players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Indiana Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Tayven Jackson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tayven Jackson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Omar Cooper Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Purdue is 3-8 against the spread this college football season (-5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI).

  • Purdue is 0-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -100% ROI
  • Purdue is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • Purdue is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Indiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Indiana is 8-3 against the spread this college football season (+4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI).

  • Indiana is 9-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 7.62% ROI
  • Indiana is 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
  • Indiana is 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI

Purdue: Keys to the Game vs. Indiana

Purdue is winless (0-12) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .435

Purdue is winless (0-12) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: .385

Purdue is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .485

Purdue is 5-11 (.312) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .669

Indiana: Keys to the Game vs. Purdue

Indiana was winless (0-7) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .576

Indiana is undefeated (9-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .650

Indiana is 1-8 (.100) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .383

Indiana is 4-9 (.286) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .466

Matchup Notes for Purdue vs. Indiana

Indiana’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.9% of 296 attempts this season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.7% of attempts this season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.

Indiana has gained 2,833 yards on 203 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — T-10th-best among FBS skill players. Purdue’s defense has allowed 13.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Indiana has gained 2,833 yards on 203 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — best among Big Ten skill players. Purdue’s defense has allowed 13.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Purdue’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.8% of 307 attempts this season — T-31st-worst among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.4% of attempts this season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Purdue’s QBs has thrown for 2,145 passing yards in 11 games (just 195.0 YPG) this season — 34th-worst among FBS teams. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 184.9 passing yards per game this season — 25th-best among FBS defenses.

Purdue’s TEs has gained 761 yards on 59 receptions (12.9 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten TEs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.

Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends

Purdue’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.8% of 307 attempts this season — T-31st-worst among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.4% of attempts this season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Purdue’s QBs has thrown for 2,145 passing yards in 11 games (just 195.0 YPG) this season — 34th-worst among FBS teams. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 184.9 passing yards per game this season — 25th-best among FBS defenses.

Purdue’s TEs has gained 761 yards on 59 receptions (12.9 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten TEs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.

Purdue’s WRs has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 11.1 RAC since the 2023 season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Purdue’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.0% of 699 attempts since the 2023 season — T-12th-worst among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.6% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.

Indiana Offensive Stats & Trends

Indiana TEs have no receptions on 2 targets on 3rd down this season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 58%

Indiana’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.9% of 296 attempts this season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.7% of attempts this season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.

Indiana has gained 2,833 yards on 203 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — T-10th-best among FBS skill players. Purdue’s defense has allowed 13.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Indiana has gained 2,833 yards on 203 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — best among Big Ten skill players. Purdue’s defense has allowed 13.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Indiana’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.9% of 296 attempts this season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.7% of attempts this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.

Purdue Boilermakers Defensive Stats & Trends

Purdue has allowed 5.2 touchdowns per interception (21 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.6

Purdue has allowed 13.8 yards per completion (2,683 yards/195 completions) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 10.9

Purdue has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 94 of 668 attempts (14%) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 9%

Purdue has allowed 5.2 touchdowns per interception (21 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 1.5

Purdue has allowed 33 TDs in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9

Indiana Hoosiers Defensive Stats & Trends

Indiana did not record a sack (26 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14.4

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 73 of 322 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Indiana has allowed 2.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (149 yards / 61 touches) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best in the Big Ten; Average: 3.7

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 73 of 322 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Indiana has allowed 5.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,871 yards / 538 touches) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 6.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.