Temple vs East Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 9

FILE - East Carolina head coach Mike Houston watches from the sideline during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Cincinnati in Greenville, N.C., Friday, Nov. 26, 2021. East Carolina will host No. 13 North Carolina State on Saturday to open the season.
(AP Photo/Karl B DeBlaker)
  • The East Carolina is a -7 point favorite vs. Temple
  • The Temple vs. East Carolina Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Temple Owls (2-5) visit Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium to take on the East Carolina Pirates (3-4) on Oct. 26 in Greenville, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:00pm EDT.

East Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).

The Temple vs. East Carolina Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

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Temple vs. East Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Temple+7 -11048.5 -105+220
East Carolina -7 -11048.5 -115-275

Temple vs East Carolina Prediction:

The winning team model predicts East Carolina will win this game with 70.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Temple and East Carolina, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Temple vs East Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Temple will cover the spread with 53.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Temple has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Temple has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Temple have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.55 Units / 5% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+7.55 Units / 67% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)

Temple Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Temple is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.75 Units / 9.8% ROI).

  • Temple is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -26.67% ROI
  • Temple is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • Temple is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI

East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

East Carolina is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.75 Units / 9.8% ROI).

  • East Carolina is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -50.57% ROI
  • East Carolina is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.06% ROI
  • East Carolina is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.75 Units / 9.8% ROI

Temple: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina

Temple is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .444

Temple is 2-12 (.143) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .415

Temple is 4-14 (.222) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .485

Temple is 2-9 (.182) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– 14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .418

East Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Temple

East Carolina is 2-9 (.182) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: .540

East Carolina is 1-8 (.111) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .478

East Carolina is winless (0-8) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .404

East Carolina is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .423

Matchup Notes for Temple vs. East Carolina

East Carolina’s WRs has averaged just 12.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 33rd-worst among FBS WRs. Temple’s defense has allowed 13.7 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

East Carolina’s offense has thrown for 1,842 passing yards in 7 games (263.1 YPG) this season — 35th-best among FBS offenses. Temple’s defense has allowed just 168.6 passing yards per game this season — 5th-best among NonP5 defenses.

East Carolina’s RBs has rushed for 1,667 yards on 400 carries (just 4.2 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-9th-worst among FBS RBs. Temple’s defense have allowed 4.8 YPC since the 2023 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Temple’s RBs has rushed for 1,513 yards on 363 carries (just 4.2 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-9th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense have allowed just 3.5 YPC since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Temple’s RBs has rushed for 1,513 yards on 363 carries (just 4.2 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-9th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense have allowed just 4.3 YPC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Temple’s RBs has averaged just 6.1 yards after the catch this season — T-28th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 6.2 RAC to RBs this season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.

Temple Offensive Stats & Trends

Temple RBs have rushed for 2 TDs on 43 carries (21.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.6

Temple TEs have caught 6 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams

Temple TEs were targeted 12.8 times per game (153/12) in the 2023 season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7

Temple’s RBs has rushed for 1,513 yards on 363 carries (just 4.2 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-9th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense have allowed just 3.5 YPC since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Temple’s RBs has rushed for 1,513 yards on 363 carries (just 4.2 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-9th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense have allowed just 4.3 YPC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

East Carolina’s WRs has averaged just 12.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 33rd-worst among FBS WRs. Temple’s defense has allowed 13.7 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

East Carolina’s offense has thrown for 1,842 passing yards in 7 games (263.1 YPG) this season — 35th-best among FBS offenses. Temple’s defense has allowed just 168.6 passing yards per game this season — 5th-best among NonP5 defenses.

East Carolina’s QBs has thrown for 1,842 passing yards in 7 games (263.1 YPG) this season — 35th-best among FBS teams. Temple’s defense has allowed just 168.6 passing yards per game this season — 16th-best among FBS defenses.

East Carolina’s RBs has rushed for 1,667 yards on 400 carries (just 4.2 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-9th-worst among FBS RBs. Temple’s defense have allowed 4.8 YPC since the 2023 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

East Carolina has averaged just 10.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS skill players. Temple’s defense has allowed 12.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Temple Owls Defensive Stats & Trends

Temple has allowed 5.4 touchdowns per interception (38 TDs allowed, and 7 INT) since the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Temple has allowed 5.4 touchdowns per interception (38 TDs allowed, and 7 INT) since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Temple has no interceptions and 21 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.8

Temple allowed 9.0 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) in the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Temple has intercepted 7 of 504 attempts (72.0 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.4

East Carolina Pirates Defensive Stats & Trends

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 26 of 112 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 26 of 112 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 159 of 749 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

East Carolina has allowed 44.7 carries per game (313 carries / 7 games) this season– T-3rd-highest in FBS; Average: 35.2

East Carolina has allowed first downs on 40% of pass attempts on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 29%


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

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Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.