Rutgers vs Virginia Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 4

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Virginia Tech quarterback Kyron Drones (1) during NCAA football game against Rutgers, Saturday, Sept. 16, 2023 in Piscataway, N.J. Rutgers won 35-16. (AP Photo/Vera Nieuwenhuis)
(AP Photo/Vera Nieuwenhuis)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 18, 2024, 1:17 PM
  • Virginia Tech is a -3.5 point favorite vs. Rutgers
  • Rutgers vs. Virginia Tech Total(Over/Under): 44.5 points
  • TV Channel: ACCN

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights (2-0) visit Lane Stadium/Worsham Field to take on the Virginia Tech Hokies (2-1) on Sep. 21 in Blacksburg, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Virginia Tech is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Rutgers vs. Virginia Tech Over/Under is 44.5 total points.

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Rutgers vs. Virginia Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Rutgers+3.5 -11044.5 -110+140
Virginia Tech -3.5 -11044.5 -110-165

Rutgers vs Virginia Tech Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Virginia Tech will win this game with 62.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Rutgers and Virginia Tech, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Rutgers vs Virginia Tech Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Virginia Tech will cover the spread with 57.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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Virginia Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Virginia Tech is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Virginia Tech is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -11.38% ROI
  • Virginia Tech is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Virginia Tech is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

Rutgers: Keys to the Game vs. Virginia Tech

Rutgers is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .411

Rutgers is winless (0-12) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Rutgers is 1-13 (.071) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2022 season– 15th-worst in FBS; Average: .291

Rutgers is 1-10 (.091) when intercepting no passes since the 2022 season– 12th-worst in FBS; Average: .334

Virginia Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Rutgers

Virginia Tech is winless (0-7) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .496

Virginia Tech is 1-12 (.077) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .411

Virginia Tech is 1-6 (.143) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .408

Virginia Tech is 9-4 (.692) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .526

Matchup Notes for Rutgers vs. Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.8% of 81 attempts this season — T-22nd-best among FBS offenses. Rutgers’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.1% of attempts this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech’s WRs has gained 2,301 yards on 154 receptions (14.9 YPR) since the 2023 season — best among ACC WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Virginia Tech’s WRs has gained 520 yards on 32 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among ACC WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s offense has thrown for 2,165 passing yards in 15 games (just 144.3 YPG) since the 2023 season — 7th-worst among FBS offenses. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 160.3 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s QBs has thrown for 2,165 passing yards in 15 games (just 144.3 YPG) since the 2023 season — 7th-worst among FBS teams. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 160.3 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s QBs has thrown for 2,165 passing yards in 15 games (just 144.3 YPG) since the 2023 season — 7th-worst among FBS teams. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 160.3 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — best among ACC defenses.

Rutgers Offensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers RBs have averaged 283.5 rushing yards per game (567/2) this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 133.1

Rutgers’s offense has thrown for 2,165 passing yards in 15 games (just 144.3 YPG) since the 2023 season — 7th-worst among FBS offenses. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 160.3 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s QBs has thrown for 2,165 passing yards in 15 games (just 144.3 YPG) since the 2023 season — 7th-worst among FBS teams. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 160.3 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s QBs has thrown for 2,165 passing yards in 15 games (just 144.3 YPG) since the 2023 season — 7th-worst among FBS teams. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 160.3 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — best among ACC defenses.

Rutgers has gained 2,165 yards on 171 receptions (12.7 YPR) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big Ten skill players. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Virginia Tech’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.8% of 81 attempts this season — T-22nd-best among FBS offenses. Rutgers’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.1% of attempts this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech’s WRs has gained 2,301 yards on 154 receptions (14.9 YPR) since the 2023 season — best among ACC WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Virginia Tech’s WRs has gained 520 yards on 32 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among ACC WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech’s WRs has gained 2,301 yards on 154 receptions (14.9 YPR) since the 2023 season — best among ACC WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech’s WRs has gained 520 yards on 32 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among ACC WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights Defensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers has allowed a Completion Pct of 73% (32 completions/44 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 58%

Rutgers did not record a sack (37 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2

Rutgers has allowed just 105.1 receiving yards per game (1,576/15) to WRs since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 163.2

Rutgers has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (23/431) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 8%

Rutgers has allowed 118.7 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs since the 2022 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 170.9

Virginia Tech Hokies Defensive Stats & Trends

Virginia Tech has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (48/407) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Virginia Tech has sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (21/158) on 1st down since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 5%

Virginia Tech has allowed 114.9 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs since the 2023 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 167.9

Virginia Tech has sacked opponents 21 times on 1st down since the 2023 season– 2nd-most in FBS

Virginia Tech has allowed a Completion Pct of just 47% (31 completions/66 attempts) this season– 5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 59%


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