- Tennessee is a -11 point favorite vs. Vanderbilt
- Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
The Tennessee Volunteers (9-2) visit FirstBank Stadium to take on the Vanderbilt Commodores (6-5) on Nov. 30 in Nashville, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.
Tennessee is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -11 (-110).
The Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
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Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Tennessee | -11 -110 | 48.5 -110 | -450 |
| Vanderbilt | +11 -110 | 48.5 -110 | +325 |
Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this game with 79.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Tennessee and Vanderbilt, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Vanderbilt will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Tennessee Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 57% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+1.95 Units / 0% ROI)
- Tennessee have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.30 Units / 10% ROI)
Vanderbilt Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Vanderbilt has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+14.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+7.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Vanderbilt has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- Vanderbilt have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Tennessee players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tennessee Player Prop Bets Today
- Dylan Sampson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Squirrel White has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nico Iamaleava has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Dylan Sampson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nico Iamaleava has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 100% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Vanderbilt players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Vanderbilt Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Diego Pavia has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.65 Units / 83% ROI)
- Quincy Skinner Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Diego Pavia has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Diego Pavia has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Eli Stowers has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Tennessee is 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI).
- Tennessee is 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 0.09% ROI
- Tennessee is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
- Tennessee is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
Vanderbilt Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Vanderbilt is 8-3 against the spread this college football season (+4.7 Units / 39% ROI).
- Vanderbilt is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.95 Units / 27.14% ROI
- Vanderbilt is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI
- Vanderbilt is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI
Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Vanderbilt
Tennessee is undefeated (17-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .751
Tennessee is 18-2 (.900) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .605
Tennessee is 9-3 (.750) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .598
Tennessee is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .695
Vanderbilt: Keys to the Game vs. Tennessee
Vanderbilt is 1-6 (.143) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
Vanderbilt is 3-11 (.214) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .467
Vanderbilt is 4-12 (.250) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .508
Vanderbilt is 4-13 (.235) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .485
Matchup Notes for Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt’s QBs has thrown for 2,041 passing yards in 11 games (just 185.5 YPG) this season — T-25th-worst among FBS teams. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 185.5 passing yards per game this season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.
Vanderbilt’s QBs has thrown for 2,041 passing yards in 11 games (just 185.5 YPG) this season — T-25th-worst among FBS teams. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 185.5 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among SEC defenses.
Vanderbilt’s offense has thrown for 2,058 passing yards in 11 games (just 187.1 YPG) this season — 28th-worst among FBS offenses. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 185.5 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among SEC defenses.
Tennessee’s RBs has 3 rushing touchdowns per game this season — 2nd-best among FBS RBs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed just 1.2 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.
Tennessee’s RBs has 21 receptions in 11 games (just 1.9 per game) this season — T-17th-worst among FBS RBs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 20.2 receptions per game this season — 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Tennessee’s RBs have just 14.4 receiving yards per game this season — 22nd-worst among FBS RBs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 36.9 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.
Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends
Tennessee WRs have averaged just 10.4 yards per reception (570 yards/55 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 14.5
Tennessee Skill Players have averaged just 10.5 yards per reception (935 yards/89 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 13.0
Tennessee RBs have averaged 200.8 rushing yards per game (2,209/11) this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 127.1
Tennessee WRs averaged a touchdown every 4.3 receptions (13 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 1.9
Tennessee RBs have rushed for 30 TDs this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Vanderbilt Offensive Stats & Trends
Vanderbilt’s QBs has thrown for 2,041 passing yards in 11 games (just 185.5 YPG) this season — T-25th-worst among FBS teams. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 185.5 passing yards per game this season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.
Vanderbilt WRs have been targeted 18 times in the 1st quarter this season– fewest among SEC Teams
Vanderbilt’s QBs has thrown for 2,041 passing yards in 11 games (just 185.5 YPG) this season — T-25th-worst among FBS teams. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 185.5 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among SEC defenses.
Vanderbilt TEs have caught 7 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams
Vanderbilt’s offense has thrown for 2,058 passing yards in 11 games (just 187.1 YPG) this season — 28th-worst among FBS offenses. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 185.5 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among SEC defenses.
Tennessee Volunteers Defensive Stats & Trends
Tennessee allowed no passing TDs (36 pass attempts) last week– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.2
Tennessee allowed no passing TDs (36 pass attempts) last week– T-best in the SEC; Average: 22.8
Tennessee opponents has averaged 41.5 Passing Attempts per TD (332 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) this season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.4
Tennessee did not allow any touchdowns on 21 completions last week– T-best in the SEC; Average: 13.6
Tennessee has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 1 of 332 attempts (0%) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 2%
Vanderbilt Commodores Defensive Stats & Trends
Vanderbilt has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 38 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
Vanderbilt has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 16 of 107 attempts (15%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%
Vanderbilt has allowed a Completion Pct of 68% (512 completions/751 attempts) since the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 61%
Vanderbilt has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 38 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Vanderbilt has allowed a Completion Pct of 68% (512 completions/751 attempts) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
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