Rutgers vs Kansas State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ Rate Bowl

Kansas State running back DJ Giddens runs the ball during the first half of an NCAA college football game against TCU Saturday, Oct. 21, 2023, in Manhattan, Kan. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
  • Kansas State is a -7 point favorite vs. Rutgers
  • Rutgers vs. Kansas State Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights (7-5) visit Chase Field to take on the Kansas State Wildcats (8-4) on Dec. 26 in Phoenix, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:30pm EST.

Kansas State is a betting favorite in the Rate Bowl, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).

The Rutgers vs. Kansas State Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Rutgers vs. Kansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Rutgers+7 -11051.5 -110+220
Kansas State -7 -11051.5 -110-275

Rutgers vs Kansas State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this game with 69.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Rutgers and Kansas State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Rutgers vs Kansas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas State will cover the spread with 61.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Rutgers has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.25 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Rutgers have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.37 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Rutgers have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+2.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+2.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 12 games (+1.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Rutgers players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rutgers Player Prop Bets Today

  • Dymere Miller has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kyle Monangai has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kansas State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Kansas State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Keagan Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • DJ Giddens has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Avery Johnson has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Avery Johnson has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Jayce Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Rutgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rutgers is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Rutgers is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Rutgers is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Rutgers is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas State is 4-8 against the spread this college football season (-4.75 Units / -36.26% ROI).

  • Kansas State is 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -15.93% ROI
  • Kansas State is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Kansas State is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI

Rutgers: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas State

Rutgers is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Rutgers is 4-7 (.364) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– 13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .495

Rutgers is 2-10 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .384

Rutgers is 4-7 (.364) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .471

Kansas State: Keys to the Game vs. Rutgers

Kansas State is 2-7 (.222) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .352

Kansas State is 14-4 (.778) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– 22nd-best in FBS; Average: .597

Kansas State is 9-4 (.692) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .532

Kansas State is 15-6 (.714) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .637

Matchup Notes for Rutgers vs. Kansas State

Kansas State’s TEs has gained 1,371 yards on 113 receptions (12.1 YPR) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big 12 TEs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Kansas State’s TEs has 47 receptions in 12 games (3.9 per game) this season — 4th-best among Big 12 TEs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 4.7 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Kansas State’s WRs has 262 receptions in 25 games (just 10.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big 12 WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 10.4 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s WRs has averaged 13.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS WRs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 11.6 RAC since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Rutgers’s TEs has 28 receptions in 11 games (just 2.5 per game) this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten TEs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 1.8 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers has gained 4,247 yards on 341 receptions (12.5 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among Big Ten skill players. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2023 season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.

Rutgers Offensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers’s WRs has averaged 13.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS WRs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 11.6 RAC since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Rutgers’s TEs has 28 receptions in 11 games (just 2.5 per game) this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten TEs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 1.8 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers TEs have averaged just 2.0 yards per reception (2 yards/1 catches) with over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.2

Rutgers has gained 4,247 yards on 341 receptions (12.5 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among Big Ten skill players. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2023 season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s WRs has averaged 13.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten WRs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC to TEs since the 2023 season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends

Kansas State’s TEs has gained 1,371 yards on 113 receptions (12.1 YPR) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big 12 TEs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Kansas State’s TEs has 47 receptions in 12 games (3.9 per game) this season — 4th-best among Big 12 TEs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 4.7 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Kansas State TEs have caught 19 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas State’s WRs has 262 receptions in 25 games (just 10.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big 12 WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 10.4 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.

Kansas State TEs have caught 19 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

Rutgers Scarlet Knights Defensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers has sacked opposing QBs just once on 70 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14.4

Rutgers has sacked opposing QBs just once on 70 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Rutgers did not record a sack (37 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Rutgers has sacked opposing QBs just once on 70 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.9

Rutgers did not record a sack (37 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2

Kansas State Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Kansas State allowed first downs on 3% of rush attempts in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 18%

Kansas State opponents averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (40 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.9

Kansas State allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (12 completions/40 attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 53%

Kansas State allowed 2.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (108 yards / 50 touches) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 3.8

Kansas State has allowed 3.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (364 yards / 119 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 3.8


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