- The Texas is a -18.5 point favorite vs. Vanderbilt
- The Texas vs. Vanderbilt Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
- TV Channel: SECN
The Texas Longhorns (6-1) visit FirstBank Stadium to take on the Vanderbilt Commodores (5-2) on Oct. 26 in Nashville, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:15pm EDT.
Texas is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -18.5 (-110).
The Texas vs. Vanderbilt Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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Texas vs. Vanderbilt Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texas | -18.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 | -1100 |
| Vanderbilt | +18.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 | +700 |
Texas vs Vanderbilt Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas will win this game with 90.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas and Vanderbilt, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Texas vs Vanderbilt Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Vanderbilt will cover the spread with 86.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Vanderbilt vs Texas and all games with BetMGM
Texas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.25 Units / 5% ROI)
- Texas has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+7.55 Units / 1% ROI)
- Texas have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.90 Units / 17% ROI)
Vanderbilt Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Vanderbilt has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+14.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+10.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Vanderbilt has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- Vanderbilt has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texas Player Prop Bets Today
- Gunnar Helm has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Isaiah Bond has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jaydon Blue has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Quinn Ewers has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Matthew Golden has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Vanderbilt players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Vanderbilt Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Sedrick Alexander has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Diego Pavia has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Quincy Skinner Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Diego Pavia has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Junior Sherrill has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI).
- Texas is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 0.26% ROI
- Texas is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Texas is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Vanderbilt Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Vanderbilt is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI).
- Vanderbilt is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.5 Units / 30.59% ROI
- Vanderbilt is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
- Vanderbilt is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Vanderbilt
Texas is 13-1 (.929) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .531
Texas is 13-1 (.929) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .593
Texas is 13-1 (.929) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .708
Texas is 15-1 (.938) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .722
Vanderbilt: Keys to the Game vs. Texas
Vanderbilt is 3-9 (.250) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .522
Vanderbilt is 4-11 (.267) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .460
Vanderbilt is 3-9 (.250) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-17th-worst in FBS; Average: .458
Vanderbilt is 3-11 (.214) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .441
Matchup Notes for Texas vs. Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt’s TEs has gained 541 yards on 40 receptions (13.5 YPR) this season — 4th-best among SEC TEs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 7.7 Yards Per Reception this season — best among SEC defenses.
Vanderbilt has gained 1,405 yards on 101 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — T-18th-best among FBS skill players. Texas’s defense has allowed just 7.7 Yards Per Reception this season — best among SEC defenses.
Vanderbilt’s WRs has averaged 14.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 10.5 RAC since the 2023 season — T-best among SEC defenses.
Texas has 476 receptions in 21 games (22.7 per game) since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS skill players. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 22.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among P5 defenses.
Texas has 476 receptions in 21 games (22.7 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among SEC skill players. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 22.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — worst among SEC defenses.
Texas’s offense has thrown for 6,116 passing yards in 21 games (291.2 YPG) since the 2023 season — 13th-best among FBS offenses. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 255.8 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — worst among SEC defenses.
Texas Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas WRs have averaged 22.3 yards per reception (646 yards/29 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.5
Texas has 476 receptions in 21 games (22.7 per game) since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS skill players. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 22.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among P5 defenses.
Texas has 476 receptions in 21 games (22.7 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among SEC skill players. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 22.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — worst among SEC defenses.
Texas QBs have 11 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Texas Skill Players have 32 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams
Vanderbilt Offensive Stats & Trends
Vanderbilt’s TEs has gained 541 yards on 40 receptions (13.5 YPR) this season — 4th-best among SEC TEs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 7.7 Yards Per Reception this season — best among SEC defenses.
Vanderbilt has gained 1,405 yards on 101 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — T-18th-best among FBS skill players. Texas’s defense has allowed just 7.7 Yards Per Reception this season — best among SEC defenses.
Vanderbilt’s WRs has averaged 14.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 10.5 RAC since the 2023 season — T-best among SEC defenses.
Vanderbilt’s WRs has averaged 14.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 10.5 RAC since the 2023 season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
Vanderbilt has 318 receptions in 19 games (just 16.7 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among SEC skill players. Texas’s defense has allowed 20.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.
Texas Longhorns Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas has allowed no passing TDs (14 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0
Texas has allowed no passing TDs (14 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 3.9
Texas has allowed no passing TDs (14 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best in the SEC; Average: 5.1
Texas has allowed one passing TD (206 pass attempts) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 29.9
Texas has allowed just 7.7 yards per completion (929 yards/121 completions) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 11.3
Vanderbilt Commodores Defensive Stats & Trends
Vanderbilt has sacked opposing QBs on just 6% of pass attempts (35/628) since the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 8%
Vanderbilt has allowed a Completion Pct of 67% (423 completions/628 attempts) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%
Vanderbilt has allowed 7.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (7,779 yards / 1,042 touches) since the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 6.5
Vanderbilt has sacked opposing QBs on just 7% of pass attempts (14/207) this season– 3rd-worst in the SEC; Average: 8%
Vanderbilt has allowed a Completion Pct of 67% (423 completions/628 attempts) since the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 61%
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