- Georgia is a -10.5 point favorite vs. Tennessee
- Tennessee vs. Georgia Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
The Tennessee Volunteers (8-1) visit Sanford Stadium to take on the Georgia Bulldogs (7-2) on Nov. 16 in Athens, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.
Georgia is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The Tennessee vs. Georgia Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
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Tennessee vs. Georgia Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Tennessee | +10.5 -110 | 48.5 -115 | +300 |
| Georgia | -10.5 -110 | 48.5 -105 | -375 |
Tennessee vs Georgia Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Georgia will win this game with 75.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Tennessee and Georgia, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Tennessee vs Georgia Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia will cover the spread with 72.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Tennessee Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+2.95 Units / 0% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Tennessee have covered the Spread in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.90 Units / 27% ROI)
Georgia Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Georgia has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Georgia has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+3.85 Units / 4% ROI)
- Georgia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- Georgia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+0.95 Units / 28% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Tennessee players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tennessee Player Prop Bets Today
- Dylan Sampson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Squirrel White has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nico Iamaleava has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Dylan Sampson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Bru McCoy has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Georgia players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Georgia Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Dominic Lovett has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Arian Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Trevor Etienne has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Dillon Bell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Trevor Etienne has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Tennessee is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).
- Tennessee is 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 0.18% ROI
- Tennessee is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
- Tennessee is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
Georgia Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Georgia is 2-7 against the spread this college football season (-5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI).
- Georgia is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 5.16% ROI
- Georgia is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.55 Units / -36.04% ROI
- Georgia is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.14% ROI
Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia
Tennessee is undefeated (16-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .784
Tennessee is 8-1 (.889) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-8th-best in FBS; Average: .587
Tennessee is 17-2 (.895) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .656
Tennessee is 11-3 (.786) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .606
Georgia: Keys to the Game vs. Tennessee
Georgia is 11-2 (.846) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: .429
Georgia is undefeated (12-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .617
Georgia is undefeated (16-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .713
Georgia is undefeated (16-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .670
Matchup Notes for Tennessee vs. Georgia
Georgia’s QBs has thrown for 2,578 passing yards in 9 games (286.4 YPG) this season — T-16th-best among FBS teams. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 171.6 passing yards per game this season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.
Georgia’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.6% of 333 attempts this season — T-27th-best among FBS offenses. Tennessee’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.4% of attempts this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Georgia’s offense has thrown for 2,578 passing yards in 9 games (286.4 YPG) this season — T-16th-best among FBS offenses. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 171.6 passing yards per game this season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.
Tennessee’s RBs has rushed for 1,872 yards on 335 carries (5.6 YPC) this season — T-29th-best among FBS RBs. Georgia’s defense have allowed just 3.4 YPC this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Tennessee’s RBs has rushed for 1,872 yards on 335 carries (5.6 YPC) this season — T-29th-best among FBS RBs. Georgia’s defense have allowed just 4.0 YPC to RBs this season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.
Dylan Sampson (TEN) has averaged a TD every 10.0 carries this season — 9th-best of Qualified Running Back. Georgia’s defense allowed a touchdown every 42.6 carries this season — 14th-best among FBS defenses.
Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends
Tennessee WRs averaged a touchdown every 4.3 receptions (13 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 1.9
Tennessee Skill Players have averaged just 10.7 yards per reception (887 yards/83 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 13.0
Tennessee RBs have carried the ball 55 times on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams
Tennessee RBs have averaged 37.2 carries per game (335 carries / 9 games) this season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 24.9
Tennessee WRs have averaged just 10.6 yards per reception (550 yards/52 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 14.5
Georgia Offensive Stats & Trends
Georgia TEs have been targeted 36 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most among SEC Teams
Georgia TEs have been targeted 36 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-most among Power Conference Teams
Georgia WRs have caught 33 of 46 passes (72% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 57%
Georgia Skill Players were targeted 10 times in close and late situations last week– most among SEC Teams
Georgia’s QBs has thrown for 2,578 passing yards in 9 games (286.4 YPG) this season — T-16th-best among FBS teams. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 171.6 passing yards per game this season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.
Tennessee Volunteers Defensive Stats & Trends
Tennessee allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (10 completions/26 attempts) last week– best in the SEC; Average: 59%
Tennessee opponents has averaged 8.7 Passing Attempts per TD (26 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0
Tennessee opponents has averaged 8.7 Passing Attempts per TD (26 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
Tennessee has allowed opponents to catch just 16 of 40 passes (40% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– best in the SEC; Average: 58%
Tennessee has not allowed a first down on any of their opponents’ 29 rush attempts on 3rd and long this season– best in the SEC; Average: 13%
Georgia Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends
Georgia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (44 completions/109 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 54%
Georgia allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (26 completions/68 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 55%
Georgia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (22 completions/57 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go since the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 57%
Georgia has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 37 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in the SEC; Average: 10%.
Georgia opponents averaged 32.6 Passing Attempts per TD (424 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 20.8
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